Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 22:15
Full Time

Match Timeline

6'
E. Copetti
Normal Goal → J. Fernandez
21'
Emanuel Coronel🟨
Yellow Card
26'
Gaspar Duarte🟨
Yellow Card
34'
G. Duarte🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Di Maria
50'
Gastón Ávila🟨
Yellow Card
55'
J. Fernandez
Normal Goal → A. Di Maria
56'
Ángel Di María
Goal confirmed
59'
Alexis Soto🟨
Yellow Card
60'
G. Avila🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Quintana
60'
E. Coronel🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Mallo Blanco
60'
E. Copetti🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Veliz
60'
M. Valiente
Normal Goal
66'
M. Valiente🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Garnerone
66'
F. Gallardo🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Bajamich
72'
J. Ferreira🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Talpone
78'
J. Campaz🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Navarro
82'
Juan Antonini
Card upgrade
83'
Juan Antonini🟥
Red Card
84'
G. Alanis🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Galvan
85'
F. Cobos🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Valenti
90+3'
Gonzalo Maffini
Card upgrade
90+4'
Gonzalo Maffini🟥
Red Card
90+5'
Alejandro Cabrera🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal8
14Total Shots12
2Blocked Shots0
9Shots insidebox11
5Shots outsidebox1
12Fouls11
0Corner Kicks4
2Offsides1
43Ball Possession57
1Yellow Cards4
2Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
306Total passes430
227Passes accurate345
74Passes %80

Starting Lineups

Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1:1

Starting XI

43Agustín LastraG
28Facundo CobosD
22Mauro ValienteM
9Javier FerreiraF
30Sergio OjedaD
10Tomas GonzalezM
17Gabriel AlanísF
2Gonzalo MaffiniD
5Alejandro CabreraM
6Juan AntoniniD
35Facundo GallardoM

Rosario CentralRosario Central1:1

Starting XI

23Jeremias LedesmaG
33Alexis SotoD
20Vicente PizarroM
18Julián FernándezM
22Enzo CopettiF
13Gastón ÁvilaD
5Franco IbarraM
8Jaminton CampazM
46Ignacio OvandoD
27Gaspar DuarteM
32Emanuel CoronelD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Rosario Central
Rosario Central
Form: W-W-L-D-W
Record
1 W
2 D
7 L
6 W
2 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
0.3
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
0.9
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
10%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.6
Away:0.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1470
Average
1608
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1441
↓ Momentum (-29)
1615
↑ Momentum (+7)
Expected Outcome
23%
Home Win
27%
Draw
50%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1468
Attack
1493
1491
Defence
1621
Recent Form
1442
Attack
1479
1489
Defence
1598
Post-Match Changes
-9
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Rosario Central - Match Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+14.0%
Confidence:7

In the vast tapestry of football, patterns emerge like stars in the night sky. Tonight, the stars align for the visitors. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto find themselves in the shadows of the table, burdened by a heavy weight of poor form. They sit at the bottom, possessing but five points from fourteen battles. Their offense is silent, scoring merely three goals in ten recent contests. The defense, too, is porous, leaking goals with alarming frequency. At their home ground, their win rate is a mere 20%. They lack the fire to burn brightly. Rosario Central, however, stand tall in the eighth place. Twenty-four points speak of stability. In their last ten contests, they have claimed six victories. They possess a rhythm that the home side lacks. Their away form is particularly robust, winning half of their road games. They score with consistency, averaging 1.20 goals per game, while keeping their defense tight. The data suggests they control the ball and the tempo. The goal expectancy model paints a picture of a match where the visitors create the danger. Home side expected goals: 0.80. Away side expected goals: 1.00. The total is low, but the outcome is clear. The odds of 1.90 present a value that aligns with the reality of their form. When we examine the mechanics of play, the difference is stark. Rosario Central average 15.20 shots per game, while Estudiantes manage only 11.78. Possession tells a similar story, with the visitors holding 61.5% of the ball compared to the home side's 51.9%. Control is the key to victory, and the visitors hold the reins. Key Points: - Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are last in the table with only 5 points. - Rosario Central are 8th with 24 points and strong recent form. - Estudiantes have won only 1 of their last 10 games. - Rosario Central have won 6 of their last 10 games. - Goal expectancy favors the visitors (1.00 vs 0.80). Summary: The evidence points to a victory for the visitors. The Away Win is the choice.

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📝 Match Preview

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Rosario Central - Match Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+14.0%
Confidence:7

Hmmm. The form, it is clear. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, they struggle. Last place in the table, only five points from fourteen games. One win in ten matches, they have. Goals, few they score. 0.30 per game, that is the number. Defense, it is leaking. 1.10 goals conceded per game. A difficult situation, this is. At home, they win 20% of games. 0.60 goals scored at home. 1.00 goals conceded at home. Not good, it is. Rosario Central, they are different. Eighth place, twenty-four points. Six wins in ten games. Away form, it is strong. 50% win rate on the road. 1.00 goals scored away. 1.00 goals conceded away. Solid, they are. In the last ten games, 2.00 points per game. 1.20 goals scored per game. 0.90 goals conceded per game. Much stronger, they are. The odds, they tell a story. Away win at 1.90. Implied probability, 52.6% it is. True probability, I sense it is higher. 60% or more, perhaps. Value, there is. 6% edge, yes. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. The Under 2.5 Goals, also tempting. 1.48 odds. But below 1.6, it is risky. Super sure, you must be. The Away Win, it is the better choice. Goal expectancy, it says 0.80 for home, 1.00 for away. Total, 1.80 goals expected. Estudiantes, they have 11.78 shots per game. Rosario Central, 15.20 shots per game. More shots, more chances. Possession, Rosario Central has 61.5% on average. Estudiantes, 51.9%. Control, Rosario Central has more. Conclusion: The Away Win is the path. Confidence, 7/10. Probability, 60%. Odds, 1.90. The gap in form, it is large. Home team, they have no wins recently. Away team, they win often. Bet the Away Win.

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📝 Match Preview

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Rosario Central - Value Vinny Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+23.5%
Confidence:8

Odds don't lie — but bookies do. In this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on April 24, 2026, the data presents a massive disparity in form that creates a clear value opportunity. We are looking for Expected Value (EV) above all else, and the numbers scream for an Away Win. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are in severe distress. Their last 10 games show a dismal 10% win rate (1 win, 2 draws, 7 losses). They average just 0.50 points per game and have scored only 3 goals in their last 10 matches (0.30 goals per game). Their home record is equally concerning, with a 20% win rate in their last 5 home games. In the standings, they sit at the bottom with only 5 points from 14 games. Recent results highlight this struggle: a 0-1 loss to Gimnasia L.P. on April 18, a 1-2 home loss to Barracas Central on April 12, and a 0-2 loss to River Plate on March 22. Their defensive frailty is evident with 11 goals conceded in 10 games (1.10 per game). Conversely, Rosario Central are in exceptional form. Their last 10 games yield a 60% win rate (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). They average 2.00 points per game and have scored 12 goals (1.20 goals per game). In the standings, they sit 8th with 24 points. Their away form shows a 50% win rate in their last 6 away games. Recent results include a 2-1 win vs Sarmiento Junin on April 19, a 0-1 win vs Libertad Asuncion on April 15, and a 2-1 win vs Atletico Tucuman on April 5. Their defensive record is solid, conceding only 9 goals in 10 games (0.90 per game). The goal expectancy analysis suggests a total of 1.80 goals (Home 0.80, Away 1.00), which leans towards Under 2.5 Goals. However, the odds for Under 2.5 are 1.48, which is below the 1.6 threshold for long-term profitability. The value lies in the match outcome. Rosario Central's superior form (2.00 PPG vs 0.50 PPG) and higher goal output (1.20 vs 0.30) create a significant edge. The bookmakers offer 1.90 for an Away Win. Based on the form gap and standings disparity, the true probability of an Away Win is estimated at 65%, while the odds imply 52.6%. This provides a clear value edge of over 12%. Key Points: - Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 5 points, 0.30 goals/game, 10% win rate. - Rosario Central: 24 points, 1.20 goals/game, 60% win rate. - Goal Expectancy: 1.80 total goals. - Odds Value: Away Win at 1.90 offers significant EV. **Recommendation:** The data strongly favors the visitors. I am confident in an Away Win.

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📝 Match Preview

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Rosario Central - Match Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+14.0%
Confidence:7

What do you mean no meat? Welcome back, football fans! Pajimon here, ready to dive into the Liga Profesional Argentina clash between Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Rosario Central. It’s time to grab a beer and look at the stats, because this one looks like a proper braai – one side is well-fed, the other is starving. Let's look at the form. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are struggling mightily. In their last 10 games, they have managed just 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses. Their points per game is a dismal 0.50. They have scored only 3 goals in those 10 games (0.30 per game) while conceding 11 (1.10 per game). They sit at the bottom of the table with just 5 points from 14 matches. Their home performance is not much better, with a 20% win rate and 0.60 goals scored per game at home. On the other side, Rosario Central are flying. In their last 10 games, they have 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. That's a 60% win rate! They average 2.00 points per game. They have scored 12 goals (1.20 per game) and conceded 9 (0.90 per game). In the league table, they sit in 8th place with 24 points, a massive gap compared to Estudiantes. The goal expectancy data supports the visitors too. The model suggests an average of 1.00 expected goals for Rosario Central and 0.80 for Estudiantes. This points towards a lower scoring game overall, but the win probability heavily favors the visitors. The odds for an Away Win are 1.90. Given the form disparity, this offers value. Key Points: - Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are last in the table with only 5 points. - Rosario Central are 8th with 24 points and strong recent form. - Estudiantes have won only 1 of their last 10 games. - Rosario Central have won 6 of their last 10 games. - Goal expectancy favors the visitors (1.00 vs 0.80). Summary: Based on the massive gap in form and league position, the smart play is to back the visitors. The odds of 1.90 offer a solid edge given the 60% win rate for Rosario Central. Recommended Bet: Away Win.

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📝 Match Preview

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Rosario Central: Match Preview & Tips
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.90
Expected Value:+14.0%
Confidence:8

Right then, let's have a proper chat about this Liga Profesional Argentina clash. It's Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto hosting Rosario Central on April 24th, and the numbers tell a very clear story. We're looking at a massive mismatch in form and league standing. Estudiantes are sitting rock bottom of the table in 30th place with just 5 points from 14 games. Rosario Central, on the other hand, are comfortably in 8th with 24 points. That's a huge gap in the standings. When we look at the recent form over the last 10 games, the difference is even starker. Estudiantes have managed just 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses. Their goal output is painfully low, averaging only 0.30 goals per game. They've scored just 3 goals in their last 10 matches. Rosario Central, conversely, are flying with 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the same period. They're averaging 1.20 goals per game and have scored 12 goals in those 10 fixtures. Home and away splits also point in the same direction. Estudiantes' home form is shaky, with a 20% win rate in their last 5 home games. Rosario Central have been solid on the road, winning 50% of their last 6 away games. The goal expectancy suggests a low-scoring affair, but Rosario Central's attack is the stronger engine here. With Estudiantes struggling to find the net and Rosario Central showing much more consistency, the away side looks like the logical pick. Key Points: - Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are 30th in the table (5 pts) vs Rosario Central in 8th (24 pts). - Estudiantes have only 1 win in their last 10 games; Rosario Central have 6 wins. - Estudiantes average 0.30 goals per game; Rosario Central average 1.20 goals per game. - Rosario Central have a 50% win rate away from home in their last 6 games. - The odds for an Away Win are 1.90, which offers value given the form gap. In summary, the stats and form both point to the visitors taking the three points. The value is there, and the confidence is high enough to back them. My pick is an Away Win.

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