Match analysis
BrazilSerie A
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.
J. Nardoni🟨
Natanael🟥C. Pavon🟨Gustavo Scarpa🔄E. Noriega⚽Gabriel Mec🟨Victor Hugo⚽Marlon⚽Hulk🔄Gabriel Mec🔄Cuello🔄C. Pavon🔄J. Enamorado🔄Victor Hugo🔄Carlos Vinicius🟨J. Nardoni🔄Vitor Hugo🔄Gremio beat Atletico-MG 2-1 on Thursday 26 February in a Serie A fixture. It was goalless at half-time. On the numbers, Gremio saw more of the ball (63%), while the shot count was 18 for Gremio and 8 for Atletico-MG.
E. Noriega (51') and Marlon (66') got on the scoresheet for Gremio. For Atletico-MG, Victor Hugo (56') was on target. In the 17th minute, Natanael saw red for Atletico-MG.
Three of our four tips landed, with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score coming in.
4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| GremioHome | Rating | Atletico-MGAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,551 | Overall | 1,528 |
| 1,608 | Match venue | 1,470 |
| 1,608 | At home | 1,613 |
| 1,472 | Away | 1,470 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,541 | Attack | 1,489 |
| 1,521 | Defence | 1,549 |
| 1,555 | Home attack | 1,568 |
| 1,490 | Away attack | 1,404 |
| 1,549 | Home defence | 1,556 |
| 1,500 | Away defence | 1,560 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,213 | Goal environment | 1,595 |
| 1,397 | Home goals | 1,670 |
| 1,317 | Away goals | 1,425 |
| 1,484 | Possession | 1,514 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,505 | Set-piece attack | 1,508 |
| 1,504 | Set-piece defence | 1,507 |
| 1,490 | Close games | 1,512 |
| 1,565 | Winning margin | 1,538 |
Match venue compares Gremio at home with Atletico-MG away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Gremio1:1Atletico-MG1:1
The Big "O"WonThe pickOver 2.5
The Big O is absolutely throbbing with excitement for this Serie A clash, and trust me, when I get this worked up, it usually means we're in for a proper climax of goals. Gremio hosting Atletico-MG isn't just any fixture – it's a meeting of two sides who've been serving up…
Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWonThe pickBTTS Yes
Difficult to see, the future is. But analyze the past, we must. Gremio, at home a fortress strong they have built. Sixty percent win rate, zero defeats in last five at home, and 2.60 goals per game they average. Yet declining, their momentum is - two draws against Juventude…
Umery UnderdogLostThe pickAtletico-MG win
Hello my lovely little puppies! Umery Underdog here, and I've got my tail wagging for this Serie A clash under the lights. While the majority might be flocking to the home side with their expectations sky-high, my nose is twitching at the scent of value lurking in the away…
Value VinnyWonThe pickOver 2.5
The numbers don't lie, and neither do I. When the Poisson distribution gives you a combined goal expectancy pushing 3.81, you don't ask questions—you bet the over. Gremio host Atletico-MG in what has historically been a fireworks factory, and the mathematics scream that we're…
Gremio and Atletico-MG have met 30 times since July 2012: Gremio have won 15, Atletico-MG have taken ten and five were drawn. Our Gremio vs Atletico-MG prediction page has every tip on this pairing.
