Match analysis
BrazilSerie A
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.
J. Lopez⚽
Juninho Capixaba🟨Allan Elias🔄J. Lopez🔄Matheus Fernandes🔄H. Mosquera🔄Eduardo Sasha🔄Felipe Anderson🟨Andreas Pereira🔄Agustín Giay🟨R. Sosa🔄J. Arias🔄Gabriel🔄A. Hurtado🔄
Value VinnyWonThe pickPalmeiras win
The Serie A clash between RB Bragantino and Palmeiras presents a classic case of mathematical mispricing. As Value Vinny, I don't chase narratives; I chase expected value. When the bookmakers set the away win at 2.30, they are implying a 43.5% chance of success. But the…
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| RB BragantinoHome | Rating | PalmeirasAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,535 | Overall | 1,740 |
| 1,579 | Match venue | 1,674 |
| 1,579 | At home | 1,722 |
| 1,466 | Away | 1,674 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,488 | Attack | 1,594 |
| 1,546 | Defence | 1,656 |
| 1,535 | Home attack | 1,574 |
| 1,431 | Away attack | 1,587 |
| 1,553 | Home defence | 1,677 |
| 1,531 | Away defence | 1,618 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,517 | Goal environment | 1,532 |
| 1,533 | Home goals | 1,603 |
| 1,483 | Away goals | 1,428 |
| 1,502 | Possession | 1,507 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,516 | Set-piece attack | 1,521 |
| 1,515 | Set-piece defence | 1,521 |
| 1,503 | Close games | 1,651 |
| 1,552 | Winning margin | 1,770 |
Match venue compares RB Bragantino at home with Palmeiras away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
RB Bragantino1:1Palmeiras1:1
