Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 03:06
Liga MX
Mexico
Mexico
Full Time
3:1
HT: 2 - 0

Match Timeline

30'
I. Diaz⚽
Normal Goal → I. Moreno
45'
I. Diaz⚽
Normal Goal → D. Cambindo
46'
I. Moreno🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Colula
46'
H. E. Martinez Yepez🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Ayon
46'
R. Pizarro🔄
Substitution 2 → Guilherme Castilho
46'
J. Aquino🔄
Substitution 3 → F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
52'
O. Estupinan
Penalty
56'
M. Mosquera🔄
Substitution 4 → L. A. Carmona
57'
E. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Vallejo
57'
F. Beltran Cruz🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Arcila
57'
O. Estupinan🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Dupuy
65'
B. Colula🟨
Yellow Card
68'
D. Arcila⚽
Normal Goal → I. Diaz
76'
D. Cambindo🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Alvarado
86'
R. Echeverria🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Cortizo

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal4
20Total Shots12
6Blocked Shots3
10Shots insidebox6
10Shots outsidebox6
20Fouls4
3Corner Kicks8
1Offsides1
56Ball Possession44
1Yellow Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
390Total passes290
309Passes accurate220
79Passes %76
1.28expected_goals1.69
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

LeonLeon1:1

Starting XI

23O. GarciaG
26S. ReyesD
29I. RodriguezM
11I. DiazM
27D. CambindoF
21S. BarreiroD
6F. Beltran Cruz4:2
2V. GauthierD
20R. EcheverriaM
7I. MorenoD
99E. RodriguezM

FC JuarezFC Juarez1:1

Starting XI

1S. JuradoG
4A. MayorgaD
18H. E. Martinez YepezM
11PumaM
19O. EstupinanF
26J. ManriquezD
5D. GarciaM
10R. PizarroM
3M. MosqueraD
20J. M. Torres Ramirez I.M
22J. AquinoD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Leon
Leon
Form: W-W-W-L-L
FC Juarez
FC Juarez
Form: L-D-D-W-D
Record
5 W
0 D
5 L
•
3 W
3 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
90%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:2.2
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.6

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Leon versus FC Juarez: long term ELO, before the match
LeonHomeRatingFC JuarezAway
Strength
1,457Overall1,492.8
1,552.9Match venue1,477.3
1,552.9At home1,461.9
1,435.2Away1,477.3
Attack & defence
1,425.3Attack1,508.6
1,495.5Defence1,489.2
1,476.3Home attack1,501.8
1,422.2Away attack1,444.8
1,550.5Home defence1,482.6
1,479.3Away defence1,504.8
Match profile
1,775Goal environment1,598.3
1,656.7Home goals1,536.7
1,618.3Away goals1,561.7
1,509.1Possession1,497.5
Specialist ratings
1,489.9Set-piece attack1,491
1,490.1Set-piece defence1,491.1
1,532Close games1,501.3
1,435Winning margin1,490.9

Match venue compares Leon at home with FC Juarez away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Leon vs FC Juarez - Betting Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.50
Expected Value:+75.0%
Confidence:6

Listen closely, young bettor. In the world of football, form is a river, flowing always. To bet, one must look at the data, not the noise. Leon at home, strong they are. In their last four home games, a 75% win rate they hold. Against FC Juarez specifically, the home record is even more impressive. Of the five home meetings, Leon won four. Eighty percent win rate, a dominant force they are. FC Juarez away, weak they are. Only 20% win rate in their last five away games. Goals conceded, many there are. Zero clean sheets in their last ten games. A leaky defense, it is. The last meeting, Juarez won 2-0. A surprise, it was. But history speaks louder. Leon's home goal expectancy is 1.55, Juarez away is 1.12. Goals, likely there will be. But the main signal is the win probability. Odds of 2.50 for a home win, value there is. Implied probability 40%, true probability 70%. A significant edge, this is. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Key Points: - Leon Home Win Rate: 75% (last 4 games) - H2H Home Record: 80% win rate (4 wins, 1 loss) - Juarez Away Win Rate: 20% (last 5 games) - Juarez Clean Sheets: 0% (last 10 games) - Leon Home Goals: 1.50 per game - Juarez Away Goals: 1.00 per game Summary: With Leon's dominant home record against Juarez and Juarez's poor away form, the home win offers value. Confidence is 6/10. Recommended Bet: Leon to Win.

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