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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Tipster preview

Value VinnyValue Vinny

Vasco DA Gama Ride Four Wins in Five Into Sao Paulo

The pickVasco DA Gama win

Chance
32%
Odds
3.70
Model EV
+18.4%

Vasco DA Gama walk into this one with the kind of numbers that make a tipster's eyes light up. Four wins and a draw from their last five — a 5–0 over Coritiba, a 2–0 over Santa Fe, a 2–1 at Botafogo, a 1–0 at Boca Juniors — have left them with 10 goals scored and just one…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Sao PauloSao Paulo

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Per game

Sao Paulo at home vs Vasco DA Gama away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+10Vasco DA Gama
Venue edge
+172Sao Paulo
Rating period
Sao Paulo versus Vasco DA Gama: long term Elo, before the match
Sao PauloSao PauloHomeRatingVasco DA GamaVasco DA GamaAway
Strength
1,526Overall1,536
1,639Match venue1,467
1,639At home1,545
1,427Away1,467
Attack & defence
1,471Attack1,487
1,574Defence1,539
1,546Home attack1,503
1,405Away attack1,464
1,619Home defence1,529
1,528Away defence1,504
Match profile
1,160Goal environment1,432
1,347Home goals1,487
1,313Away goals1,445
1,518Possession1,528
Specialist ratings
1,558Set-piece attack1,537
1,556Set-piece defence1,535
1,489Close games1,519
1,539Winning margin1,537

Match venue compares Sao Paulo at home with Vasco DA Gama away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.