Skip to main content

Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Flamengo vs Bahia

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

17'
FlamengoG. de Arrascaeta⚽
Normal Goal → Pedro
18'
FlamengoGiorgian de Arrascaeta🟨
Yellow Card
44'
FlamengoLeo Pereira🟨
Yellow Card
46'
BahiaGilberto🔄
Substitution 1 → Caio Alexandre
46'
BahiaWillian Jose🔄
Substitution 2 → Everaldo
66'
FlamengoSamuel Lino🔄
Substitution 1 → Bruno Henrique
74'
BahiaErick Pulga🔄
Substitution 3 → Ademir
74'
BahiaEverton Ribeiro🔄
Substitution 4 → Michel Araujo
79'
FlamengoEvertton Araujo🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Niguez
79'
FlamengoG. de Arrascaeta🔄
Substitution 3 → N. de la Cruz
80'
FlamengoLucas Paqueta⚽
Normal Goal → S. Niguez
85'
FlamengoG. Plata🔄
Substitution 4 → Luiz Araujo
85'
FlamengoPedro🔄
Substitution 5 → Everton
85'
BahiaC. Olivera🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Sanabria

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
20Total Shots13
6Blocked Shots2
12Shots insidebox6
8Shots outsidebox7
12Fouls8
6Corner Kicks1
0Offsides2
52Ball Possession48
2Yellow Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves6
561Total passes506
491Passes accurate449
88Passes %89
1.91expected_goals0.56
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonPajimonWon

Flamengo vs Bahia - Serie A Preview & Bet

The pickFlamengo win

Chance
75%
Odds
1.44
Model EV
+8.0%

Hoe gaan dit, bettors! Pajimon here, ready to serve up some serious football analysis. We've got a massive Serie A clash coming up: Flamengo vs Bahia. This is the kind of match where you want to grab your beer and get ready for a proper spectacle. Let's dig into the stats to…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceYoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Flamengo vs Bahia: The Path to Victory

The pickFlamengo win

Chance
80%
Odds
1.44
Model EV
+15.2%

Listen closely, young padawan. The path to victory is not always clear, but the signs are there for those who look with wisdom. Flamengo, at home, they are strong. Bahia, they are dangerous, yes, but the history books, they tell a different story. Flamengo's home fortress is…

Mr SimpleMr SimpleWon

Flamengo vs Bahia: Mr Simple's Preview

The pickBTTS No

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

Right, let's get straight to the business. It's Flamengo versus Bahia in the Brazilian Serie A, and the numbers tell a very clear story. Flamengo are the home side, and they've got a massive psychological advantage here. Look at the head-to-head record: in the last 10 meetings…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

FlamengoFlamengo

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

BahiaBahia

7W 1D 2L2.20 pts/game

Per game

Flamengo at home vs Bahia away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+103Flamengo
Venue edge
+232Flamengo
Rating period
Match snapshot
Flamengo versus Bahia: long term Elo, before the match
FlamengoFlamengoHomeRatingBahiaBahiaAway
Strength
1,717Overall1,614
1,722Match venue1,490
1,722At home1,645
1,653Away1,490
Attack & defence
1,632Attack1,526
1,635Defence1,582
1,618Home attack1,556
1,598Away attack1,465
1,660Home defence1,632
1,600Away defence1,504
Match profile
1,628Goal environment1,307
1,570Home goals1,333
1,558Away goals1,473
1,544Possession1,523
Specialist ratings
1,504Set-piece attack1,514
1,504Set-piece defence1,514
1,612Close games1,599
1,744Winning margin1,613

Match venue compares Flamengo at home with Bahia away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FlamengoFlamengo1:1

Starting XI

1Agustín RossiG
26Alex SandroD
20Lucas PaquetáM
16Samuel LinoM
9PedroF
4Leo PereiraD
52Evertton AraujoM
14Giorgian de ArrascaetaM
3Léo OrtizD
19Gonzalo PlataM
2Guillermo VarelaD

BahiaBahia1:1

Starting XI

22Leo VieiraG
46Luciano JubaD
6Jean LucasM
16Erick PulgaF
21Santiago Ramos MingoD
5Nicolás AcevedoM
12Willian JoseF
33David DuarteD
10Everton RibeiroM
99Cristian OliveraF
2GilbertoD