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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

RB Bragantino vs Atletico Paranaense

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Match Timeline

20'
RB BragantinoFabinho🟨
Yellow Card
29'
Atletico ParanaenseBruno Zapelli🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Atletico ParanaenseArthur Dias🟨
Yellow Card
44'
RB BragantinoJuninho Capixaba⚽
Normal Goal
45+4'
RB BragantinoAlix Vinicius🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Atletico ParanaenseS. Mendoza🔄
Substitution 1 → Julimar
46'
Atletico ParanaenseF. Aguirre🔄
Substitution 2 → Chiqueti
49'
RB BragantinoPedro Henrique🟨
Yellow Card
51'
RB BragantinoFabinho🟨
Yellow Card
51'
RB BragantinoFabinho🟥
Red Card
54'
RB BragantinoI. Pitta🔄
Substitution 1 → Matheus Fernandes
65'
Atletico ParanaenseB. Zapelli🔄
Substitution 3 → Joao Cruz
65'
Atletico ParanaenseJ. Portilla🔄
Substitution 4 → Dudu Kogitzki
67'
RB BragantinoGustavo Neves🔄
Substitution 2 → Eric Ramires
79'
Atletico ParanaenseJulimar⚽
Normal Goal → G. Benavidez
81'
RB BragantinoA. Hurtado🔄
Substitution 3 → Eduardo Santos
81'
RB BragantinoEduardo Sasha🔄
Substitution 4 → Fernando Santos
81'
RB BragantinoH. Mosquera🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Herrera
87'
RB BragantinoAlix Vinicius🟨
Yellow Card
87'
RB BragantinoAlix Vinicius🟥
Red Card
90+4'
Atletico ParanaenseLuiz Gustavo🔄
Substitution 5 → Leozinho

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal8
7Total Shots18
1Blocked Shots4
3Shots insidebox9
4Shots outsidebox9
18Fouls16
2Corner Kicks7
2Offsides2
39Ball Possession61
5Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
249Total passes381
180Passes accurate323
72Passes %85
0.64expected_goals1.15
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonPajimonLost

Bragantino's Fortress Too Strong for Tired Paranaense

The pickRB Bragantino win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

Howzit my bru! Nothing beats a Tuesday night under the Brazilian lights with a cold beer in hand and the smell of the braai in the air - and this Serie A clash is looking lekker for a punt! RB Bragantino have built themselves a proper fortress at home. Looking at their recent…

The Big "O"The Big "O"Lost

Bragantino vs Atletico PR: Over 2.5 Goals Value Play

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+21.0%

Listen up, lovers of the beautiful game—The Big O is back, and I'm hunting for that sweet, sweet climax of action. None of that dull, underwhelming, grinding football that leaves you frustrated and reaching for the remote. No, darling, we're going Over—way Over—and this Serie A…

Umery UnderdogUmery UnderdogLost

Atletico Paranaense at 4.20: The Puppy Has Bite!

The pickAtletico Paranaense win

Chance
27%
Odds
4.20
Model EV
+13.4%

Oh, what a delightful little mismatch the market has served us today, my friends! Here we have RB Bragantino and Atletico Paranaense sitting pretty as equals in the Serie A table—both on 6 points, separated by mere alphabetical fortune in 6th and 7th place—yet the bookies have…

Value VinnyValue VinnyLost

Home Fortress Offers Mathematical Edge at 1.80

The pickRB Bragantino win

Chance
58%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+4.4%

Both RB Bragantino and Atletico Paranaense arrive at this Serie A fixture locked on six points apiece, but the mathematics strongly favour one side when you peel back the surface-level parity. The market has priced Bragantino at 1.80 to claim maximum points, and from a pure…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Per game

RB Bragantino at home vs Atletico Paranaense away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+31RB Bragantino
Venue edge
+109RB Bragantino
Rating period
Match snapshot
RB Bragantino versus Atletico Paranaense: long term Elo, before the match
RB BragantinoRB BragantinoHomeRatingAtletico ParanaenseAtletico ParanaenseAway
Strength
1,526Overall1,495
1,586Match venue1,477
1,586At home1,557
1,458Away1,477
Attack & defence
1,463Attack1,455
1,536Defence1,579
1,506Home attack1,498
1,437Away attack1,426
1,562Home defence1,571
1,516Away defence1,576
Match profile
1,508Goal environment1,182
1,518Home goals1,387
1,490Away goals1,295
1,497Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,509Set-piece attack1,515
1,508Set-piece defence1,514
1,532Close games1,476
1,523Winning margin1,503

Match venue compares RB Bragantino at home with Atletico Paranaense away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino1:1

Starting XI

1CleitonG
29Juninho CapixabaD
30Henry MosqueraM
8Eduardo SashaF
14Pedro HenriqueD
22Gustavo NevesM
9Isidro PittaF
4Alix ViniciusD
5FabinhoM
34José Andrés HurtadoD
21Lucas BarbosaM

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense1:1

Starting XI

23SantosG
4Arthur DiasD
37Lucas EsquivelM
10Bruno ZapelliF
9Kevin ViverosF
33Juan Felipe AguirreD
14Luiz GustavoM
7Stiven MendozaF
13Carlos TeránD
27Camilo PortillaM
29Gastón BenavídezM