Skip to main content

Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Match Timeline

4'
Atletico ParanaenseKevin Viveros⚽
Normal Goal → Dudu
17'
Atletico ParanaenseLuiz Gustavo🟨
Yellow Card
36'
BotafogoCristian Medina🟨
Yellow Card
43'
BotafogoEdenilson⚽
Normal Goal
45+3'
Atletico ParanaenseKevin Viveros⚽
Normal Goal → Gastón Benavídez
48'
BotafogoAlexander Barboza🟨
Yellow Card
49'
Atletico ParanaenseJuan Felipe Aguirre⚽
Normal Goal → Lucas Esquivel
56'
Atletico ParanaenseArthur Dias🟨
Yellow Card
58'
BotafogoSantiago Rodríguez🔄
Substitution 1 → Lucas Villalba
58'
BotafogoMatheus Martins🔄
Substitution 2 → Júnior Santos
61'
Atletico ParanaenseJulimar🔄
Substitution 1 → Bruno Zapelli
61'
Atletico ParanaenseArthur Dias🔄
Substitution 2 → Carlos Terán
74'
BotafogoArthur Cabral🔄
Substitution 3 → Nathan Fernandes
75'
BotafogoEdenilson🔄
Substitution 4 → Jordan Barrera
81'
Atletico ParanaenseLucas Esquivel⚽
Normal Goal
88'
Atletico ParanaenseDudu🔄
Substitution 3 → Camilo Portilla
89'
Atletico ParanaenseKevin Viveros🔄
Substitution 4 → Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
90'
Atletico ParanaenseSteven Mendoza🔄
Substitution 5 → Leonardo Derik
90+2'
BotafogoJúnior Santos🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal4
11Total Shots12
2Blocked Shots5
6Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox6
15Fouls13
1Corner Kicks8
4Offsides2
46Ball Possession54
2Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves4
352Total passes403
302Passes accurate346
86Passes %86
1.42expected_goals0.81
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Mr SimpleMr SimpleWon

Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo: Home Win Value

The pickAtletico Paranaense win

Chance
68%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+29.9%

Right, let's have a proper look at this one. Atletico Paranaense are flying at the moment, sitting 6th in the table with 13 points from 7 games. Botafogo, on the other hand, are in a proper pickle - 17th with just 6 points from 6 games. That's a seven-point gap and it tells you…

PajimonPajimonWon

Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo: Home Win Value at 1.91

The pickAtletico Paranaense win

Chance
58%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+10.8%

Howzit football fans! Pajimon here to break down this Serie A clash between Atletico Paranaense and Botafogo. Let's get straight into it, shall we? Atletico Paranaense are currently sitting pretty in 6th place with 13 points from 7 games. They've been cooking it up at home…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

BotafogoBotafogo

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Atletico Paranaense at home vs Botafogo away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+107Botafogo
Venue edge
+23Botafogo
Rating period
Match snapshot
Atletico Paranaense versus Botafogo: long term Elo, before the match
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico ParanaenseHomeRatingBotafogoBotafogoAway
Strength
1,524Overall1,631
1,577Match venue1,599
1,577At home1,634
1,475Away1,599
Attack & defence
1,484Attack1,579
1,576Defence1,581
1,509Home attack1,603
1,441Away attack1,507
1,582Home defence1,557
1,562Away defence1,634
Match profile
1,188Goal environment1,240
1,387Home goals1,442
1,302Away goals1,298
1,496Possession1,503
Specialist ratings
1,510Set-piece attack1,470
1,510Set-piece defence1,471
1,489Close games1,584
1,536Winning margin1,646

Match venue compares Atletico Paranaense at home with Botafogo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense1:1

Starting XI

23SantosG
37Lucas EsquivelD
7Steven MendozaM
20JulimarF
9Kevin ViverosF
33Juan Felipe AguirreD
14Luiz GustavoM
53DuduF
4Arthur DiasD
16JádsonM
29Gastón BenavídezM

BotafogoBotafogo1:1

Starting XI

1RaulG
13Alex TellesD
88EdenilsonM
11Matheus MartinsM
19Arthur CabralF
20Alexander BarbozaD
6Cristian MedinaM
10Álvaro MontoroM
15BastosD
23Santiago RodríguezM
2VitinhoD