Value VinnyThe pickUnder 2.5
Flamengo host Gremio on 4 November in Serie A, and while the home side's record at their ground is commanding — 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss across 20 home games, scoring 1.9 per game — the real story for a bettor sits in the goals column. Flamengo's recent form is solid: 3 wins…
PajimonThe pickUnder 2.5
Look, I'm sitting here with the braai going and a cold one in hand, and I'm telling you this fixture has some proper meat on the bone. Flamengo at home against Gremio on the road in Serie A - that's a setup I like, and the numbers back it up. Flamengo's home record over the last…
Yoda Mc Yoda FaceThe pickUnder 2.5
Flamengo's home record over the last 20 games is the kind of thing that makes a wise man nod. Fourteen wins, five draws, one loss. They score 1.9 goals per game at their ground and concede just 0.85. Add to that an unbeaten run of 10 matches across all venues — 6 wins, 4 draws …
Mr SimpleThe pickUnder 2.5
Right, so we've got Flamengo at home to Gremio, and if you want to know who's got the edge, the numbers don't really leave you much room for argument. Flamengo have been absolutely ruthless at home over their last 20 games – 14 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss – scoring 1.9 a game and…
Gremio make the trip to Flamengo tomorrow for a Serie A fixture. On our Elo ratings Flamengo have the edge, 1740 to 1440 once home and away form is split out.
Flamengo are in good nick: their last five read W W D W D. Nobody has beaten them in their last ten. The last five for Gremio go W W W L D, and on that evidence they are blowing hot and cold. Their winning run now stands at three.
At home Flamengo score 1.5 a game and concede 0.8. Gremio average 1.0 goals for and 1.3 against away from home. Defensively Flamengo stand out: 40% of their games have ended with a clean sheet.
Our best-value bet here is under 2.5 goals at odds of 3.10, from four tipster previews on this match. There is no split in the camp: every one of the four previews backs the same bet.
| FlamengoHome | Rating | GremioAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,777 | Overall | 1,514 |
| 1,740 | Match venue | 1,440 |
| 1,740 | At home | 1,587 |
| 1,688 | Away | 1,440 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,664 | Attack | 1,476 |
| 1,662 | Defence | 1,555 |
| 1,628 | Home attack | 1,531 |
| 1,629 | Away attack | 1,432 |
| 1,653 | Home defence | 1,559 |
| 1,635 | Away defence | 1,524 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,663 | Goal environment | 1,190 |
| 1,580 | Home goals | 1,397 |
| 1,583 | Away goals | 1,293 |
| 1,556 | Possession | 1,489 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,544 | Set-piece attack | 1,467 |
| 1,543 | Set-piece defence | 1,467 |
| 1,644 | Close games | 1,479 |
| 1,815 | Winning margin | 1,519 |
Match venue compares Flamengo at home with Gremio away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
The head-to-head covers 35 games since June 2012, and Flamengo have won 16, Gremio have taken 12 and seven were drawn. Every tip we publish on the two sides together sits on our Flamengo vs Gremio prediction page.
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
