Wed, 19 Aug 2026, 23:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

3'
R. Camacho🟨
Yellow Card
5'
P. Owusu
Normal Goal → G. Synchuk
13'
B. Vera🟨
Yellow Card
14'
R. Camacho🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Ruvalcaba
20'
T. Gillier
Own Goal
34'
A. Gomes🟨
Yellow Card
48'
J. Neal🟨
Yellow Card
56'
M. Farsi🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Herrera
56'
C. Adams🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Martinez
56'
G. Synchuk🔄
Substitution 1 → V. Loturi
68'
F. Herbers🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Ceballos
68'
J. Neal🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Craig
74'
B. Ceballos🟨
Yellow Card
78'
N. Streit
Normal Goal → B. Vera
79'
P. Owusu🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Sanchez
79'
N. Streit🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Rios
80'
D. Chambost🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Karumanchi
80'
T. Habroune🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Gazdag
89'
M. Longstaff🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal5
6Total Shots14
2Blocked Shots2
4Shots insidebox8
2Shots outsidebox6
7Fouls7
5Corner Kicks3
4Offsides0
62Ball Possession38
2Yellow Cards4
5Goalkeeper Saves1
663Total passes407
600Passes accurate346
90Passes %85
0.3expected_goals1.16
-0.8goals_prevented-0.8

Starting Lineups

Columbus CrewColumbus Crew1:1

Starting XI

28Patrick SchulteG
18Malte AmundsenD
16Taha HabrouneM
10Brais MéndezF
25Sean ZawadzkiD
20André GomesM
46Chase AdamsF
4Rudy CamachoD
7Dylan ChambostM
31Steven MoreiraD
23Mohamed FarsiM

CF MontrealCF Montreal1:1

Starting XI

31Thomas GillierG
13Luca PetrassoD
21Fabian HerbersM
23Noah StreitF
4Brayan VeraD
8Matthew LongstaffM
9Prince OwusuF
2Jalen NealD
7Daniel PereiraM
18Hennadii SynchukF
27Dawid BugajD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew
Form: L-D-W-W-D
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
Form: D-D-L-L-D
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
2 W
5 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:0.9
Away:2.5
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:2.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1607
Good
1456
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1594
↓ Momentum (-13)
1428
↓ Momentum (-28)
Expected Outcome
52%
Home Win
26%
Draw
22%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1545
Attack
1419
1482
Defence
1468
Recent Form
1536
Attack
1392
1459
Defence
1492
Post-Match Changes
-20
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

...
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.53
Expected Value:+7.1%
Confidence:7

...

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📝 Match Preview

The Big O's MLS Preview: Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal - Why Goals Are Inevitable
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.53
Expected Value:+8.6%
Confidence:7

Life’s too short for nil-nil, and if you know me, you know I only care about one thing: putting the ball in the net. When I look at this MLS clash between Columbus Crew and CF Montreal, I don’t see a tactical chess match designed to keep the scoreboard quiet. I see a recipe for a goal-fest, and that is exactly where I live my best life. Columbus Crew comes into this fixture sitting 11th in the Eastern Conference, but their home form tells a much more potent story. In their last eight home games, they have won 62.50% of the time while averaging 1.62 goals scored per match. More importantly for my wallet, their recent home and cup fixtures have been a constant stream of action. Look at the scorelines: a 3-1 win over Atlas, a 2-1 victory against Pachuca, a thrilling 2-2 draw with Inter Miami, and a 2-1 win over FC Cincinnati. Their last ten games feature an 80.00% Both Teams to Score rate, proving that their matches rarely end 0-0 or 1-0. They are averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across their last ten outings, consistently keeping the net rattling. CF Montreal might be languishing in 14th place with just 17 points, but their away record and recent history suggest they are perfectly happy to trade blows on the road. Montreal concedes 2.00 goals per game away from home and scores 2.00 goals per game in the same span. That defensive vulnerability is music to my ears. Their last ten matches have been a rollercoaster of high scores, including a wild 4-4 draw with DC United, back-to-back 2-2 draws against New England and Portland, and a 2-1 victory over Vancouver FC. They are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded overall, and their away fixtures consistently produce a combined goal tally that pushes past the 2.5 mark. The head-to-head record seals the deal. In the last 10 meetings between these two sides, 7 have gone Over 2.5 Goals, and Both Teams to Score has landed in 8 of those encounters. Columbus dominates this fixture at home with a 60.00% win rate, and the attacking metrics align perfectly for a high-scoring affair. The mathematical model projects a combined goal expectancy of 3.25 (1.81 for Columbus at home, 1.44 for Montreal away), which heavily favors the Over market. While odds of 1.53 might look tempting to some, I demand absolute certainty before backing anything below 1.60. Here, the signals are undeniable. We have a home side averaging 1.62 goals at home, an away side leaking 2.00 goals on the road, a combined Poisson expectancy of 3.25, and a historical trend where 70% of matches between these two have cleared the line. The data is screaming for goals, and I am more than happy to listen. Key Points: - Columbus Crew averages 1.62 goals scored per home game and has seen BTTS land in 80% of their last 10 matches. - CF Montreal concedes 2.00 goals per game away from home and has been involved in multiple 4-goal+ games recently (4-4, 2-2, 2-2). - Historical head-to-head data shows 7 of the last 10 meetings have gone Over 2.5 Goals. - Mathematical goal expectancy combines to 3.25 total goals, providing a strong mathematical edge over the 1.53 odds. I’m not here to watch a 0-0 bore draw. The numbers, the form, and the history all point to an open, attacking contest. I’m backing the Over 2.5 Goals market with high confidence.

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📝 Match Preview

Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal Preview: Yoda's Wisdom on Both Teams to Score
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+6.9%
Confidence:7

Listen closely, young padawan of betting, for the data speaks in riddles only the wise can decipher. Columbus Crew hosts CF Montreal at home, and the force of their recent form bends in their favor. Sitting 11th in the standings, the Crew have transformed their fortress into a sanctuary of victory. In their last eight home outings, they have won six, drawn two, and lost only one. That is a 62.50% win rate, a number that hums with the energy of a stable mid-routine. Goals flow freely here. Columbus averages 1.62 goals per game at home, while their defense holds firm, conceding just 0.88 per match. Yet, the universe of MLS demands balance. Their recent 10-game record shows an 80.00% Both Teams to Score rate. When the net ripples for one, it ripples for the other. This is not a coincidence; it is the law of the league. Across the pitch, CF Montreal arrives with a different rhythm. Placed 14th with 17 points, their away record tells a tale of open games. In their last three away fixtures, they have won one, drawn one, and lost one. But look at the goals. They average 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded on the road. Their recent away trips include a 4-4 thriller against DC United, a 2-1 victory over Vancouver, and a narrow 1-0 defeat to Nashville. High-scoring affairs they are, and both sides finding the back of the net. The head-to-head record confirms this pattern. In the last 10 meetings, both teams have scored in 8 of them. That is an 80.00% strike rate for this market. Columbus, with their attacking prowess, and Montreal, with their leaky but potent away display, set the stage for a goal-fest. The goal expectancy model points to a total of 3.25 goals, with Columbus expected to score 1.81 and Montreal 1.44. Odds of 1.62 for Both Teams to Score offer a chance to align with the flow of the game. The implied probability sits around 61.7%, while the historical data and recent form suggest a success rate closer to 66%. Do or do not bet, there is no try, but when the numbers align this clearly, a hedge on the net rippling is the wise path. Key Points: - Columbus Crew: 62.50% home win rate in last 8 games; 1.62 goals scored per home game. - CF Montreal: 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away game in last 3 away matches. - H2H: Both Teams to Score has landed in 8 of the last 10 meetings. - Columbus Crew BTTS rate: 80.00% in last 10 games. - Goal Expectancy: 3.25 total goals expected. In the end, the data points to a match where defenses will be tested and attacks will prevail. Both Teams to Score is the bet that honors the statistics.

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