Wed, 18 Mar 2026, 00:15
Full Time

Match Timeline

41'
Agustín Modica🟨
Yellow Card
41'
Tomás Palacios🟨
Yellow Card
44'
Gastón Benedetti🟨
Yellow Card
45'
A. Modica
Normal Goal → F. Saavedra
46'
Perez Fabricio🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Cetre
59'
S. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Armoa
59'
L. Paredes🔄
Substitution 2 → I. Cortez
60'
T. Palacios
Normal Goal → L. Piovi
64'
A. Modica🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Ferreyra
66'
T. Palacios
Normal Goal → G. Carrillo
74'
E. Meza🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Mancuso
75'
Edwuin Cetré🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Leandro González Pírez🟨
Yellow Card
80'
E. Munoz🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Carrera
80'
N. Linares🔄
Substitution 5 → V. Simoni
84'
Eros Mancuso🟨
Yellow Card
84'
T. Palacios🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Gaich
84'
G. Carrillo🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Nunez
89'
A. Castro🔄
Substitution 5 → Gabriel Neves
90+4'
Fermin Antonini🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots10
3Blocked Shots1
5Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls17
4Corner Kicks3
2Offsides1
42Ball Possession58
2Yellow Cards5
4Goalkeeper Saves1
309Total passes434
236Passes accurate355
76Passes %82

Starting Lineups

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1:1

Starting XI

23C. RigamontiG
24F. SaavedraD
26F. LencioniM
11S. RodriguezF
4E. MunozD
8N. LinaresM
29A. ModicaF
2D. MondinoD
21F. AntoniniM
32L. ParedesD
15U. SanchezM

Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1:1

Starting XI

16F. MusleraG
13G. BenedettiD
21L. PioviM
29Perez FabricioM
9G. CarrilloF
24T. PalaciosD
22A. CastroM
14L. Gonzalez PirezD
32M. AmondarainM
20E. MezaD
10T. PalaciosM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M.
Form: D-D-D-L-L
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
Form: W-L-L-W-W
Record
2 W
4 D
4 L
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
0.5
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
0.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.5
Away:0.5
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:0.4

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1486
Average
1582
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1469
↓ Momentum (-17)
1566
↓ Momentum (-17)
Expected Outcome
26%
Home Win
29%
Draw
45%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1473
Attack
1489
1521
Defence
1611
Recent Form
1446
Attack
1458
1535
Defence
1669
Post-Match Changes
-11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Gimnasia M. vs Estudiantes L.P. Preview & Betting Tips
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.36
Expected Value:+15.6%
Confidence:85

Gentlemen, welcome to the preview. We are looking at Gimnasia M. hosting Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina. Listen close, because we don't want vegetables, we want meat on the bone. This fixture promises a low-scoring affair, and that is where the value lies for us. Gimnasia M. are struggling significantly at home. They have won only 25.00% of their last 4 home games. In fact, they score just 0.50 goals per game at their own stadium, which is worrying for any backer. Their overall points per game sits at 1.00, placing them well down the table with 9 points from 9 games. Defensively, they concede 0.75 goals per game at home. The trend for points is stable, but the goal output is not enough to threaten a high-scoring result. They have only managed 40% clean sheets in their last 10 games. We need a win, not a draw of nothing. Estudiantes L.P. come into this with a fortress mentality away from home. They have conceded just 0.25 goals per game in their last 4 away matches. That is a wall. Their away performance shows 0.00% losses in their last 4 away games, with a record of 1 Win and 3 Draws. They are 15 points from 9 games in the standings, sitting in 7th position. Their points per game is 1.80, which is nearly double that of their opponents. They have scored 11 goals in their last 10 games overall, but away from home, they average 0.75 goals scored and 0.25 goals conceded. This defensive solidity is the key signal. The combined goal expectancy is 1.13, calculated from Home 0.38 and Away 0.75. This is the mathematical proof we need to trust the Under 2.5 Goals market. The bookmaker offers Under 2.5 Goals at 1.36. The market implies a 73.5% chance, but our model sees an 88% chance. This edge is where we make our money. We prefer value over risk. The fatigue levels are manageable, with 5 days rest for the home side and 4 days for the away side. Both teams are sharp, but the defensive metrics suggest a grind. Key Points: - Gimnasia M. Home Goals Scored: 0.50 per game - Estudiantes L.P. Away Goals Conceded: 0.25 per game - Combined Goal Expectancy: 1.13 - Bookmaker Under 2.5 Odds: 1.36 - Estudiantes Away Form: 0.00% Loss Rate in last 4 away games Summary: We are backing the Under 2.5 Goals market at 1.36 odds. The stats are clear, the value is there, and we don't need to chase goals that aren't coming. Stick to the plan and let the numbers do the work.

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