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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Atletico-MG vs Coritiba

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Tipster previews (6)

Mr CertaintyMr Certainty

Atletico-MG Host Coritiba in Serie A

The pickAtletico-MG win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.50
Model EV
+5.0%

Atletico-MG arrive at this fixture in commanding form. Their last five matches have produced three wins and two draws with no defeats, and the current run of two consecutive victories has seen them score five goals while conceding just one. At home, the numbers are even more…

The Big "O"The Big "O"

Atletico-MG vs Coritiba: A High-Scoring Night Awaits

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
1.88
Model EV
+3.4%

Atletico-MG have been cooking at home, and this one smells like a goal-fest. The hosts have won their last two matches — a 3–0 demolition of Atletico Torque on 14 October and a 2–1 over Santos on 11 October — and across their last 20 home games they've scored 1.85 per game while…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

CoritibaCoritiba

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Atletico-MG at home vs Coritiba away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+119Atletico-MG
Venue edge
+215Atletico-MG
Rating period
Atletico-MG versus Coritiba: long term Elo, before the match
Atletico-MGAtletico-MGHomeRatingCoritibaCoritibaAway
Strength
1,619Overall1,500
1,656Match venue1,441
1,656At home1,477
1,484Away1,441
Attack & defence
1,511Attack1,490
1,603Defence1,480
1,568Home attack1,466
1,421Away attack1,479
1,587Home defence1,517
1,575Away defence1,437
Match profile
1,582Goal environment1,437
1,672Home goals1,297
1,410Away goals1,640
1,503Possession1,468
Specialist ratings
1,494Set-piece attack1,449
1,494Set-piece defence1,450
1,578Close games1,510
1,635Winning margin1,492

Match venue compares Atletico-MG at home with Coritiba away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.