Skip to main content

Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Palmeiras vs Botafogo

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

PalmeirasPalmeirasHome
Full time2:1HT 1–0
BotafogoBotafogoAway

Match Timeline

9'
PalmeirasAllan Elias⚽
Normal Goal → Andreas Pereira
45'
BotafogoCristian Medina🟥
Red Card
46'
BotafogoJunior Santos🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Rodriguez
53'
PalmeirasJ. Arias⚽
Normal Goal → Andreas Pereira
57'
BotafogoJ. Barrera🔄
Substitution 2 → L. M. Villalba Jaume
59'
BotafogoDanilo⚽
Normal Goal
70'
BotafogoN. Ferraresi🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Justino
71'
PalmeirasMauricio🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Sosa
71'
BotafogoBastos🔄
Substitution 4 → Artur
72'
PalmeirasJ. Lopez🔄
Substitution 2 → Vitor Roque
72'
PalmeirasAndreas Pereira🔄
Substitution 3 → Lucas Evangelista
80'
BotafogoMatheus Martins🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Correa
85'
PalmeirasAllan Elias🔄
Substitution 4 → Felipe Anderson
85'
PalmeirasJ. Arias🔄
Substitution 5 → Larson
88'
PalmeirasRamón Sosa🟨
Yellow Card
89'
BotafogoJoaquín Correa🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
BotafogoLucas Villalba🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal1
19Total Shots6
2Blocked Shots2
13Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls13
6Corner Kicks1
5Offsides0
52Ball Possession48
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
401Total passes368
344Passes accurate304
86Passes %83
1.71expected_goals0.6
0goals_prevented0

Tipster preview

PajimonPajimonLost

Palmeiras vs Botafogo Serie A Betting Preview & Tips

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
67%
Odds
2.08
Model EV
+39.4%

Palmeiras host Botafogo in a crucial Serie A clash on March 18th, 2026. The numbers paint a clear picture of a mismatch on paper, yet the history between these sides tells a more complicated story. Palmeiras sit 4th in the table with 10 points from 5 games, boasting an 80% win…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

PalmeirasPalmeiras

8W 1D 1L2.50 pts/game

BotafogoBotafogo

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Palmeiras at home vs Botafogo away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+66Palmeiras
Venue edge
+108Palmeiras
Rating period
Match snapshot
Palmeiras versus Botafogo: long term Elo, before the match
PalmeirasPalmeirasHomeRatingBotafogoBotafogoAway
Strength
1,699Overall1,633
1,704Match venue1,596
1,704At home1,634
1,653Away1,596
Attack & defence
1,614Attack1,579
1,628Defence1,585
1,572Home attack1,603
1,600Away attack1,498
1,675Home defence1,557
1,591Away defence1,642
Match profile
1,545Goal environment1,237
1,605Home goals1,442
1,440Away goals1,295
1,504Possession1,506
Specialist ratings
1,501Set-piece attack1,483
1,501Set-piece defence1,483
1,600Close games1,585
1,733Winning margin1,648

Match venue compares Palmeiras at home with Botafogo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

PalmeirasPalmeiras1:1

Starting XI

1Carlos MiguelG
56Arthur GabrielD
17Marlon FreitasM
11J. AriasM
42J. LopezF
26MuriloD
8Andreas PereiraM
18MauricioM
15G. GomezD
40Allan EliasM
4A. GiayD

BotafogoBotafogo1:1

Starting XI

1Raul SteffensG
13Alex TellesD
8DaniloM
10A. MontoroM
17Junior SantosF
5N. FerraresiD
6C. MedinaM
11Matheus MartinsF
15BastosD
14J. BarreraM
2VitinhoD

Quick Links

Palmeiras Team Page →Botafogo Team Page →View Serie A Overview →View Standings →