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Match analysis

Argentina flagArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina

San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes L.P.

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture.

Match Timeline

11'
San LorenzoM. Insaurralde⚽
Normal Goal → N. Barrios
18'
San LorenzoFacundo Gulli🟨
Yellow Card
21'
Estudiantes L.P.Ezequiel Piovi🟨
Yellow Card
26'
Estudiantes L.P.Leandro González Pírez🟨
Yellow Card
34'
Estudiantes L.P.Eric Meza🟨
Yellow Card
36'
San LorenzoMathias de Ritis🟨
Yellow Card
46'
San LorenzoM. De Ritis🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Rodriguez Pagano
55'
Estudiantes L.P.Perez Fabricio🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Cetre
57'
San LorenzoF. Gulli🔄
Substitution 2 → I. Perruzzi
57'
San LorenzoN. Barrios🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Reali
63'
Estudiantes L.P.Tomás Palacios
Card upgrade
65'
Estudiantes L.P.Tomás Palacios🟥
Red Card
66'
San LorenzoM. Insaurralde🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Abrego
67'
San LorenzoG. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Auzmendi
67'
Estudiantes L.P.L. Piovi🔄
Substitution 2 → Gabriel Neves
67'
Estudiantes L.P.A. Castro🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Nunez
68'
Estudiantes L.P.Santiago Núñez🟨
Yellow Card
79'
Estudiantes L.P.E. Mancuso🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Benedetti
79'
Estudiantes L.P.F. Farias🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Dominguez
86'
San LorenzoLautaro Montenegro🟨
Yellow Card
90'
San LorenzoNicolás Tripichio🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal7
10Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots1
6Shots insidebox9
4Shots outsidebox4
14Fouls15
4Corner Kicks3
1Offsides1
43Ball Possession57
4Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
335Total passes450
251Passes accurate372
75Passes %83

Tipster previews (2)

Value VinnyValue VinnyLost

San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes L.P. Betting Preview

The pickEstudiantes L.P. win

Chance
75%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+106.3%

Odds don't lie — but bookies do. Welcome to the numbers game, where we hunt for real value. Today, San Lorenzo hosts Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina. The bookies have priced the Away Win at 2.75, implying a 36.4% chance. But the data tells a different story…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

San LorenzoSan Lorenzo

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

Per game

San Lorenzo at home vs Estudiantes L.P. away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Liga Profesional Argentina

Overall edge
+61Estudiantes L.P.
Venue edge
+2San Lorenzo
Rating period
Match snapshot
San Lorenzo versus Estudiantes L.P.: long term Elo, before the match
San LorenzoSan LorenzoHomeRatingEstudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.Away
Strength
1,538Overall1,598
1,536Match venue1,534
1,536At home1,591
1,546Away1,534
Attack & defence
1,432Attack1,481
1,623Defence1,618
1,433Home attack1,506
1,407Away attack1,450
1,615Home defence1,608
1,641Away defence1,569
Match profile
1,017Goal environment1,213
1,300Home goals1,315
1,217Away goals1,398
1,495Possession1,520
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,495
1,493Set-piece defence1,495
1,532Close games1,566
1,533Winning margin1,613

Match venue compares San Lorenzo at home with Estudiantes L.P. away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1:1

Starting XI

12Orlando GillG
6Mathias de RitisD
28Nahuel BarriosM
9Alexis CuelloF
55Lautaro MontenegroD
8Manuel InsaurraldeM
10Facundo GulliF
4Jhohan RomañaD
24Nicolás TripichioM
32Ezequiel HerreraD
17Gregorio RodriguezD

Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1:1

Starting XI

1Fabricio IacovichG
40Eros MancusoD
29Fabricio PérezM
11Facundo FaríasF
24Tomás PalaciosD
22Alexis CastroM
10Tiago PalaciosF
14Leandro González PírezD
21Ezequiel PioviM
20Eric MezaD
32Mikel AmondarainM