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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time3:3HT 1–2

Match Timeline

13'
BahiaA. Veliz
Penalty
19'
Chapecoense-scGiovanni Augusto⚽
Normal Goal → Yago Felipe
42'
BahiaKauan⚽
Own Goal
46'
Chapecoense-scHeitor🔄
Substitution 1 → Everton
46'
Chapecoense-scK. Ramirez🔄
Substitution 2 → Tulio
46'
Chapecoense-scBruno Matias🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Rossi
48'
Chapecoense-scMarcinho⚽
Normal Goal → Giovanni Augusto
65'
BahiaNicolas Acevedo⚽
Normal Goal → Jean Lucas
66'
BahiaR. Gomez🔄
Substitution 1 → Caio Alexandre
66'
BahiaJean Lucas🔄
Substitution 2 → Erick
67'
BahiaLuciano Juba🔄
Substitution 3 → Ze Guilherme
67'
BahiaKaue Junior🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Sanabria
71'
Chapecoense-scTulio⚽
Normal Goal → Giovanni Augusto
78'
Chapecoense-scFernando🔄
Substitution 4 → Bruno Pacheco
78'
Chapecoense-scYago Felipe🔄
Substitution 5 → David Antunes
83'
BahiaRodrigo🔄
Substitution 5 → Michel Araujo
84'
BahiaMateo Sanabria🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Chapecoense-scCamilo🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
BahiaErick Pulga🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal11
12Total Shots19
5Blocked Shots4
9Shots insidebox12
3Shots outsidebox7
16Fouls9
3Corner Kicks5
2Offsides0
35Ball Possession65
1Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves0
283Total passes555
228Passes accurate506
81Passes %91
1.25expected_goals2.43
-1.83goals_prevented-1.83

Tipster previews (3)

Mr CertaintyMr CertaintyLost

Chapecoense vs Bahia Preview: Under 2.5 Goals

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+25.8%

Chapecoense-sc sit rock bottom of the Serie A table with just 10 points from 21 matches. Their home record is particularly dire, averaging only 0.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game over their last four home fixtures. In their last ten outings across all competitions…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc

1W 4D 5L0.70 pts/game

BahiaBahia

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Chapecoense-sc at home vs Bahia away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+253Bahia
Venue edge
+136Bahia
Rating period
Match snapshot
Chapecoense-sc versus Bahia: long term Elo, before the match
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-scHomeRatingBahiaBahiaAway
Strength
1,329Overall1,581
1,353Match venue1,489
1,353At home1,623
1,385Away1,489
Attack & defence
1,390Attack1,503
1,430Defence1,584
1,405Home attack1,534
1,378Away attack1,469
1,426Home defence1,621
1,481Away defence1,509
Match profile
1,375Goal environment1,303
1,400Home goals1,328
1,475Away goals1,475
1,478Possession1,533
Specialist ratings
1,450Set-piece attack1,512
1,451Set-piece defence1,511
1,382Close games1,565
1,312Winning margin1,584

Match venue compares Chapecoense-sc at home with Bahia away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc1:1

Starting XI

98AndersonG
12FernandoD
16Bruno MatiasM
7MarcinhoF
3Eduardo DomaD
27Camilo ReijersM
10Giovanni AugustoF
21Kauan2:3
88Yago FelipeM
94K. RamirezF
5HeitorD

BahiaBahia1:1

Starting XI

1Ronaldo StradaG
21S. RamosD
5Nicolas AcevedoM
11RodrigoM
16Erick PulgaF
33David DuarteD
46Luciano JubaM
9A. VelizF
31R. GomezD
6Jean LucasM
57Kaue JuniorM