Match analysis
BrazilSerie A
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.
K. Viveros🟨L. Esquivel🟥Joao Cruz🔄
J. Enamorado🔄Gabriel Mec🔄J. Nardoni🔄Bruninho🔄J. Portilla🔄M. Braithwaite🔄Riquelme🟨O. Hellmann🟨G. Benavidez🟨Riquelme🟨Riquelme🟥
Value VinnyLostThe pickAtletico Paranaense win
The Serie A fixture between Atletico Paranaense and Gremio presents a textbook case for mathematical value hunting. While bookmakers have priced the home win at 1.95, a closer look at the underlying data reveals a significant discrepancy between market pricing and statistical…
Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLostThe pickAtletico Paranaense win
Listen closely, young bettor. The path to profit, narrow it is. Atletico Paranaense and Gremio, they face off in the Serie A. Much to consider, there is. But clear the advantage for the home side is. Atletico Paranaense, fifth in the standings they sit. Twenty-two points…
Mr SimpleWonThe pickUnder 2 5
Right, let’s have a proper look at this one. Atletico Paranaense host Gremio in the Serie A, and if you’re after a tip, we need to keep it simple: goals, graft, and value. Atletico are flying at home. In their last six home games, they’ve won five, scoring an average of 2.17…
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| Atletico ParanaenseHome | Rating | GremioAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,535 | Overall | 1,543 |
| 1,603 | Match venue | 1,451 |
| 1,603 | At home | 1,619 |
| 1,457 | Away | 1,451 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,503 | Attack | 1,486 |
| 1,569 | Defence | 1,561 |
| 1,545 | Home attack | 1,527 |
| 1,428 | Away attack | 1,463 |
| 1,589 | Home defence | 1,582 |
| 1,549 | Away defence | 1,508 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,198 | Goal environment | 1,190 |
| 1,398 | Home goals | 1,382 |
| 1,300 | Away goals | 1,308 |
| 1,499 | Possession | 1,495 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,505 | Set-piece attack | 1,502 |
| 1,505 | Set-piece defence | 1,502 |
| 1,467 | Close games | 1,496 |
| 1,555 | Winning margin | 1,553 |
Match venue compares Atletico Paranaense at home with Gremio away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Atletico Paranaense1:1Gremio1:1
