Fri, 3 Apr 2026, 18:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

15'
Maleace Asamoah🟨
Yellow Card
27'
Evan McLaughlin🟨
Yellow Card
38'
Enda Stevens🟨
Yellow Card
51'
Kevin Long🟨
Yellow Card
60'
M. AsamoahπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Mulraney
61'
A. GreeneπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ G. Burke
61'
J. McGovernπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ M. Noonan
64'
J. FariaπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Voilas
64'
K. LongπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ H. Cann
65'
E. McLaughlinπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ L. Heeney
70'
P. Amond⚽
Normal Goal β†’ J. Voilas
76'
T. CoyleπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ C. Carty
76'
E. StevensπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ C. O'Sullivan
76'
C. MalleyπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ N. Razi
80'
G. Burke
Penalty
90'
C. NoonanπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ R. Mansfield

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal10
5Total Shots18
0Blocked Shots5
4Shots insidebox9
1Shots outsidebox9
5Fouls13
0Corner Kicks9
2Offsides2
26Ball Possession74
2Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
242Total passes686
160Passes accurate610
66Passes %89

Starting Lineups

WaterfordWaterford1:1

Starting XI

21Arlo DohertyG
14Jesse DempseyD
27Dean McMenamyM
11Trae CoyleM
9PΓ‘draig AmondF
5John MahonD
17Jordan FariaM
8Evan McLaughlinM
13Kevin LongD
10Conan NoonanM
43Alan ZborowskiD

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers1:1

Starting XI

1Edward McGintyG
3Enda StevensD
15Maleace AsamoahM
9Aaron GreeneF
4Roberto LopesD
29Jack ByrneM
88John McGovernF
22Tunmise SobowaleD
8Matthew HealyM
23Connor MalleyM
21Daniel GrantM

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Waterford
Waterford
Form: L-L-L-L-L
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Form: W-D-W-D-W
Record
1 W
2 D
7 L
β€’
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
0.8
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
2.2
Conceded
vs
0.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.4
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:3.0
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:0.3
Away:1.3

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1461
Average
1716
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1459
↓ Momentum (-2)
1739
↑ Momentum (+23)
Expected Outcome
15%
Home Win
22%
Draw
63%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1447
Attack
1589
1475
Defence
1645
Recent Form
1433
Attack
1588
1453
Defence
1663
Post-Match Changes
+5
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.45
Expected Value:+8.8%
Confidence:8

The match approaches, Waterford versus Shamrock Rovers. Careful you must be, with your bets. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Waterford, at the bottom of the table they sit. Two points from eight games, only one win in ten matches. At home, zero wins they have. Goals, few they score. 0.40 goals per game at home, the data shows. Their defense, leaking it is. 1.40 goals conceded per game at home. Shamrock Rovers, third place they hold. Fifteen points, strong form. Away, 1.50 goals per game they score. Defense, solid it is. 1.25 goals conceded per game away. Clean sheets, 60% they keep. Head-to-head, the history is clear. Ten meetings, eight wins for Shamrock. At Waterford's home, five meetings, zero wins for Waterford. Dominance, Shamrock shows. Odds, 1.45 for the away win. Value, there is. Implied probability, 69% it is. True probability, 75% we estimate. Edge, 6% it offers. Confidence, high it is. Betting, wise you must be. Do not gamble blindly, you should. Look at the stats, you must. Key Points: - Waterford winless at home this season. - Shamrock Rovers dominate H2H (8 wins in 10). - Waterford scores 0.40 goals/game at home. - Shamrock scores 1.50 goals/game away. - Away win odds 1.45 offer value. Summary: Shamrock Rovers to win.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.45
Expected Value:+8.8%
Confidence:8

Right, let's get straight to the point. Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers is a classic case of the bottom of the table meeting the top three. Waterford is sitting pretty low with just 2 points from 8 games, while Shamrock Rovers are sitting pretty comfortably in 3rd with 15 points. The gap is huge. Look at the history. Waterford hasn't beaten Shamrock at home in their last five meetings. Five straight losses, that's a tough pill to swallow. And right now, Waterford is on a 10-game winless run in the league. They haven't won a league game in the last 10 matches. That's a massive red flag. Shamrock Rovers, on the other hand, are in decent form with 5 wins in their last 10 games. They score 1.5 goals a game on average and keep a clean sheet 60% of the time. Waterford concedes 2.2 goals per game on average. The math is simple: Shamrock scores, Waterford leaks. The odds for an Away Win are 1.45. That's low, but looking at the head-to-head record and the current form, the value is there. Waterford's home attack is struggling at 0.40 goals per game. Shamrock's defense is solid. The stats back this up. Shamrock Rovers average 11.62 shots per game with 4.38 on target, while Waterford manages 12.12 shots but only 2.88 on target. Possession also favors Shamrock at nearly 60% compared to Waterford's 44%. Let's look at the venue. Waterford's home ground hasn't been a fortress. In fact, they've lost 5 of their last 5 home games against Shamrock. The scores tell the story: 1-2, 0-1, 1-3, 0-2, 1-2. It's a pattern that's hard to ignore. Goal expectancy suggests a total of around 2.27 goals (0.82 for Waterford, 1.45 for Shamrock). This leans slightly under 2.5, but the Away Win is the stronger signal. So, where's the value? The Away Win looks like the safest bet. The bookies are pricing it at 69% chance, but the history and form suggest it's closer to 75% or more. That gives us the required edge. Key Points: - Waterford: 0 wins in last 10 league games. - Shamrock: 3rd in table, 15 points. - H2H: Waterford lost last 5 home games against Shamrock. - Goal Expectancy: Waterford 0.82, Shamrock 1.45. - Bet: Shamrock Rovers to Win.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers - Premier Division Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.45
Expected Value:+8.8%
Confidence:7

Haai man, welcome to another Premier Division clash! Today we look at Waterford hosting Shamrock Rovers. This one is not a vegetable match, dis is meat! Waterford is currently sitting rock bottom in 10th place with only 2 points from 8 games. Their form is dire, with 0 wins in their last 10 matches. At home, they have managed 0.40 goals per game and conceded 1.40 goals per game. Their defense has been leaking, with only 2 clean sheets in 10 games. On the other side, Shamrock Rovers are flying high in 3rd place with 15 points. They have 5 wins in their last 10 games and a solid defensive record with 60% clean sheets. Away from home, they average 1.50 goals scored and concede 1.25 per game. The head-to-head record is a nightmare for Waterford. Shamrock Rovers have won the last 5 meetings, with scores like 1-2, 0-1, 1-3, 0-2, and 1-2. Waterford has not beaten them in recent history. Goal expectancy suggests an average of 2.27 goals (0.82 for Waterford, 1.45 for Shamrock). The odds for an Away Win are 1.45. While odds below 1.6 are tricky, the dominance of Shamrock in H2H and Waterford's winless run makes this a high-probability pick. Key Points: - Waterford: 0 wins in last 10 games, 10th in table. - Shamrock Rovers: 3rd in table, 5 wins in last 10 games. - H2H: Shamrock won last 5 meetings. - Goal Expectancy: 0.82 (Home) vs 1.45 (Away). - Odds: Away Win at 1.45 offers value based on form. My pick is the Away Win.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.45
Expected Value:+8.8%
Confidence:7

The upcoming Premier Division clash between Waterford and Shamrock Rovers presents a stark contrast in form and league position. Waterford sits at the bottom of the table in 10th place with only 2 points from 8 games, having failed to secure a single win this season. Conversely, Shamrock Rovers occupy 3rd place with 15 points, demonstrating significantly greater consistency. Waterford's home performance is particularly concerning. In their last 5 home games, they have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their home goal difference is negative, conceding an average of 1.40 goals per game at home. More critically, the head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in favor of Shamrock Rovers. In the last 10 meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won 8 times. Specifically, in the last 5 home fixtures between these two teams, Waterford has lost every single match (0-0-5 record). This historical dominance is a primary signal for the outcome. Shamrock Rovers' away form is solid, with a 25% win rate and 50% draw rate in their last 4 away games. They average 1.50 goals scored per game away from home. While Waterford struggles to score (0.40 goals per game at home), Shamrock Rovers maintain a clean sheet rate of 60% overall. The goal expectancy data suggests a combined total of 2.27 goals, but the match result leans heavily towards the visitors due to the H2H record. Key Points: - Waterford has 0 wins in their last 5 home games. - Waterford has lost 5 consecutive home games against Shamrock Rovers. - Shamrock Rovers are 3rd in the table; Waterford is 10th. - Shamrock Rovers average 1.50 goals per game away. - Waterford has failed to win any league match this season. Given the strict criteria for certainty, the data supports an Away Win. The head-to-head dominance at Waterford's venue is the deciding factor. With odds at 1.45, the implied probability is approximately 69%. Based on the 0-0-5 H2H record and the significant gap in league position, the true probability exceeds 75%, satisfying the value threshold. Therefore, the recommendation is clear.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers: Value Vinnie's Betting Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:1.45
Expected Value:+8.8%
Confidence:8

The Premier Division fixture between Waterford and Shamrock Rovers presents a stark contrast in form and league standing. Waterford sits rock bottom in 10th place with just 2 points from 8 games, while Shamrock Rovers occupy 3rd place with 15 points. The disparity is evident in the head-to-head record: Waterford has not beaten Shamrock Rovers at home in their last 5 meetings (0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses). Recent scorelines like 0-2, 0-1, and 0-2 highlight Waterford's defensive frailty and offensive struggles at home. Waterford's home statistics are concerning. They average only 0.40 goals scored per home game and have kept just 20% clean sheets in their last 10 matches. Their recent form includes heavy defeats, such as the 0-5 loss to Dundalk and the 3-4 loss to Galway United. Conversely, Shamrock Rovers boast a 50% win rate over their last 10 games, with a solid defensive record (0.70 goals conceded per game) and a 60% clean sheet rate. Their away form shows 1.50 goals scored per game, which aligns with their recent 2-0 victory over Galway United. From a value perspective, the bookmakers have priced the Away Win at 1.45, implying a 68.9% probability. Based on the H2H dominance and the massive gap in league position and goal expectancy (Waterford 0.82 vs Shamrock 1.45), the true probability appears closer to 75%. This suggests a positive expected value of roughly 6% or more, meeting the threshold for a value bet. While odds below 1.6 are generally risky, the statistical signals here are too strong to ignore. Key Points: - Waterford is 10th (2 pts) vs Shamrock Rovers 3rd (15 pts). - Waterford has a 0-0-5 record at home against Shamrock in the last 5 meetings. - Waterford averages 0.40 goals scored at home; Shamrock averages 1.50 goals scored away. - Shamrock Rovers have a 60% clean sheet rate; Waterford has a 20% clean sheet rate. - Goal expectancy favors the visitors (Total ~2.27 goals). The mathematical edge and historical dominance point clearly to the visitors. With Waterford's inability to score at home and Shamrock's consistent away threat, the value lies with the away side. **Recommended Bet:** AWAY_WIN

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