Match analysis
BrazilSerie A
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.
Vitor Hugo⚽
Cauan Barros🟨N. Moreira🔄Victor Hugo🔄Bernard🔄J. Rojas🔄Adson🔄J. Rodriguez🔄Reinier🔄R. Lodi🔄Iván Román🟨
Value VinnyLostThe pickVasco DA Gama win
Welcome to the math lab. I'm Value Vinny, and my job is simple: find where the bookmakers' models have slipped up and exploit the Expected Value (EV) before the market corrects. Today's fixture, Vasco da Gama versus Atletico-MG, is a classic case of surface-level narrative…
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| Vasco DA GamaHome | Rating | Atletico-MGAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,517 | Overall | 1,532 |
| 1,556 | Match venue | 1,448 |
| 1,556 | At home | 1,633 |
| 1,441 | Away | 1,448 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,509 | Attack | 1,479 |
| 1,484 | Defence | 1,568 |
| 1,521 | Home attack | 1,560 |
| 1,468 | Away attack | 1,410 |
| 1,509 | Home defence | 1,567 |
| 1,470 | Away defence | 1,559 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,438 | Goal environment | 1,588 |
| 1,487 | Home goals | 1,670 |
| 1,452 | Away goals | 1,418 |
| 1,526 | Possession | 1,505 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,512 | Set-piece attack | 1,487 |
| 1,512 | Set-piece defence | 1,488 |
| 1,524 | Close games | 1,503 |
| 1,504 | Winning margin | 1,544 |
Match venue compares Vasco DA Gama at home with Atletico-MG away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Vasco DA Gama1:1Atletico-MG1:1
