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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Atletico-MG vs Internacional

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Match Timeline

-5'
Atletico-MGRuan🟨
Yellow Card
2'
Atletico-MGTomás Cuello⚽
Normal Goal → Hulk
46'
InternacionalBruno Gomes🔄
Substitution 1 → Bruno Tabata
58'
Atletico-MGGustavo Scarpa🔄
Substitution 1 → Alan Minda
67'
InternacionalAlerrandro🔄
Substitution 2 → Rafael Borré
68'
InternacionalJohan Carbonero🔄
Substitution 3 → Kayky
70'
Atletico-MGRuan🔄
Substitution 2 → Ángelo Preciado
70'
Atletico-MGMateo Cassierra🔄
Substitution 3 → Reinier
75'
Atletico-MGVictor Hugo🔄
Substitution 4 → Tomás Pérez
75'
Atletico-MGTomás Cuello🔄
Substitution 5 → Dudu
84'
InternacionalAlan Patrick🔄
Substitution 4 → Vitinho
84'
InternacionalPaulinho Paula🔄
Substitution 5 → Bruno Henrique
90+3'
Atletico-MGVitor Hugo🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
InternacionalAlexandro Bernabei🟨
Yellow Card
90+7'
InternacionalVictor Gabriel🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal8
7Total Shots19
0Blocked Shots4
6Shots insidebox10
1Shots outsidebox9
16Fouls20
2Corner Kicks14
2Offsides4
35Ball Possession65
2Yellow Cards2
7Goalkeeper Saves2
285Total passes499
208Passes accurate420
73Passes %84
0.68expected_goals1.82
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (2)

Umery UnderdogUmery UnderdogLost

Back the Underdog: Internacional Value at 3.70

The pickInternacional win

Chance
30%
Odds
3.70
Model EV
+11.0%

Hello my fellow underdog lovers! Umery here, and I've got my tail wagging for this Serie A clash between two giants who've had a ruff start to the season. Atletico-MG host Internacional on March 11th, and while the market sees the home side as favorites at 2.00, my nose is…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

InternacionalInternacional

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Atletico-MG at home vs Internacional away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+6Atletico-MG
Venue edge
+102Atletico-MG
Rating period
Match snapshot
Atletico-MG versus Internacional: long term Elo, before the match
Atletico-MGAtletico-MGHomeRatingInternacionalInternacionalAway
Strength
1,513Overall1,507
1,613Match venue1,511
1,613At home1,580
1,463Away1,511
Attack & defence
1,485Attack1,484
1,544Defence1,531
1,568Home attack1,529
1,405Away attack1,458
1,556Home defence1,574
1,555Away defence1,532
Match profile
1,597Goal environment1,177
1,670Home goals1,463
1,427Away goals1,213
1,510Possession1,507
Specialist ratings
1,503Set-piece attack1,524
1,503Set-piece defence1,523
1,496Close games1,505
1,523Winning margin1,501

Match venue compares Atletico-MG at home with Internacional away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG1:1

Starting XI

22EversonG
16Renan LodiD
21Alan FrancoM
10Gustavo ScarpaM
9Mateo CassierraF
14Vitor HugoD
30Victor HugoM
7HulkM
4RuanD
28Tomás CuelloM
3Iván RománD

InternacionalInternacional1:1

Starting XI

1Sergio RochetG
41Victor GabrielD
26Alexandro BernabeiM
7Johan CarboneroF
9AlerrandroF
4Félix TorresD
14Alan RodríguezM
10Alan PatrickF
15Bruno GomesD
27Paulinho PaulaM
35Braian AguirreM