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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Gremio vs RB Bragantino

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

7'
GremioCarlos Vinicius⚽
Normal Goal → J. Enamorado
22'
RB BragantinoHenry Mosquera🟨
Yellow Card
26'
RB BragantinoLucas Barbosa⚽
Goal cancelled
37'
RB BragantinoLucas Barbosa🟨
Yellow Card
46'
RB BragantinoGabriel🔄
Substitution 1 → Matheus Fernandes
54'
GremioJosé Enamorado🟨
Yellow Card
60'
GremioM. Monsalve🔄
Substitution 1 → Dodi
60'
GremioGabriel Mec🔄
Substitution 2 → Caio Paulista
63'
RB BragantinoJ. Herrera🔄
Substitution 2 → I. Pitta
63'
RB BragantinoGustavo Neves🔄
Substitution 3 → Rodriguinho
66'
RB BragantinoRodriguinho⚽
Normal Goal → Juninho Capixaba
67'
RB BragantinoRodriguinho🟨
Yellow Card
67'
RB BragantinoRodriguinho⚽
Goal confirmed
69'
GremioJ. Enamorado🔄
Substitution 3 → Roger
70'
GremioMarlon🟨
Yellow Card
79'
RB BragantinoA. Hurtado🔄
Substitution 4 → Eduardo Santos
82'
RB BragantinoEduardo Sasha🔄
Substitution 5 → I. Sosa
90+2'
GremioJ. Nardoni🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Perez
90+4'
RB BragantinoJuninho Capixaba🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal10
13Total Shots20
2Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox11
4Shots outsidebox9
13Fouls13
4Corner Kicks6
1Offsides2
39Ball Possession61
2Yellow Cards4
7Goalkeeper Saves4
268Total passes436
210Passes accurate363
78Passes %83
1.41expected_goals1.59
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (2)

PajimonPajimonWon

Gremio vs Bragantino: Under 2.5 Goals Value Bet

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+7.3%

Howzit boet! Grab a cold one and stoke the braai because we've got a lekker Serie A clash coming up Thursday night. Gremio hosting RB Bragantino, and I'm telling you, this one's got all the makings of a tactical chess match rather than a goal-fest. Looking at the table, these…

Umery UnderdogUmery UnderdogLost

Back the Underdog: RB Bragantino to Shock Gremio

The pickRB Bragantino win

Chance
30%
Odds
3.70
Model EV
+11.0%

Hello my fellow puppy lovers! Umery Underdog here, and I've got my tail wagging about this Serie A clash. While the markets are falling over themselves to back Gremio at 1.95, I'm looking at the little guys from Bragantino at a juicy 3.70 - and I see hidden value that the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

GremioGremio

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Gremio at home vs RB Bragantino away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+42Gremio
Venue edge
+157Gremio
Rating period
Match snapshot
Gremio versus RB Bragantino: long term Elo, before the match
GremioGremioHomeRatingRB BragantinoRB BragantinoAway
Strength
1,566Overall1,524
1,616Match venue1,458
1,616At home1,582
1,472Away1,458
Attack & defence
1,546Attack1,462
1,524Defence1,538
1,560Home attack1,504
1,490Away attack1,437
1,549Home defence1,562
1,500Away defence1,516
Match profile
1,215Goal environment1,507
1,398Home goals1,517
1,317Away goals1,490
1,488Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,510Set-piece attack1,500
1,509Set-piece defence1,500
1,506Close games1,530
1,580Winning margin1,522

Match venue compares Gremio at home with RB Bragantino away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GremioGremio1:1

Starting XI

1WevertonG
23MarlonD
19Erick NoriegaM
37Gabriel MecM
95Carlos ViníciusF
44VieryD
5Juan NardoniM
6Gustavo MartinsD
11Miguel MonsalveM
7Cristian PavónD
99José EnamoradoM

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino1:1

Starting XI

1CleitonG
29Juninho CapixabaD
30Henry MosqueraM
8Eduardo SashaF
16Gustavo MarquesD
22Gustavo NevesM
32José HerreraF
14Pedro HenriqueD
6Gabriel GirottoM
34José Andrés HurtadoD
21Lucas BarbosaM