Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 01:15
Full Time

Match Timeline

15'
F. Lencioni🟨
Yellow Card
28'
M. Torres⚽
Normal Goal → A. Steimbach
46'
N. BarbozašŸ”„
Substitution 1 → F. Antonini
46'
V. SimonišŸ”„
Substitution 2 → S. Rodriguez
46'
J. CeballosšŸ”„
Substitution 3 → L. Cingolani
48'
A. Max🟨
Yellow Card
50'
I. Miramon🟨
Yellow Card
56'
U. Sanchez🟨
Yellow Card
64'
N. SchelottošŸ”„
Substitution 1 → D. Mastrangelo
65'
I. MiramonšŸ”„
Substitution 2 → F. Torres
71'
U. SanchezšŸ”„
Substitution 4 → E. Fernandez
73'
M. TorresšŸ”„
Substitution 3 → J. Cortazzo
73'
N. FernandezšŸ”„
Substitution 4 → A. Auzmendi
82'
A. Steimbach🟨
Yellow Card
84'
A. MaxšŸ”„
Substitution 5 → L. Castro
85'
F. SaavedrašŸ”„
Substitution 5 → B. Ferreyra
87'
F. Torres🟨
Yellow Card
90'
D. Mondino🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal2
15Shots off Goal4
25Total Shots8
4Blocked Shots2
15Shots insidebox6
10Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls16
7Corner Kicks4
2Offsides3
59Ball Possession41
3Yellow Cards4
1Goalkeeper Saves6
437Total passes320
360Passes accurate228
82Passes %71

Starting Lineups

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1:1

Starting XI

23C. RigamontiG
24F. SaavedraD
19J. CeballosM
29A. ModicaF
6GonzalesD
5N. BarbozaM
35V. SimoniF
2D. MondinoD
15U. SanchezM
32L. ParedesD
26F. LencioniM

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1:1

Starting XI

23N. InsfranG
24P. Silva TorrejonD
10N. SchelottoM
7M. PanaroF
21E. MartinezD
16A. MaxM
32M. TorresF
4R. GiampaoliD
5I. MiramonM
8N. FernandezF
25A. SteimbachD

Head-to-Head

šŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M.
Form: L-W-L-L-W
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
Form: D-L-W-L-W
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
•
6 W
1 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
0.7
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
20%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.5
Conceded
Home:0.3
Away:1.5
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:1.0

⚔ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1499
Average
1522
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1495
↓ Momentum (-3)
1536
↑ Momentum (+14)
Expected Outcome
31%
Home Win
34%
Draw
35%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1485
Attack
1425
1499
Defence
1583
Recent Form
1467
Attack
1435
1492
Defence
1584
Post-Match Changes
-13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

šŸ“ Match Preview

Top-Tier Pedigree Makes Gimnasia L.P. Value Underdogs
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.10
Expected Value:+8.5%
Confidence:60

Oh, what a delightful little mismatch we have here! The market has made a classic mistake of overvaluing home advantage against genuine quality, and as your friendly neighborhood underdog hunter, I'm absolutely wagging my tail at the opportunity. Gimnasia L.P. travel as the forgotten puppies at 3.10, yet they bring something their hosts cannot buy: established top-tier pedigree. Let's talk about the elephant in the room, or rather, the puppy that grew into a wolf. Gimnasia M. have certainly impressed at their own kennel, boasting a formidable 75% win rate in their last four home outings while conceding a miserly 0.25 goals per game. Their recent 1-0 victory over Instituto Cordoba and that gritty 1-0 away win at Central Cordoba de Santiago show they know how to grind results. However, peek behind the curtain at their recent results from late 2025, and we see them battling in the Primera Nacional against sides like Deportivo Madryn and Chacarita Juniors. Now they've stepped up to the big leagues in 2026, and while they've snarled twice in five games, that 4-0 thrashing at Union Santa Fe suggests the step up in class is real. Enter my beloved underdogs, Gimnasia L.P. Yes, they've just been held 0-0 by Estudiantes L.P. (who are flying high at 2.40 points per game), and yes, they suffered a 2-0 reverse at Barracas Central last time out on the road. But look at the broader picture! These plucky visitors have won six of their last ten matches, averaging 1.90 points per game compared to Gimnasia M.'s 1.40. They've beaten Racing Club 2-1 at home, dispatched Aldosivi 3-1, and crucially, they've shown they can win away from home - securing victories at Union Santa Fe (2-1) and Platense (3-0) in their recent travels. The tactical matchup fascinates me. Gimnasia M.'s defensive fortress (50% clean sheet rate) will face its sternest test yet against a Gimnasia L.P. side that creates chances (9.00 shots per game) and converts them efficiently. With no head-to-head history between these sides, there's no psychological baggage - just 90 minutes where the technically superior side can assert themselves. **Key Points:** • Gimnasia L.P. priced at 3.10 despite superior 10-game form (60% win rate vs 40% for hosts) • Visitors boast established Liga Profesional pedigree while Gimnasia M. stepped up from Primera Nacional in 2026 • Gimnasia M. conceded just 0.25 goals per game at home in last 4, but this is their first season against top-tier opposition • Gimnasia L.P. have won 60% of recent away games, scoring 1.40 goals per game on the road • No previous head-to-head meetings adds uncertainty that typically favors the underestimated underdog • Both teams show low BTTS rates (20% and 30%), suggesting a tight contest where one moment of quality decides it Sometimes the market sees a home team with a 75% win rate and gets starry-eyed. I see a newly promoted side about to face their toughest examination yet. Gimnasia L.P. at 3.10 represents exactly the kind of long-term value that makes my tail wag. The visitors have the quality, the away form, and the motivation to remind everyone why they belong at this level. Back the underdogs to bite!

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