Tue, 24 Mar 2026, 23:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

19'
J. J. Murphy🟨
Yellow Card
22'
I. Abeal🟨
Yellow Card
35'
P. Infuso🟨
Yellow Card
46'
K. T. Thomas🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Medina
60'
J. J. Murphy🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Baker
60'
D. Krioutchenkov🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Diene
60'
E. Conway🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Linhares
63'
C. Chaney🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Cerritos
65'
S. Roscoe🟨
Yellow Card
76'
E. Kwakwa🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Dietrich
83'
S. Zarokostas🔄
Substitution 4 → W. Perkins
85'
I. Abeal🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Keegan
86'
J. Brown🟨
Yellow Card
86'
J. Dietrich🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

One Knoxville
One Knoxville
Form: W-L-W-L-W
Corpus Christi
Corpus Christi
Form: D-L-W-D-W
Record
8 W
0 D
2 L
4 W
3 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.8
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:0.7
Away:1.7
Scored
Home:3.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1614
Good
1500
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1707
↑ Momentum (+93)
1500
→ Stable
Expected Outcome
47%
Home Win
29%
Draw
24%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1493
Attack
1500
1630
Defence
1493
Recent Form
1506
Attack
1500
1619
Defence
1483
Post-Match Changes
-4
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

One Knoxville vs Corpus Christi - Pajimon's Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.15
Expected Value:+72.0%
Confidence:70

Howzit bra! Pajimon here with a proper preview for this USL League One clash. We are talking One Knoxville taking on Corpus Christi on 2026-03-24. Now, I love my BBQ and beer, and I love winning—WTF are vegetables? We don't need the green stuff when the scoreboard is green! But let's look at the facts, no politics or nonsense here. One Knoxville is looking solid at home. Their last 10 games show an 80% win rate (8 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Specifically at home, they have an 85.71% win rate across their last 7 home games. They score 1.71 goals per game at home and only concede 0.71. That defense is tight, bra! On the other side, Corpus Christi has a 0.00% win rate in their last 6 away games. They only manage 1.17 goals away and concede 1.83. The stats don't lie. Corpus Christi's form is slipping. Their points trend is declining, and their goals scored trend is also declining. One Knoxville's goals scored trend is improving. The goal expectancy suggests 1.77 for the home side and 0.94 for the away side. That sums to about 2.71 expected goals, which leans towards Over 2.5, but the Home Win is where the real value sits. The odds are 2.15 for a home win, implying a 46.5% chance, but the data suggests a much higher probability based on that 85.71% home win rate. Key Points: - One Knoxville Home Win Rate: 85.71% (last 7 home games) - Corpus Christi Away Win Rate: 0.00% (last 6 away games) - One Knoxville Goals Scored (Home): 1.71 per game - Corpus Christi Goals Conceded (Away): 1.83 per game - Home Win Odds: 2.15 So, what's the call? One Knoxville is the meat of this match. Corpus Christi hasn't won away, and Knoxville is firing at home. The value is very clear here. I'm backing the home side to take the three points. No vegetables, just pure winning. **Summary:** I am recommending a HOME_WIN bet.

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📝 Match Preview

One Knoxville vs Corpus Christi - Value Vinny Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.15
Expected Value:+50.5%
Confidence:70

Value doesn't lie, but bookies often try to hide it. Today's fixture pits One Knoxville against Corpus Christi in the USL League One. The math here is straightforward: One Knoxville dominates at home, while Corpus Christi struggles on the road. One Knoxville's home performance is the key metric. Their win rate at home stands at 85.71% over their last seven home games. In contrast, Corpus Christi has a 0% win rate in their last six away games. This disparity creates a significant edge for the home side. Goal expectancies further support the home team. The data suggests One Knoxville should average 1.77 goals at home, while Corpus Christi is expected to score only 0.94 goals away. With One Knoxville conceding 0.71 goals per home game and Corpus Christi conceding 1.83 goals per away game, the defensive gap is clear. The odds for a One Knoxville win are priced at 2.15. This implies a probability of roughly 46.5%. However, the historical win rate of 85.71% suggests the true probability is significantly higher. Even conservatively estimating a 70% chance of a home win, the value is substantial. The market has undervalued the home team's dominance. Corpus Christi's recent form is mixed. They drew their last league match 2-2 against Naples and lost 0-1 to San Antonio in a friendly. Meanwhile, One Knoxville lost 1-2 to Forward Madison in their last league game, but won 3-2 against Westchester SC previously. Despite the recent loss, their overall home win rate remains the stronger statistical signal. Key Points: - One Knoxville Home Win Rate: 85.71% - Corpus Christi Away Win Rate: 0.00% - Goal Expectancy: Home 1.77, Away 0.94 - Odds: Home Win 2.15 - Implied Probability: 46.5% vs Estimated 70% The numbers point to a clear value opportunity on the home side. The odds do not reflect the statistical reality of Knoxville's home strength versus Corpus Christi's away weakness. Recommended Bet: Home Win

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📝 Match Preview

One Knoxville vs Corpus Christi - USL League One Preview
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.84
Expected Value:+10.4%
Confidence:60

Listen closely, you must. The match is coming, soon. One Knoxville vs Corpus Christi. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Strong, the home side is. One Knoxville, at their venue, win 85.71% of home games. A powerful force, they are. Last 10 games, 8 wins, 2 losses. Goals, they score: 1.71 per game at home. Conceded: 0.71. Weak, the visitors are. Corpus Christi, away from home, 0% win rate in last 6 games. Goals scored: 1.17 per game. Goals conceded: 1.83. A difficult path, the away team faces. Recent results, look at them. One Knoxville defeated Vistula 3-1. Corpus Christi drew 2-2 with Naples. Goals, there are. Both teams to score, 60% of the time, the data shows. A pattern, it is. Odds, the bookmakers set. Both Teams to Score - Yes, 1.84. The probability implied, 54.3% it is. But the data says 60%. Value, there is. Do not rush, you should. Calculate the edge, you must. Total goal expectancy: 2.71. Over 2.5 Goals, 2.05. Under 2.5 Goals, 1.77. But the path is clear. Both teams to score, the likely outcome is. Confidence, 60% it is. A wise choice, this is. Hedge your bets, you should. But the value is here. Both Teams to Score - Yes, the recommendation is.

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