Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 02:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

11'
E. Achouri
Normal Goal → A. Dreyer
21'
M. Reus🟨
Yellow Card
23'
J. Tverskov🟨
Yellow Card
30'
Gabriel Pirani🟨
Yellow Card
39'
A. Godoy🟨
Yellow Card
48'
K. Sargeant
Normal Goal → A. Dreyer
50'
J. Tverskov🟨
Yellow Card
50'
J. Tverskov🟥
Red Card
52'
Gabriel Pirani🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Alvarado Jr
55'
H. Lozano
Normal Goal
56'
I. Parente🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Thommy
56'
M. Yoshida🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Roberto
61'
K. Furuhashi
Goal Disallowed - Foul
65'
J. Paintsil🟨
Yellow Card
66'
I. Murphy🔄
Substitution 2 → C. McVey
67'
E. Achouri🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Pellegrino
70'
A. Pellegrino
Normal Goal → A. Dreyer
73'
J. Aude🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Nelson
73'
H. Miller🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Taylor
87'
O. Valakari🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Pilcher
87'
J. Haak🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Garces
89'
dos Santos CJ🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal5
20Total Shots17
8Blocked Shots5
13Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox12
10Fouls14
7Corner Kicks7
1Offsides4
44Ball Possession56
5Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
6Goalkeeper Saves3
406Total passes529
350Passes accurate470
86Passes %89
2.41expected_goals0.91
-0.21goals_prevented-0.21

Starting Lineups

San DiegoSan Diego1:1

Starting XI

1dos Santos CJG
5K. Sargeant2:1
12Gabriel PiraniM
99E. AchouriF
32I. MurphyD
6J. TverskovM
8O. ValakariF
26M. DuahD
20A. GodoyM
10A. DreyerF
33O. VerhoevenD

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy1:1

Starting XI

1N. MicovicG
3J. AudeD
16I. ParenteM
11H. LozanoM
7K. FuruhashiF
4M. YoshidaD
15J. HaakM
18M. ReusM
5J. GlesnesD
28J. PaintsilM
26H. MillerD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

San Diego
San Diego
Form: W-L-W-W-W
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
Form: D-W-L-D-D
Record
5 W
1 D
4 L
3 W
4 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:0.7
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1526
Average
1538
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1540
↑ Momentum (+14)
1527
↓ Momentum (-11)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
34%
Draw
34%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1539
Attack
1511
1536
Defence
1499
Recent Form
1582
Attack
1455
1546
Defence
1524
Post-Match Changes
+9
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

San Diego vs LA Galaxy: Home Dominance Predicted
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+10.5%
Confidence:8

Listen up, because we're getting straight to the meat of this one. San Diego is looking to turn their home turf into a BBQ pit where the Los Angeles Galaxy are the only thing on the menu. When you look at the numbers, San Diego is putting on a masterclass at home, boasting an 80% win rate over their last five home fixtures. They aren't just winning; they are producing 2.00 goals per game on their own grass. The Galaxy, on the other hand, are looking a bit like a side of broccoli—not exactly what we're looking for. Their away form is shaky at best, with a win rate of only 25% over their last four road trips. They’ve spent half of those games settling for a draw, showing a lack of the 'killer instinct' needed to take all three points away from home. They struggle to find the net on the road, averaging just 1.25 goals per game. If you want to talk about history, let's talk about the head-to-head. San Diego has been dominant, winning both previous encounters against the Galaxy. They’ve secured a 2-1 victory and a 2-0 shutout in those meetings. The Galaxy haven't found a way past them yet, and with San Diego's goal expectancy sitting at 1.50 compared to the Galaxy's 1.23, the home side has the upper hand in every department. San Diego's possession stays high at over 60%, giving them the control they need to dictate the tempo. The Galaxy will try to hang on, but their 41.5% away possession suggests they'll be chasing shadows for most of the night. We're looking for a solid home performance here. It's time to get that win and move on to the next round of beers. Key Points: - San Diego has won 80% of their last 5 home games. - San Diego has won 100% of their head-to-head meetings against the Galaxy (2-0, 2-1). - Los Angeles Galaxy have a poor 25% win rate on the road in their last 4 away games. - San Diego averages 2.00 goals per game at home compared to the Galaxy's 1.25 away. - San Diego maintains a significantly higher possession rate (60.4% vs 41.5%). Bet: HOME_WIN

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📝 Match Preview

San Diego's Home Fortress vs. The Galaxy's Wandering Spirit
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+10.5%
Confidence:7

Strong with the home side, the Force is. In the fortress of San Diego, a pattern of dominance has emerged that one cannot ignore. Look to the records, you must, for they tell a tale of local superiority. Against the Los Angeles Galaxy, San Diego has stood tall in every previous encounter, claiming victory in both head-to-head meetings—a 2-0 triumph and a 2-1 battle. Such history, it weighs heavy on the scales of destiny. At home, San Diego has found its rhythm, securing an 80% win rate over its last five fixtures. They struck with precision in their most recent outing, a 3-0 demolition of the Colorado Rapids. While the Los Angeles Galaxy possess the skill to compete, their travels have been troubled; a 25% win rate on the road speaks of a wandering spirit. They struggle to find the net consistently away from home, averaging a mere 1.25 goals per game. San Diego, meanwhile, finds its stride on its own grass, averaging 2.00 goals per game at home. The numbers do not lie, though the path to victory is never certain. To bet on the home side is to trust in the momentum of the local ground and the weight of past dominance. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. The path of the home win is the one the data reveals. Key Points: - San Diego has won 100% of its head-to-head meetings against Los Angeles Galaxy. - San Diego boasts a dominant 80% win rate in its last five home games. - Los Angeles Galaxy has struggled on the road, managing only a 25% win rate in their last four away fixtures. - San Diego recently secured a convincing 3-0 victory over the Colorado Rapids. - San Diego averages 2.00 goals per game at home, while the Galaxy averages 1.25 away. San Diego's home dominance and superior head-to-head record suggest a high probability of victory. The chosen bet is HOME_WIN.

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📝 Match Preview

San Diego vs LA Galaxy: Home Fortress vs Road Struggles
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+10.5%
Confidence:7

Right then, let's get stuck into this one. We've got San Diego hosting the Los Angeles Galaxy in a match that looks like a proper test of home turf versus road-weary legs. If you're looking for a bit of value, this is one to keep your eyes on. If you look at the numbers, San Diego are absolute lions at home. They've bagged a massive 80% win rate in their last five home fixtures, and they aren't shy with the goals either, averaging a cool 2.00 per game in front of their own fans. They’re coming off a solid 3-0 win against the Colorado Rapids, showing they’ve got the grit to put teams away when it matters. On the other side of the pitch, the LA Galaxy have been looking a bit shaky when they travel. Their away win rate is a measly 25% over their last four trips, and they often find themselves on the back foot. While they managed a 2-2 draw recently, they haven't shown the consistency needed to break down a side as disciplined as San Diego at their own backyard. The history here is the real kicker for me. San Diego have taken the Galaxy to school in both of our last meetings, winning 2-0 and 2-1. They know how to handle this lot, and the Galaxy are going to have a mountain to climb to get anything out of this one. With San Diego's home dominance and the Galaxy's poor travel record, the smart money feels like it's on the hosts. They've got the momentum, the head-to-head history, and the home advantage on their side. Key Points: - San Diego boast a dominant 80% win rate in their last 5 home games. - Los Angeles Galaxy have struggled on the road, with only a 25% win rate in their last 4 away trips. - San Diego have won both previous head-to-head meetings against the Galaxy. - San Diego average 2.00 goals per game at home, while the Galaxy average only 1.25 away. Bet: San Diego to win.

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