Skip to main content

Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Match Timeline

34'
Chapecoense-scMarcos Vinicius🔄
Substitution 1 → Everton
46'
FluminenseK. Serna🔄
Substitution 1 → Y. Soteldo
46'
Chapecoense-scW. Clar🔄
Substitution 2 → Rafael Carvalheira
56'
FluminenseJ. Savarino
Penalty
60'
Chapecoense-scJean Carlos🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Chapecoense-scJean Carlos🔄
Substitution 3 → Enio
70'
Chapecoense-scHigor Meritao🔄
Substitution 4 → Joao Vitor
71'
Chapecoense-scEduardo Doma🟨
Yellow Card
78'
Chapecoense-scEnio⚽
Normal Goal → Marcinho
79'
FluminenseA. Canobbio🔄
Substitution 2 → John Kennedy
79'
FluminenseF. Bernal🔄
Substitution 3 → PH Ganso
79'
FluminenseHercules🔄
Substitution 4 → Alisson
81'
Chapecoense-scEnio🟨
Yellow Card
86'
FluminenseJohn Kennedy⚽
Normal Goal → Alisson
87'
Chapecoense-scRafael Thyere🔄
Substitution 5 → Neto Pessoa
90+3'
FluminenseGuga🔄
Substitution 5 → Ignacio
90+3'
Chapecoense-scJoao Vitor🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Chapecoense-scEduardo Doma🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Chapecoense-scEduardo Doma🟥
Red Card
90+6'
FluminensePH Ganso🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

12Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal3
30Total Shots8
6Blocked Shots2
21Shots insidebox2
9Shots outsidebox6
6Fouls16
7Corner Kicks1
1Offsides0
71Ball Possession29
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves10
740Total passes305
688Passes accurate241
93Passes %79
2.47expected_goals0.41
0goals_prevented0

Tipster preview

Mr SimpleMr SimpleWon

Fluminense vs Chapecoense-sc Preview

The pickFluminense win

Chance
85%
Odds
1.30
Model EV
+10.5%

Right then, let’s get straight into this one. Fluminense host Chapecoense-sc in a Serie A clash that looks heavily weighted towards the home side. We’re keeping it simple: goals, graft, and finding value where the bookies might be slightly off. Fluminense sit 3rd in the table…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

FluminenseFluminense

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Fluminense at home vs Chapecoense-sc away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+319Fluminense
Venue edge
+320Fluminense
Rating period
Match snapshot
Fluminense versus Chapecoense-sc: long term Elo, before the match
FluminenseFluminenseHomeRatingChapecoense-scChapecoense-scAway
Strength
1,670Overall1,351
1,710Match venue1,391
1,710At home1,375
1,502Away1,391
Attack & defence
1,554Attack1,379
1,622Defence1,435
1,557Home attack1,403
1,479Away attack1,366
1,654Home defence1,452
1,549Away defence1,474
Match profile
1,280Goal environment1,360
1,397Home goals1,385
1,383Away goals1,475
1,529Possession1,486
Specialist ratings
1,525Set-piece attack1,481
1,524Set-piece defence1,482
1,617Close games1,415
1,690Winning margin1,331

Match venue compares Fluminense at home with Chapecoense-sc away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FluminenseFluminense1:1

Starting XI

1FábioG
13Guilherme AranaD
5Facundo BernalM
90Kevin SernaM
19Rodrigo CastilloF
22Juan FreytesD
35HérculesM
11Jefferson SavarinoM
3JemmesD
17Agustín CanobbioM
23GugaD

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc1:1

Starting XI

98AndersonG
3Eduardo DomaD
37Walter ClarM
20Jean CarlosF
7MarcinhoF
15Rafael ThyereD
22Higor MeritãoM
31Maurício GarcezF
25Victor CaetanoD
27CamiloM
2Marcos ViníciusM