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Match analysis

USAMajor League Soccer

Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Major League Soccer fixture.

Match Timeline

33'
S. Surridge⚽
Normal Goal → R. Baker-Whiting
36'
Hany Mukhtar🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Jack Elliott🟨
Yellow Card
68'
R. Lod🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Bamba
68'
M. Haile-Selassie🔄
Substitution 2 → P. Dithejane
69'
E. Saad🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Mohammed
75'
S. Oregel🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Mekvabishvili
78'
C. Espinoza⚽
Normal Goal → A. Najar
79'
D. D'Avilla🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Pineda
79'
J. Dean🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Gomez
83'
A. Najar🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Lovitz
83'
P. Yazbek🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Tagseth
87'
H. Mukhtar⚽
Normal Goal → C. Espinoza
90+1'
C. Espinoza🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Bauer
90+1'
H. Mukhtar🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Muyl

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal5
13Total Shots10
2Blocked Shots4
9Shots insidebox8
4Shots outsidebox2
12Fouls9
5Corner Kicks2
4Offsides2
56Ball Possession44
1Yellow Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
514Total passes414
457Passes accurate351
89Passes %85
2.07expected_goals0.96
0.49goals_prevented0.49

Tipster previews (3)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Nashville SC's Fortress: A Path of Victory?

The pickNashville SC win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+22.5%

A path of destiny, the league leaders walk. At the top of the mountain, Nashville SC sits, a fortress of dominance they have built on their own soil. To see them at home is to see a force of nature; 80% of the time, victory they claim in their own backyard. With 3.00 goals…

PajimonWon

Nashville SC Take the Meat at Home

The pickNashville SC win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+13.8%

Listen up, because I’m only saying this once. We’re looking at Nashville SC at home, and let me tell you, they are hungry for that win like I’m hungry for a rack of ribs. These guys are sitting pretty at the top of the table with 54 points, and they aren't just there by…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nashville SC

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Chicago Fire

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Nashville SC at home vs Chicago Fire away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Major League Soccer

Overall edge
+78Nashville SC
Venue edge
+152Nashville SC
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nashville SC versus Chicago Fire: long term Elo, before the match
Nashville SCHomeRatingChicago FireAway
Strength
1,621Overall1,543
1,661Match venue1,509
1,661At home1,504
1,483Away1,509
Attack & defence
1,528Attack1,557
1,603Defence1,477
1,607Home attack1,493
1,414Away attack1,578
1,593Home defence1,487
1,580Away defence1,461
Match profile
1,518Goal environment2,180
1,630Home goals1,755
1,388Away goals1,925
1,515Possession1,509
Specialist ratings
1,548Set-piece attack1,493
1,548Set-piece defence1,494
1,543Close games1,529
1,654Winning margin1,545

Match venue compares Nashville SC at home with Chicago Fire away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Nashville SCNashville SC1:1

Starting XI

99B. SchwakeG
27R. Baker-WhitingD
16M. CorcoranM
11E. SaadM
9S. SurridgeF
3M. WoledziD
8P. YazbekM
10H. MukhtarM
4J. PalaciosD
7C. EspinozaM
31A. NajarD

Chicago FireChicago Fire1:1

Starting XI

1C. BradyG
15A. GutmanD
42D. D'AvillaM
7M. Haile-SelassieM
9R. LewandowskiF
32N. AllenD
35S. OregelM
17R. LodM
3J. ElliottD
11P. ZinckernagelM
24J. DeanD