Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 02:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

25'
F. Torres⚽
Normal Goal β†’ J. Rosales
35'
Guilherme Biro🟨
Yellow Card
47'
M. Desler🟨
Yellow Card
63'
G. GuerraπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Antony
63'
J. AlastueyπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Z. Kolmanic
63'
J. GallagherπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ P. Placheta
71'
M. DeslerπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ B. Hines-Ike
75'
J. ForyπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ I. Smith
75'
C. BassettπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ J. Ortiz
83'
E. MillerπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ O. Fernandez
83'
J. BellπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ O. Svatok
83'
F. TorresπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ I. Sanchez
88'
O. Svatok🟨
Yellow Card
88'
J. Caicedo🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Antony
Penalty
90'
O. Svatok⚽
Normal Goal
90+7'
J. Rosales🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal3
14Total Shots10
5Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox5
6Shots outsidebox5
9Fouls14
6Corner Kicks3
3Offsides1
50Ball Possession50
1Yellow Cards4
1Goalkeeper Saves4
494Total passes508
424Passes accurate424
86Passes %83
1.52expected_goals1.08
-0.12goals_prevented-0.12

Starting Lineups

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers1:1

Starting XI

41J. PantemisG
27J. ForyD
10D. Da CostaM
99K. VeldeF
4K. MillerD
30J. CaicedoM
88G. GuerraF
20F. SurmanD
17C. BassettM
7A. LassiterF
15E. MillerD

AustinAustinUnknown

Starting XI

1B. StuverG
3M. DeslerD
15J. BellD
29Guilherme BiroD
30J. RosalesM
38E. TorresM
14B. SabovicM
17J. GallagherM
11F. TorresF
24J. AlastueyF
9B. VazquezF

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
Form: D-W-L-W-L
Austin
Austin
Form: L-D-W-L-D
Record
6 W
2 D
2 L
β€’
4 W
2 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.5
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
100%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.8
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.6

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1591
Average
1511
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1623
↑ Momentum (+33)
1504
↓ Momentum (-6)
Expected Outcome
43%
Home Win
30%
Draw
27%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1570
Attack
1463
1494
Defence
1467
Recent Form
1602
Attack
1457
1505
Defence
1440
Post-Match Changes
-19
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs Austin: A Fortress of Goals
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.57
Expected Value:+25.6%
Confidence:8

Strong at home, the Portland Timbers are. A fortress of goals, they have built. Look at the numbers, you must. In their last six home fixtures, a victory they have claimed in 83.33% of matches. Not a single defeat have they tasted on this soil recently. When the Timbers play at home, 2.83 goals they average, a prolific display of attacking intent. Austin, they come. But a difficult journey, it is. On the road, their success is fleeting, with a win rate of only 20% in their last five away outings. Their offensive output away from home is meager, averaging a mere 0.60 goals per game. Against a side that thrives on home dominance, a struggle for Austin will be. The history between these two, it tells a story of Timbers' superiority. In ten head-to-head meetings, six times have the Timbers emerged victorious. At home specifically, they have maintained a 60% win rate against this opponent. While the last meeting ended in a scoreless stalemate, the current form suggests a different destiny. One thing is certain: the Timbers' defense has been leaking, with a 0.00% clean sheet rate over their last ten games. Yet, their ability to score remains undiminished. Austin, too, finds it hard to keep a clean sheet away, conceding 1.60 goals per game on the road. Look at the recent path, you must. Portland Timbers, they have shown their strength. A 3-1 victory over San Diego and a 5-2 demolition of Puebla in the Leagues Cup show a side capable of finding the back of the net repeatedly. Even in a draw against Los Angeles FC, their presence was felt. Austin, however, faces a different reality. A 2-0 defeat to Toluca and a 1-2 loss to FC Dallas show a side struggling to maintain composure away from home. Their scoring has been stagnant, a 0.60 average away from their own ground is a heavy burden to carry. Wise, the data is. Do or do not bet, that is the question. But for this match, the Timbers' home advantage is a mountain Austin may not climb. Hedge your bets, you should, but the primary signal is strong. The Timbers' home dominance and Austin's struggles in transit point toward a home victory. Key Points: - Portland Home Win Rate: 83.33% (last 6 home games) - Austin Away Win Rate: 20.00% (last 5 away games) - Portland Home Goals Scored: 2.83 per game - Austin Away Goals Scored: 0.60 per game - H2H Home Win Rate: 60.00% - Portland BTTS Rate: 100.00% (last 10 games) Trust in the home soil, you must. The Timbers' path is clear.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Portland Timbers to Dominate at Home
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.57
Expected Value:+30.3%
Confidence:8

Right then, let's get stuck in. We've got the Portland Timbers taking on Austin, and if you're looking for a side that knows how to turn their home turf into a fortress, it's the Timbers. They've been proper clinical at home recently, racking up a massive 83.33% win rate over their last six fixtures. When they're playing in front of their own fans, they aren't just picking up points; they're putting goals on the board, averaging a healthy 2.83 per game. Now, let's have a look at Austin. They're having a bit of a rough trot on the road. Their away win rate is sitting at a lowly 20%, and they've struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.60 goals per game when traveling. To make matters worse, their defense is looking a bit like a sieve away from home, letting in 1.60 goals every time they head out. They're also coming off a bit of a busy stretch, having played four matches in the last 14 days, while Portland have had a bit more time to get their ducks in a row with three matches in that same period. Portland have the upper hand in the head-to-head history as well, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings. While the last time these two met ended in a 0-0 stalemate, the current form tells a much more exciting story. Portland is coming off a 3-1 win over San Diego and a 2-1 victory against the Seattle Sounders. Austin, meanwhile, are looking for answers after a 2-0 loss to Toluca. The numbers don't lieβ€”Portland are the ones to back here. They've got the home advantage, the superior recent form, and a much more potent attack. Austin's defense is looking shaky, and Portland's goal-scoring machine at home is ready to roar. It's a mismatch of home-field dominance versus away-day struggles. Key Points: - Portland's dominant 83.33% home win rate over their last six games. - Austin's struggling 20% away win rate. - Portland's high home scoring average of 2.83 goals per game. - Austin's leaky away defense, conceding 1.60 goals per game. - Portland's 100% Both Teams to Score rate in their last 10 matches. The chosen bet is Portland Timbers to win.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Portland Timbers to Dominate at Home against Austin
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.57
Expected Value:+33.5%
Confidence:85

Listen up, my friends! If you're looking for the meat of this match, you've found it. We're heading to Portland, where the Timbers have turned their home turf into a proper fortress. When you're looking at a team with an 83.33% win rate at home over their last 6 fixtures, you know exactly what kind of vibe to expect. They aren't just winning; they are putting up numbers that would make a BBQ pit master proud. Austin, on the other hand, is looking a bit like a side dish that's been left out in the sun. Their away form is frankly disappointing, with a win rate of only 20% over their last 5 road trips. Even more concerning is their goal output on the moveβ€”they've managed a meager 0.60 goals per game away from home. They are struggling to find the back of the net when they aren't on their own grass, and facing a high-octane Portland side is going to be a massive uphill battle. Let's look at the numbers. Portland is averaging 2.83 goals per game at home, while Austin's defensive record on the road sees them conceding 1.60 goals per game. When you factor in the fatigue, the story becomes even clearer. Austin is arriving on just 3 days of rest, while Portland has had a full 7 days to prep. That's a lot of extra energy for the home side to use while the visitors are likely feeling the heavy legs of a congested schedule. History also leans heavily toward the home side. Portland has won 6 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings against Austin. While the last meeting was a 0-0 stalemate, the overall trend shows Portland's ability to control the pace and find the winner. With Portland's home goal environment being so high and Austin's away scoring being so low, the most logical path is a comfortable home victory. Key Points: - Portland Timbers have a massive 83.33% win rate at home in their last 6 games. - Austin struggles significantly on the road, winning only 20% of their last 5 away fixtures. - Austin's away goal scoring is extremely low at just 0.60 goals per game. - Portland has had 7 days of rest compared to Austin's 3 days, creating a significant fatigue advantage. - Portland averages 2.83 goals per game at home, while Austin concedes 1.60 away. I'm backing the home side to take the three points here. It's a mismatch in form, fitness, and home-field advantage. Recommended Bet: HOME_WIN

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