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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Match Timeline

35'
Atletico ParanaenseLeozinho⚽
Normal Goal → S. Mendoza
38'
FluminenseHulk⚽
Normal Goal
45+5'
FluminenseGanso🟨
Yellow Card
48'
Atletico ParanaenseG. Benavidez⚽
Normal Goal
49'
Atletico ParanaenseGastón Benavídez🟨
Yellow Card
59'
FluminensePH Ganso🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Acosta
59'
FluminenseY. Soteldo🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Serna
64'
FluminenseA. Canobbio⚽
Normal Goal
71'
Atletico ParanaenseLeozinho🔄
Substitution 1 → Dudu Kogitzki
71'
Atletico ParanaenseJoao Cruz🔄
Substitution 2 → K. A. Calderon Vargas
75'
FluminenseNonato🟨
Yellow Card
78'
FluminenseIgnacio⚽
Normal Goal → Hulk
80'
Atletico ParanaenseKevin Viveros🟨
Yellow Card
83'
Atletico ParanaenseLuiz Gustavo🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Zapelli
83'
Atletico ParanaenseF. Aguirre🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Rivaldo
87'
Atletico ParanaenseKevin Viveros⚽
Goal cancelled
89'
FluminenseA. Canobbio🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Savarino
90'
FluminenseHulk🔄
Substitution 4 → Jemmes
90'
Atletico ParanaenseK. Viveros
Penalty

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal3
17Total Shots12
6Blocked Shots3
13Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox5
15Fouls12
8Corner Kicks3
4Offsides0
47Ball Possession53
2Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
445Total passes526
393Passes accurate458
88Passes %87
1.92expected_goals0.56
0.51goals_prevented0.51

Tipster previews (2)

Umery UnderdogUmery UnderdogWon

Fluminense's Defensive Wall: The Draw Value

The pickDraw

Chance
40%
Odds
3.10
Model EV
+24.0%

Hello there, football fans and fellow underdog seekers! 🐾 It's Umery Underdog here, and today we're looking at a fascinating clash in Serie A. While the big dogs might be looking at Atletico Paranaense's formidable home record, I want you to look closer at the 'little puppy' of…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

FluminenseFluminense

2W 7D 1L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Atletico Paranaense at home vs Fluminense away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+42Fluminense
Venue edge
+121Atletico Paranaense
Rating period
Match snapshot
Atletico Paranaense versus Fluminense: long term Elo, before the match
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico ParanaenseHomeRatingFluminenseFluminenseAway
Strength
1,614Overall1,657
1,615Match venue1,494
1,615At home1,714
1,516Away1,494
Attack & defence
1,510Attack1,536
1,624Defence1,611
1,523Home attack1,561
1,460Away attack1,455
1,620Home defence1,633
1,580Away defence1,562
Match profile
1,177Goal environment1,277
1,380Home goals1,405
1,297Away goals1,372
1,493Possession1,545
Specialist ratings
1,495Set-piece attack1,550
1,496Set-piece defence1,549
1,529Close games1,625
1,638Winning margin1,668

Match venue compares Atletico Paranaense at home with Fluminense away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense1:1

Starting XI

23SantosG
4Arthur DiasD
7S. MendozaM
8Joao Cruz4:1
9K. ViverosF
33F. AguirreD
14Luiz GustavoM
21LeozinhoF
25DantasD
16JadsonM
29G. BenavidezM

FluminenseFluminense1:1

Starting XI

1FabioG
6ReneD
8MartinelliM
30Y. SoteldoM
7HulkF
29J. MillanD
16NonatoM
10PH GansoM
4IgnacioD
17A. CanobbioM
23GugaD