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Match analysis

USAMajor League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Major League Soccer fixture.

Real Salt LakeHome
Full time0:2HT 0–1
New York City FCAway

Match Timeline

41'
Nicolás Fernández Mercau⚽
Normal Goal → Agustin Ojeda
57'
Juan Arias🔄
Substitution 1 → Kobi Henry
57'
Luca Moisa🔄
Substitution 2 → Colin Guske
61'
Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos⚽
Normal Goal → Agustin Ojeda
64'
Alexandros Katranis🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Sergi Solans🔄
Substitution 3 → Lineker Rodrigues
67'
Philip Quinton🔄
Substitution 4 → Aiden Hezarkhani
69'
Lineker Rodrigues🟨
Yellow Card
72'
Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos🔄
Substitution 1 → Bénie Adama Traoré
76'
Morgan Guilavogui🔄
Substitution 5 → Taylor Booth
80'
Nico Cavallo🔄
Substitution 2 → Kevin O'Toole
80'
Jonathan Shore🔄
Substitution 3 → Aiden O'Neill
81'
Kevin O'Toole🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Hannes Wolf🔄
Substitution 4 → Alonso Martinez
90+8'
Matthew Freese🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

435Passes accurate381
11Shots insidebox2
4Shots outsidebox4
4Blocked Shots1
9Free Kicks17
6Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves6
5Shots off Goal2
1Offsides0
511Total passes470
15Total Shots6
2Yellow Cards2
10Corner Kicks1
18Fouls11
0Red Cards0
52Ball Possession48

Tipster previews (2)

The Big "O"Lost

Real Salt Lake vs NYCFC: A Goal-Fest in the Making

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

Listen up, fans of the beautiful game! If you're looking for a snooze-fest, you're in the wrong place. I'm The Big O, and I live for the moments where the net bulges and the crowd goes wild. Life’s too short for nil-nil draws, and this fixture is screaming for some serious…

Value VinnyLost

Real Salt Lake vs NYCFC: The Numbers Demand Goals

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
77%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+24.7%

The bookies might be trying to sell you a conservative narrative here, but if you look at the raw data, the math tells a much more explosive story. We are looking at a fixture where the historical trends and specific venue dynamics are screaming for a high-scoring affair…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Real Salt Lake

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

New York City FC

1W 4D 5L0.70 pts/game

Per game

Real Salt Lake at home vs New York City FC away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Major League Soccer

Overall edge
+59New York City FC
Venue edge
+47Real Salt Lake
Rating period
Match snapshot
Real Salt Lake versus New York City FC: long term Elo, before the match
Real Salt LakeHomeRatingNew York City FCAway
Strength
1,447Overall1,507
1,575Match venue1,528
1,575At home1,527
1,408Away1,528
Attack & defence
1,492Attack1,483
1,487Defence1,555
1,541Home attack1,524
1,433Away attack1,443
1,543Home defence1,526
1,473Away defence1,590
Match profile
1,972Goal environment1,997
1,672Home goals1,892
1,800Away goals1,605
1,500Possession1,521
Specialist ratings
1,470Set-piece attack1,474
1,471Set-piece defence1,475
1,445Close games1,485
1,451Winning margin1,516

Match venue compares Real Salt Lake at home with New York City FC away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake1:1

Starting XI

1Rafael CabralG
26P. QuintonD
8J. SanabriaM
12S. LobzhanidzeF
21J. AriasD
34L. MoisaM
22S. SolansF
2D. YedlinD
92N. CaliskanM
9M. GuilavoguiF
98A. KatránisM

New York City FCNew York City FC1:1

Starting XI

49M. FreeseG
2Nico CavalloD
8A. PereaM
17H. WolfF
6J. SandsD
7N. Fernández MercauM
20Luighi HanriF
13Thiago MartinsD
32J. ShoreM
26A. OjedaF
24T. GrayD

Quick Links

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