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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Palmeiras vs Corinthians

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time4:1HT 2–0

Match Timeline

9'
PalmeirasJhon Arias🟨
Yellow Card
15'
CorinthiansRaniele🟨
Yellow Card
16'
PalmeirasAlexander Barboza⚽
Normal Goal → Lucas Evangelista
45+1'
PalmeirasAgustín Giay⚽
Normal Goal → Jhon Arias
46'
PalmeirasMatheus Bidu⚽
Own Goal
48'
CorinthiansMemphis Depay🟨
Yellow Card
49'
PalmeirasAgustín Giay🟨
Yellow Card
51'
PalmeirasAgustín Giay⚽
Normal Goal
57'
CorinthiansBreno Bidon🔄
Substitution 1 → Vitinho
57'
CorinthiansAndré Carrillo🔄
Substitution 2 → Allan
59'
CorinthiansGabriel Paulista🟨
Yellow Card
65'
CorinthiansVitinho🟨
Yellow Card
69'
PalmeirasVitor Roque🔄
Substitution 1 → Ramón Sosa
69'
PalmeirasLucas Evangelista🔄
Substitution 2 → Emiliano Martínez
69'
PalmeirasJosé Manuel López🔄
Substitution 3 → Mauricio
69'
CorinthiansYuri Alberto🔄
Substitution 3 → Pedro Raul
69'
CorinthiansAndré Luiz🔄
Substitution 4 → André Ramalho
72'
PalmeirasGustavo Gómez🟨
Yellow Card
77'
PalmeirasRamón Sosa🔄
Substitution 4 → Paulinho
81'
PalmeirasPaulinho
Missed Penalty
83'
PalmeirasGustavo Gómez🔄
Substitution 5 → Bruno Fuchs
83'
CorinthiansRaniele🔄
Substitution 5 → Dieguinho
90+1'
CorinthiansGustavo Henrique⚽
Normal Goal → Vitinho

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal6
22Total Shots12
6Blocked Shots3
14Shots insidebox10
8Shots outsidebox2
17Fouls11
7Corner Kicks3
2Offsides1
55Ball Possession45
3Yellow Cards4
2Goalkeeper Saves5
455Total passes376
394Passes accurate314
87Passes %84
2.6expected_goals0.71
0.32goals_prevented0.32

Tipster previews (5)

Mr SimpleMr Simple

Palmeiras to Put Corinthians to Bed at Home

The pickPalmeiras win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.56
Model EV
+9.2%

Palmeiras vs Corinthians is the sort of fixture where the numbers do the talking before the first whistle goes. Palmeiras have been a force at home this year, winning 14 of their last 20 home games, scoring 1.7 a game and conceding just 0.55. That's a side that opens the door…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

PalmeirasPalmeiras

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

CorinthiansCorinthians

1W 1D 8L0.40 pts/game

Per game

Palmeiras at home vs Corinthians away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+223Palmeiras
Venue edge
+211Palmeiras
Rating period
Match snapshot
Palmeiras versus Corinthians: long term Elo, before the match
PalmeirasPalmeirasHomeRatingCorinthiansCorinthiansAway
Strength
1,709Overall1,486
1,702Match venue1,491
1,702At home1,540
1,683Away1,491
Attack & defence
1,554Attack1,468
1,688Defence1,562
1,543Home attack1,485
1,582Away attack1,456
1,678Home defence1,584
1,654Away defence1,542
Match profile
1,513Goal environment933
1,590Home goals1,273
1,423Away goals1,160
1,523Possession1,530
Specialist ratings
1,538Set-piece attack1,531
1,537Set-piece defence1,530
1,611Close games1,451
1,744Winning margin1,500

Match venue compares Palmeiras at home with Corinthians away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

PalmeirasPalmeiras1:1

Starting XI

1Carlos MiguelG
2Alexander BarbozaD
22Joaquín PiquerezM
11Jhon AriasF
9Vitor RoqueF
15Gustavo GómezD
30Lucas EvangelistaM
42José Manuel LópezF
26MuriloD
8Andreas PereiraM
4Agustín GiayM

CorinthiansCorinthians1:1

Starting XI

1Hugo SouzaG
21Matheus BiduD
14RanieleM
49André LuizM
10Memphis DepayF
13Gustavo HenriqueD
19André CarrilloM
9Yuri AlbertoF
3Gabriel PaulistaD
7Breno BidonM
2MatheuzinhoD