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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Mirassol vs Coritiba

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

16'
MirassolVictor Luis🟨
Yellow Card
46'
MirassolVictor Luis🔄
Substitution 1 → Daniel Borges
46'
CoritibaLucas Ronier🔄
Substitution 1 → Breno Lopes
46'
CoritibaS. Gomez🔄
Substitution 2 → Vini Paulista
58'
CoritibaFelipe Jonatan🔄
Substitution 3 → Maicon
64'
CoritibaJ. Lavega⚽
Normal Goal
67'
CoritibaWillian Oliveira🔄
Substitution 4 → Wallisson
67'
MirassolNeto Moura🔄
Substitution 2 → Nathan Fogaca
67'
MirassolTiquinho Soares🔄
Substitution 3 → Andre Luis
67'
MirassolAlesson🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Galeano
69'
CoritibaJ. Lavega🟨
Yellow Card
79'
CoritibaJ. Lavega🔄
Substitution 5 → Josue
79'
MirassolGabriel Pires🔄
Substitution 5 → Shaylon
82'
MirassolJose Aldo🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
CoritibaJosue🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal5
21Total Shots14
3Blocked Shots5
14Shots insidebox8
7Shots outsidebox6
8Fouls11
7Corner Kicks2
3Offsides3
69Ball Possession31
2Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves6
592Total passes275
534Passes accurate203
90Passes %74
1.56expected_goals1.07
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Umery UnderdogUmery UnderdogWon

Mirassol vs Coritiba: Underdog Value in Serie A

The pickCoritiba win

Chance
35%
Odds
5.00
Model EV
+75.0%

Welcome back to another underdog analysis! 🐾 Today we are looking at a Serie A fixture where the odds might be tempting, but the smart money is on the little pup. As Umery Underdog, I never back the favourites; I only ever bet on the overlooked teams with the most value. This…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

MirassolMirassol

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

CoritibaCoritiba

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Mirassol at home vs Coritiba away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+159Mirassol
Venue edge
+209Mirassol
Rating period
Match snapshot
Mirassol versus Coritiba: long term Elo, before the match
MirassolMirassolHomeRatingCoritibaCoritibaAway
Strength
1,628Overall1,469
1,620Match venue1,411
1,620At home1,458
1,525Away1,411
Attack & defence
1,579Attack1,472
1,573Defence1,498
1,617Home attack1,404
1,492Away attack1,508
1,542Home defence1,554
1,548Away defence1,408
Match profile
1,535Goal environment1,398
1,550Home goals1,275
1,485Away goals1,623
1,520Possession1,484
Specialist ratings
1,515Set-piece attack1,470
1,514Set-piece defence1,471
1,560Close games1,470
1,650Winning margin1,475

Match venue compares Mirassol at home with Coritiba away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MirassolMirassol1:1

Starting XI

22WalterG
12Victor LuisD
21Jose AldoM
11NeguebaM
29Tiquinho SoaresF
3Willian MachadoD
25Neto Moura3:2
18Gabriel PiresM
34Joao VictorD
77AlessonM
32Igor FormigaD

CoritibaCoritiba1:1

Starting XI

12Pedro RangelG
6Felipe JonatanD
7J. LavegaM
32Pedro RochaF
26Bruno MeloD
19S. GomezM
23Tiago CoserD
29Willian OliveiraM
55JacyD
11Lucas RonierM
44Joao Pedro ChermontD