Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 03:06
Liga MX
Mexico
Mexico
Full Time

Match Timeline

4'
Monchu🟥
Red Card
11'
I. Tona🟨
Yellow Card
30'
A. Gomez🟨
Yellow Card
43'
K. Castaneda⚽
Normal Goal → M. El Ghezouani
46'
A. Perez🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Blanco
52'
R. Arciga⚽
Normal Goal
61'
Puma🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Ayon
61'
O. Estupinan🔄
Substitution 2 → Guilherme Castilho
62'
R. Pizarro🔄
Substitution 3 → H. E. Martinez Yepez
62'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I.🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Dupuy
62'
I. Tona🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Mora
71'
M. El Ghezouani🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Abreu
71'
R. Arciga🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Preciado
77'
D. Garcia🔄
Substitution 5 → Madson
81'
K. Castaneda🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Boya
84'
H. E. Martinez Yepez🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Guilherme Castilho
Penalty
90+6'
J. Murillo🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal11
11Total Shots21
3Blocked Shots4
7Shots insidebox13
4Shots outsidebox8
12Fouls8
5Corner Kicks9
1Offsides1
38Ball Possession62
1Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves0
289Total passes487
230Passes accurate430
80Passes %88
2.87expected_goals1.57
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

FC JuarezFC Juarez1:1

Starting XI

1S. JuradoG
4A. MayorgaD
6MonchuM
11PumaM
19O. EstupinanF
26J. ManriquezD
5D. GarciaM
10R. PizarroM
2J. MurilloD
20J. M. Torres Ramirez I.M
22J. AquinoD

Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1:1

Starting XI

2A. RodriguezG
33P. N. Ortiz OrozcoD
8I. TonaM
10K. CastanedaM
9M. El GhezouaniF
6A. GomezD
26A. PerezM
12J. PorozoD
22I. RiveroM
3R. InzunzaD
17R. ArcigaM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

FC Juarez
FC Juarez
Form: D-D-W-D-L
Club Tijuana
Club Tijuana
Form: W-L-W-L-L
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
•
2 W
4 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
90%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:1.6
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.6

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
FC Juarez versus Club Tijuana: long term ELO, before the match
FC JuarezHomeRatingClub TijuanaAway
Strength
1,508.8Overall1,509.5
1,477.2Match venue1,397.6
1,477.2At home1,578.7
1,477.3Away1,397.6
Attack & defence
1,512.2Attack1,491.2
1,494.1Defence1,545.5
1,509.2Home attack1,542.6
1,444.8Away attack1,440.9
1,489.4Home defence1,577.4
1,504.8Away defence1,454.3
Match profile
1,596.7Goal environment1,700
1,535Home goals1,583.3
1,561.7Away goals1,616.7
1,500.6Possession1,487.6
Specialist ratings
1,496.8Set-piece attack1,461
1,496.7Set-piece defence1,462.1
1,518.7Close games1,462
1,506.4Winning margin1,517.3

Match venue compares FC Juarez at home with Club Tijuana away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana: Big O Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+25.3%
Confidence:8

Welcome back to the Big O, where we chase the action and leave the boring 0-0s in the dust. Life’s too short for nil-nil, and this Liga MX clash between FC Juarez and Club Tijuana looks primed for fireworks. FC Juarez at home is a goal-fest waiting to happen. Their home stats are screaming for goals, averaging 2.20 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded per game. That’s a combined home total of 4.20 goals per match. In their last 10 games, they haven’t kept a single clean sheet, and both teams scored in 90% of those fixtures. That’s a massive signal for goal markets. Club Tijuana on the road isn’t exactly a defensive fortress either. They average 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded away from home. Combine that with Juarez’s home goal environment, and the expected total goal expectancy sits around 3.50. When you have 3.50 expected goals, the Over 2.5 market is where the value lives. Looking at the head-to-head history, the last 10 meetings averaged 2.60 total goals, with Over 2.5 hitting in 40% of those games. The last meeting ended 1-3, a high-scoring affair. Recent trends show Juarez’s goal environment is spiking in the ultra-short term, and Tijuana’s away goal environment is also trending upward. The bookies have Over 2.5 Goals priced at 1.67. That implies a 59.88% chance of goals. Based on the 3.50 goal expectancy, the real probability is closer to 75%. That’s a clear edge. BTTS Yes is also tempting at 1.62, but the Over 2.5 is the Big O specialty. With Juarez leaking goals at home and Tijuana struggling defensively away, the 2.5 line is the sweet spot. So, are we ready for some noise? Absolutely. The stats point to a high-scoring game, and the odds offer value. Let’s get those goals rolling.

Read Full Preview →