Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 17:45
Full Time

Match Timeline

31'
M. Insaurralde🟥
Red Card
34'
F. Herrera🟨
Yellow Card
35'
A. Cuello🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Rattalino
41'
L. Lozano🟨
Yellow Card
46'
F. Herrera🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Pellegrino
47'
L. Di Lollo🟨
Yellow Card
55'
R. Auzmendi🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Herazo
55'
F. Farias🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Alvarez
57'
L. Lozano
Normal Goal → L. Flores
67'
E. Herrera🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Reali
68'
N. Tripichio🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Gulli
70'
M. Reali🟨
Yellow Card
72'
Miguel Merentiel
Normal Goal → L. Blanco
73'
S. Ascacibar🔄
Substitution 2 → Carlos Palacios
73'
A. Velasco🔄
Substitution 3 → Angel Romero
80'
F. Gulli🟨
Yellow Card
83'
L. Flores🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Belmonte
83'
Miguel Merentiel🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Villa

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal6
4Total Shots16
1Blocked Shots3
2Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox5
15Fouls13
2Corner Kicks8
1Offsides3
24Ball Possession76
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
191Total passes631
136Passes accurate576
71Passes %91
0.21expected_goals2.15
0.02goals_prevented0.02

Starting Lineups

San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1:1

Starting XI

25J. DevecchiG
6M. De RitisD
38F. FariasM
29R. AuzmendiF
19E. AmorD
8M. InsaurraldeM
16G. CorujoD
24N. TripichioM
2D. ArboledaD
9A. CuelloM
32E. HerreraD

Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1:1

Starting XI

1A. MonteroG
3L. BlancoD
18M. DelgadoM
20A. VelascoF
42F. HerreraD
5L. ParedesM
16Miguel MerentielF
2L. Di LolloD
25S. AscacibarM
19L. FloresF
17L. LozanoD

Head-to-Head

💰 Best Odds

Match Winner
Home
4.60
Pinnacle
Draw
3.03
Pinnacle
Away
2.07
Betano
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
2.95
Pinnacle
Under 2.5
1.47
Betano
Both Teams Score
Yes
2.30
Marathonbet
No
1.67
Bet365

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📈 Team Form & Statistics

San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
Form: D-W-L-D-W
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
Form: D-W-W-D-D
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
5 W
5 D
0 L
Goals Per Game
0.5
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
0.7
Conceded
vs
0.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
20%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:0.2
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Venue Elo
1554
Average
1589
Average
Short Term Venue Elo
1580
↑ Momentum (+26)
1609
↑ Momentum (+21)
Expected Outcome
30%
Home Win
33%
Draw
37%
Away Win
Attack & Defence at This Venue
Long Term
1417
Attack
1540
1631
Defence
1584
Recent Form
1414
Attack
1569
1634
Defence
1558
Post-Match Changes
-11
Rating Change
+11
Rating Change
Home ratings use home matches; away ratings use away matches. Higher Elo ratings indicate stronger performance against the opponents faced.

📝 Match Preview

San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors | The Stalemate Specialists
Recommendation:DRAW
Odds:3.00
Expected Value:+20.0%
Confidence:7

Listen up, folks. I’m not here to give you some salad-based analysis. We’re talking about real football, real grit, and the meat of the Liga Profesional Argentina. We've got San Lorenzo hosting Boca Juniors, and while Boca looks like the bigger fish in the pond—sitting comfortably in 2nd place—there is a massive trend that screams 'stalemate' at me. Look at Boca's away form. They have drawn a staggering 83.33% of their last 6 away fixtures. They aren't just playing; they are grinding out points and refusing to lose, but also refusing to let the other side through. They are the masters of the stalemate on the road. When you pair that with San Lorenzo's home behavior, the picture becomes even clearer. While they boast a 60.00% home win rate, they are struggling to find the back of the net, averaging a measly 0.80 goals per game at home. The math doesn't lie. The goal expectancy is low, and the last time these two met, they split the points in a 1-1 draw. Boca’s defense is solid, and San Lorenzo’s home setup is designed to frustrate. We’re looking for that gritty, beer-and-BBQ style of football where neither side wants to blink first. Boca is incredibly hard to beat, having kept a clean sheet in 40% of their recent outings, and San Lorenzo's home defense (conceding only 0.60 goals per game) is going to make it a nightmare for the visitors to break through. The value is clear. With the odds sitting at 3.00, we’re taking the Draw. It’s the most logical outcome given Boca's away draw frequency and the low-scoring environment predicted by the goal expectancy.

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