Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 03:06
Liga MX
Mexico
Mexico
Full Time

Match Timeline

4'
Monchu🟥
Red Card
11'
I. Tona🟨
Yellow Card
30'
A. Gomez🟨
Yellow Card
43'
K. Castaneda
Normal Goal → M. El Ghezouani
46'
A. Perez🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Blanco
52'
R. Arciga
Normal Goal
61'
Puma🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Ayon
61'
O. Estupinan🔄
Substitution 2 → Guilherme Castilho
62'
R. Pizarro🔄
Substitution 3 → H. E. Martinez Yepez
62'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Dupuy
62'
I. Tona🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Mora
71'
M. El Ghezouani🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Abreu
71'
R. Arciga🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Preciado
77'
D. Garcia🔄
Substitution 5 → Madson
81'
K. Castaneda🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Boya
84'
H. E. Martinez Yepez🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Guilherme Castilho
Penalty
90+6'
J. Murillo🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal11
11Total Shots21
3Blocked Shots4
7Shots insidebox13
4Shots outsidebox8
12Fouls8
5Corner Kicks9
1Offsides1
38Ball Possession62
1Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves0
289Total passes487
230Passes accurate430
80Passes %88
2.87expected_goals1.57
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

FC JuarezFC Juarez1:1

Starting XI

1S. JuradoG
4A. MayorgaD
6MonchuM
11PumaM
19O. EstupinanF
26J. ManriquezD
5D. GarciaM
10R. PizarroM
2J. MurilloD
20J. M. Torres Ramirez I.M
22J. AquinoD

Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1:1

Starting XI

2A. RodriguezG
33P. N. Ortiz OrozcoD
8I. TonaM
10K. CastanedaM
9M. El GhezouaniF
6A. GomezD
26A. PerezM
12J. PorozoD
22I. RiveroM
3R. InzunzaD
17R. ArcigaM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

FC Juarez
FC Juarez
Form: D-D-W-D-L
Club Tijuana
Club Tijuana
Form: W-L-W-L-L
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
2 W
4 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
90%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1477
Average
1579
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1496
↑ Momentum (+19)
1592
↑ Momentum (+13)
Expected Outcome
25%
Home Win
30%
Draw
45%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1509
Attack
1543
1494
Defence
1545
Recent Form
1555
Attack
1496
1476
Defence
1557
Post-Match Changes
-15
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana: Big O Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+25.3%
Confidence:8

Welcome back to the Big O, where we chase the action and leave the boring 0-0s in the dust. Life’s too short for nil-nil, and this Liga MX clash between FC Juarez and Club Tijuana looks primed for fireworks. FC Juarez at home is a goal-fest waiting to happen. Their home stats are screaming for goals, averaging 2.20 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded per game. That’s a combined home total of 4.20 goals per match. In their last 10 games, they haven’t kept a single clean sheet, and both teams scored in 90% of those fixtures. That’s a massive signal for goal markets. Club Tijuana on the road isn’t exactly a defensive fortress either. They average 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded away from home. Combine that with Juarez’s home goal environment, and the expected total goal expectancy sits around 3.50. When you have 3.50 expected goals, the Over 2.5 market is where the value lives. Looking at the head-to-head history, the last 10 meetings averaged 2.60 total goals, with Over 2.5 hitting in 40% of those games. The last meeting ended 1-3, a high-scoring affair. Recent trends show Juarez’s goal environment is spiking in the ultra-short term, and Tijuana’s away goal environment is also trending upward. The bookies have Over 2.5 Goals priced at 1.67. That implies a 59.88% chance of goals. Based on the 3.50 goal expectancy, the real probability is closer to 75%. That’s a clear edge. BTTS Yes is also tempting at 1.62, but the Over 2.5 is the Big O specialty. With Juarez leaking goals at home and Tijuana struggling defensively away, the 2.5 line is the sweet spot. So, are we ready for some noise? Absolutely. The stats point to a high-scoring game, and the odds offer value. Let’s get those goals rolling.

Read Full Preview →