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Match analysis

IrelandFirst Division

UCD vs Longford Town

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this First Division fixture.

Full time2:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

31'
D. McKenna🟨
Yellow Card
42'
M. McCullagh🟨
Yellow Card
45'
M. Raggett⚽
Normal Goal
48'
C. Lennox⚽
Normal Goal
49'
A. O'Brien🟨
Yellow Card
62'
S. Murphy🟨
Yellow Card
70'
H. Smith🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Morley
70'
M. McCullagh🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Cailloce
73'
A. Doran🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Ugbesia
73'
D. Williams🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Murtagh
73'
A. Paraschiv🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Campbell
73'
C. Errity🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Omorehiomwan
73'
A. O'Brien🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Hough
75'
C. Lennox🟨
Yellow Card
81'
L. Dignam🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Bolton
81'
L. O'Regan🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Cailloce
87'
C. Behan🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Alonge

Tipster previews (5)

Value VinnyWon

UCD vs Longford Town: Under 2.5 Goals Value Play

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
76%
Odds
1.88
Model EV
+42.9%

Odds don’t lie — but bookies do. When I look at UCD versus Longford Town, the numbers scream one thing: this is a classic low-scoring affair. Let’s run the maths. UCD’s home attack averages 1.60 goals per game, but their defense is rock solid, conceding just 0.40. Longford…

PajimonWon

UCD vs Longford Town Preview

The pickUCD win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+14.0%

G’day, boere! Pajimon here, ready to fire up the BBQ and pick some winners. If you’re looking for a solid pick, look no further than UCD taking on Longford Town in the First Division. Let’s cut the fluff and look at the hard facts. UCD sits comfortably in 2nd place with 21…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

UCD vs Longford Town: First Division Preview

The pickUCD win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+14.0%

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. In the First Division, UCD hosts Longford Town on May 1st, and the signs point clearly to the home side. Second in the table with 21 points from 12 games, UCD has shown a steady hand. In their last 10 matches…

Mr SimpleWon

UCD vs Longford Town Preview: Under 2.5 Goals

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
75%
Odds
1.88
Model EV
+41.0%

Right then, folks. UCD host Longford Town in the First Division, and if you want a proper graft session with a high chance of value, look no further than the goals market. UCD are sitting pretty in second place with 21 points from 12 games, boasting a rock-solid defence at home…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

UCD

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Longford Town

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Per game

UCD at home vs Longford Town away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within First Division

Overall edge
+60UCD
Venue edge
+114UCD
Rating period
Match snapshot
UCD versus Longford Town: long term Elo, before the match
UCDHomeRatingLongford TownAway
Strength
1,508Overall1,448
1,499Match venue1,385
1,499At home1,490
1,529Away1,385
Attack & defence
1,471Attack1,386
1,553Defence1,531
1,431Home attack1,444
1,508Away attack1,371
1,556Home defence1,532
1,539Away defence1,472
Match profile
1,622Goal environment1,567
1,508Home goals1,507
1,613Away goals1,560
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,484Close games1,478
1,523Winning margin1,440

Match venue compares UCD at home with Longford Town away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.