Match analysis
BrazilSerie A
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.
G. Escobar🟨Gabriel Barbosa⚽Gabriel Barbosa🟨Cuca🟨Cuca🟨Luan Peres🟨
Lyanco🟨Gustavo Henrique🔄Rony🔄Moises⚽Natanael🔄Reinier🔄Hulk🔄Gabriel Barbosa🔄Victor Hugo🔄T. Perez🔄Gabriel Bontempo🔄
Value VinnyWonThe pickSantos win
The stage is set for a crucial Serie A clash between Santos and Atletico-MG on April 11, 2026. As Value Vinny, my job is to cut through the noise and find where the bookies have mispriced the probability. The odds currently sit at 2.20 for a Santos home win, implying a 45.4%…
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| SantosHome | Rating | Atletico-MGAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,535 | Overall | 1,549 |
| 1,555 | Match venue | 1,459 |
| 1,555 | At home | 1,638 |
| 1,467 | Away | 1,459 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,509 | Attack | 1,486 |
| 1,548 | Defence | 1,573 |
| 1,496 | Home attack | 1,561 |
| 1,467 | Away attack | 1,411 |
| 1,581 | Home defence | 1,576 |
| 1,488 | Away defence | 1,560 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,258 | Goal environment | 1,587 |
| 1,473 | Home goals | 1,662 |
| 1,285 | Away goals | 1,425 |
| 1,502 | Possession | 1,504 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,494 | Set-piece attack | 1,488 |
| 1,494 | Set-piece defence | 1,489 |
| 1,513 | Close games | 1,530 |
| 1,546 | Winning margin | 1,559 |
Match venue compares Santos at home with Atletico-MG away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Santos1:1Atletico-MG1:1
