Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 23:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

30'
Paterson AJ⚽
Own Goal
39'
M. Myers⚽
Normal Goal
46'
Paterson AJ🔄
Substitution 1 → H. Diop
46'
S. Ngoma🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Diarbian
46'
S. McIllhatton🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Pasher
46'
L. Hilton🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Cruz
54'
J. Heaps🟥
Red Card
56'
M. Myers⚽
Normal Goal → M. Schneider
60'
M. Myers⚽
Normal Goal
61'
R. Cicerone🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Micaletto
61'
M. Schneider🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Wyke
61'
E. Conway🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Schaefer
61'
R. Damus🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Williams
64'
C. Ostrem🟨
Yellow Card
68'
R. Williams🟨
Yellow Card
72'
S. Shashoua🟨
Yellow Card
73'
S. Tregarthen🔄
Substitution 5 → D. McCartney
74'
L. Wyke🟨
Yellow Card
77'
M. Myers🔄
Substitution 5 → Pedro Becker

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Tampa Bay Rowdies
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Form: L-W-D-L-W
Birmingham Legion
Birmingham Legion
Form: D-D-D-L-L
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
•
2 W
4 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.7
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
2.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
90%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:2.2

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Tampa Bay Rowdies versus Birmingham Legion: long term ELO, before the match
Tampa Bay RowdiesHomeRatingBirmingham LegionAway
Strength
1,628.4Overall1,442.9
1,619.2Match venue1,497.1
1,619.2At home1,436.7
1,567.7Away1,497.1
Attack & defence
1,571.9Attack1,513.4
1,584.7Defence1,464.2
1,613.4Home attack1,451.5
1,498Away attack1,541.8
1,533Home defence1,492.8
1,603.1Away defence1,477.3
Match profile
1,758.3Goal environment1,723.3
1,748.3Home goals1,528.3
1,510Away goals1,695
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,555.9Close games1,442.3
1,650.6Winning margin1,440.7

Match venue compares Tampa Bay Rowdies at home with Birmingham Legion away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion - High-Scoring Home Dominance
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+17.0%
Confidence:8

Listen up, my friends! We’ve got a proper clash on the cards here in the USL Championship, and I’m looking for that winning meat! The Tampa Bay Rowdies are sitting pretty at the top of the table, and they’re looking to keep that crown secure. They’ve been clinical at home, putting up a 75% win rate over their last four fixtures. They aren't just winning; they’re putting meat on the bones, averaging a solid 2.25 goals per game at home. When you're at the top of the league, you don't let up, and the Rowdies are showing they have the appetite to keep pushing. On the other side, we’ve got the Birmingham Legion. Now, these guys are struggling on the road—a 0% win rate in their last five away games is a real shame for them. They’re leaking goals like a cracked beer keg, conceding an average of 2.20 goals per game away from home. If you look at their recent form, they just played out a wild 4-4 draw, which tells you exactly what kind of chaotic energy they bring to the pitch. They might be struggling to find consistency, but they are certainly providing plenty of entertainment for the fans. When you look at the numbers, the Rowdies are the heavy favorites, but the real story is the goal count. The goal expectancy for this match sits at a massive 3.53. With the Rowdies' offensive output and the Legion's defensive struggles, we’re looking at a game that’s going to be served up hot. The "Goal Environment" signals are screaming for action, and with the Legion's high BTTS rate and the Rowdies' home scoring power, we’re expecting plenty of movement in the net. Don't let the low odds fool you; the data is backing this up. We’re looking for a high-scoring affair where the Rowdies dominate the territory. It’s time to get those goals flowing. No vegetables here, just pure football meat! Key Points: - Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 75% home win rate and score 2.25 goals per game at home. - Birmingham Legion have a 0% away win rate in their last five matches. - Birmingham Legion concede 2.20 goals per game on the road. - Recent Birmingham result was a high-scoring 4-4 draw. - Goal expectancy for the match is 3.53. Recommended Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

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