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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Botafogo vs Flamengo

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:3HT 0–2

Match Timeline

13'
FlamengoSamuel Lino⚽
Normal Goal → G. Varela
44'
BotafogoA. Barboza🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
BotafogoAlex Telles🟨
Yellow Card
45+2'
FlamengoLeo Pereira⚽
Normal Goal
45+4'
BotafogoAllan🟨
Yellow Card
45+9'
BotafogoA. Barboza🟥
Red Card
45+12'
BotafogoM. Anselmi🟨
Yellow Card
46'
BotafogoAllan🔄
Substitution 1 → Newton
46'
BotafogoMatheus Martins🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Ferraresi
49'
FlamengoPedro⚽
Normal Goal → G. Varela
55'
BotafogoJ. Barrera🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Ponte
59'
FlamengoE. Pulgar🟨
Yellow Card
65'
FlamengoAlex Sandro🔄
Substitution 1 → Ayrton Lucas
65'
FlamengoLeo Pereira🔄
Substitution 2 → Vitao
67'
FlamengoJorginho🟨
Yellow Card
70'
FlamengoE. Pulgar🔄
Substitution 3 → Evertton Araujo
71'
BotafogoArthur Cabral🔄
Substitution 4 → Junior Santos
81'
BotafogoDanilo🔄
Substitution 5 → Edenilson
86'
FlamengoJ. Carrascal🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Plata
86'
FlamengoJorginho🔄
Substitution 5 → Luiz Araujo

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal7
7Total Shots18
2Blocked Shots5
3Shots insidebox10
4Shots outsidebox8
16Fouls10
2Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
42Ball Possession58
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
416Total passes584
356Passes accurate525
86Passes %90
0.72expected_goals1.16
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Mr SimpleMr SimpleWon

Flamengo to Keep the Heat on Struggling Botafogo

The pickFlamengo win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+15.5%

Alright, settle down with your pints, lads. We've got a tasty Rio derby on the cards here as Botafogo host Flamengo in Serie A action. Now, I know what you're thinking - derby day, anything can happen, right? Well, let's have a butcher's hook at the numbers before we start…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

BotafogoBotafogo

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

FlamengoFlamengo

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Per game

Botafogo at home vs Flamengo away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+61Flamengo
Venue edge
+4Botafogo
Rating period
Match snapshot
Botafogo versus Flamengo: long term Elo, before the match
BotafogoBotafogoHomeRatingFlamengoFlamengoAway
Strength
1,646Overall1,707
1,647Match venue1,643
1,647At home1,712
1,596Away1,643
Attack & defence
1,591Attack1,618
1,599Defence1,639
1,619Home attack1,598
1,498Away attack1,600
1,570Home defence1,654
1,642Away defence1,599
Match profile
1,235Goal environment1,618
1,440Home goals1,563
1,295Away goals1,555
1,507Possession1,548
Specialist ratings
1,486Set-piece attack1,525
1,487Set-piece defence1,525
1,585Close games1,600
1,668Winning margin1,741

Match venue compares Botafogo at home with Flamengo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BotafogoBotafogo1:1

Starting XI

1RaúlG
13Alex TellesD
6Cristian MedinaM
14Jordan BarreraM
19Arthur CabralF
20Alexander BarbozaD
25AllanM
8DaniloM
15BastosD
11Matheus MartinsM
2VitinhoD

FlamengoFlamengo1:1

Starting XI

1Agustín RossiG
26Alex SandroD
21JorginhoM
16Samuel LinoM
9PedroF
4Léo PereiraD
5Erick PulgarM
20Lucas PaquetáM
3Léo OrtizD
15Jorge CarrascalM
2Guillermo VarelaD