Wed, 4 Mar 2026, 19:30
Super League
Switzerland
Switzerland
Full Time
1:2
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

25'
Sebastian Walker🟨
Yellow Card
32'
Cheveyo Tsawa🟨
Yellow Card
35'
Omar Janneh⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Olivier Custodio
46'
Chris KablanπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Valon Berisha
46'
Umeh EmmanuelπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Nevio Di Giusto
61'
Valon Berisha⚽
Goal cancelled
64'
Philippe Keny🟨
Yellow Card
64'
Brandon Soppy🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Beyatt LekoueiryπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Sekou Kone
69'
Nathan Butler-Oyedeji🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Damienus ReversonπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Juan JosΓ© Perea
72'
Ivan Cavaleiro⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Nelson Palacio
76'
Nicky BelokoπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Seydou Traore
76'
Nathan Butler-OyedejiπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Enzo Kana-Biyik
83'
Sebastian WalkerπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Ilan Sauter
90'
Ivan CavaleiroπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Pirosch Fischer
90'
Gaoussou DiakiteπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Alban Ajdini
90+2'
Abdou Karim Sow⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Olivier Custodio

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal7
11Total Shots20
6Blocked Shots4
8Shots insidebox14
3Shots outsidebox6
14Fouls11
9Corner Kicks7
4Offsides1
49Ball Possession51
3Yellow Cards2
6Goalkeeper Saves0
302Total passes323
202Passes accurate225
67Passes %70
1.11expected_goals1.85
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

FC ZurichFC Zurich1:1

Starting XI

1Silas HuberG
44Sebastian WalkerD
8Ivan CavaleiroM
19Philippe KenyF
42Alexander HackD
15Nelson PalacioM
29Damienus ReversonF
35David VujevićD
6Cheveyo TsawaM
22Chris KablanD
11Umeh EmmanuelM

LausanneLausanne1:1

Starting XI

25Karlo LeticaG
18Morgan PoatyD
16Nicky BelokoM
27Beyatt LekoueiryM
78Omar JannehF
71Abdou Karim SowD
10Olivier CustodioM
70Gaoussou DiakiteF
14Kevin MouangaD
11Nathan Butler-OyedejiM
2Brandon SoppyD

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

FC Zurich
FC Zurich
Form: L-W-L-W-L
Lausanne
Lausanne
Form: L-L-L-D-D
Record
2 W
1 D
7 L
β€’
1 W
4 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.4
Scored
2.5
Conceded
vs
2.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
100%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:2.7
Away:2.4
Scored
Home:1.4
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:2.2

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1499
Average
1506
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1465
↓ Momentum (-34)
1502
↓ Momentum (-4)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
35%
Draw
33%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1521
Attack
1529
1454
Defence
1516
Recent Form
1552
Attack
1526
1426
Defence
1501
Post-Match Changes
-14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Goal Fest Incoming: Over 2.5 Goals the Play in Zurich
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.64
Expected Value:+8.2%
Confidence:75

Darlings, The Big O is absolutely throbbing with excitement for this Swiss Super League showdown! When FC Zurich host Lausanne, we're not expecting a tactical chess match – we're expecting a proper goalfest that'll have the nets bulging all night long. Let's start with the home side, who have been serving up more action than a soap opera marathon. Zurich's last ten outings have produced a whopping 39 goals (14 scored, 25 conceded), averaging 3.9 per game. Their recent 3-4 thriller against Basel was an absolute screamer, and even their 3-0 romp against Winterthur showed they know how to find the back of the net. At home, they're averaging 2.33 goals scored but leaking 2.67 per game – that's 5.0 goals per home match! Defensive solidity? Not here, darling. Now, let me introduce you to Lausanne – the BTTS kings. These magnificent entertainers have seen Both Teams Score in 100% of their last ten matches. Read that again: one hundred percent! From their 3-3 rollercoaster against Servette to their 1-5 spanking by Thun (defensive disaster doesn't begin to cover it), Lausanne have been involved in more scoring than The Big O at an all-you-can-eat buffet. They've conceded 20 goals in their last ten while scoring 14, and on the road they're shipping 2.2 per game. The head-to-head history is equally juicy, with 6 of the last 9 meetings flying Over 2.5 goals. The Poisson model is practically screaming at us with goal expectancies of 2.27 for Zurich and 2.03 for Lausanne – that's 4.3 expected goals in total! When the mathematics promises that much action, who am I to argue? **Key Points:** β€’ Lausanne have seen BTTS in 10/10 recent matches (100% streak) β€’ Zurich home games averaging 5.0 total goals per game (2.33 scored, 2.67 conceded) β€’ Poisson goal expectancies suggest 4.3 total goals expected β€’ 6 of last 9 H2H meetings went Over 2.5 goals β€’ Zurich's recent form includes high-scoring thrillers: 3-4 vs Basel, 2-4 vs Thun, 3-0 vs Winterthur β€’ Lausanne's recent results feature a 3-3 draw and 1-5 defeat, showing defensive vulnerability The Big O doesn't do boring, and neither do these teams. With defensive frailties galore and attacking intent evident, this has all the ingredients for a proper goal-fest. At 1.64, the Over 2.5 Goals market offers solid value given the underlying data suggesting a 65%+ true probability. Get on it, and let's enjoy the ride!

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Back the Home Underdog: Zurich Value Against Tired Lausanne
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.89
Expected Value:+9.8%
Confidence:65

Oh, what a delightful little matchup we have here in the Swiss Super League! Two teams sitting side-by-side in the table (8th and 9th), yet the market has made one of them a clear favourite. That, my friends, is where we find our value! FC Zurich enter this contest as the home underdogs at 2.89, and I must say, this little puppy has more bite than the odds suggest. Yes, their recent form looks rough on paper with just two wins from their last ten outings, but let us not judge a book by its cover. When Zurich play at home, they transform into goal-scoring machines, netting an impressive 2.33 goals per game on average. They recently put three past FC Winterthur and two past Grasshoppers in front of their own fans, showing they can certainly find the net. Now, let us look at the "favourite" Lausanne. Priced at 2.36, one might expect a team in fine fettle, but oh my, the reality is quite different! These poor souls have played four matches in the last fourteen days compared to Zurich's two, including a draining European excursion against Sigma Olomouc just days ago. Fatigue is real, folks! And if you need evidence of their vulnerability, look no further than their recent 1-2 defeat away to FC Winterthur - that's right, they lost to the team propping up the entire table with a miserable 0.40 points per game and a goal difference of -47! The head-to-head record is tighter than a drum, with four draws in the last nine meetings, and while Lausanne did win the reverse fixture 2-1 back in November, Zurich's home record against them stands at a respectable one win and two draws from four encounters. Given that Zurich actually sit one point above Lausanne in the standings (31 to 30), making them the underdogs seems rather harsh indeed. Both teams have been defensive sieves recently - Zurich conceding 2.50 per game and Lausanne shipping 2.00 - which suggests goals are likely. Lausanne have seen both teams score in all of their last ten matches! But as your faithful underdog companion, I cannot bring myself to back short-priced markets like BTTS at 1.53 when there is a glorious underdog waiting to be unleashed. **Key Points:** β€’ FC Zurich average 2.33 goals per game at home despite their poor overall record β€’ Lausanne have played 4 games in 14 days (including Europe) vs Zurich's 2 - significant fatigue factor β€’ Lausanne recently lost 1-2 to bottom-placed Winterthur (0.40 PPG), exposing their vulnerability β€’ Zurich sit 8th (31 pts) above Lausanne in 9th (30 pts), yet are priced as underdogs β€’ Both teams concede heavily (Zurich 2.50/game, Lausanne 2.00/game) suggesting an open contest I am backing the home underdog to cause a stir here! With fresher legs, superior home attacking numbers, and facing a Lausanne side that just lost to the league's worst team, Zurich at 2.89 represents cracking value. Come on you little puppies, let us show the favourites what underdog spirit is all about!

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Goals Galore Expected in Zurich Basement Battle
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.64
Expected Value:+6.6%
Confidence:60

Wednesday night in the Swiss Super League sees two sides having a proper mare of a season go head-to-head, as FC Zurich host Lausanne in what looks like a relegation six-pointer in all but name. With just one point separating these two in 8th and 9th, and both treating defending like it's optional, I'm expecting a right old goal-fest at the Letzigrund. Let's start with the hosts, and blimey, Zurich have been shipping goals for fun lately. Seven defeats in their last ten tells the story, including some absolute pastings – that 3-0 walloping by Young Boys (twice!), a 4-1 drubbing by Luzern, and a 4-3 thriller against Basel where they forgot how to defend for 90 minutes. In total, they've conceded 25 goals in their last ten outings, which is proper Sunday league stuff. But here's the thing – they're not exactly shy going forward either, netting 14 in that same run and smashing three past Winterthur and two against Grasshoppers at home. Their home record is bonkers: averaging 2.33 goals scored but a whopping 2.67 conceded per game. That's five goals per game average when Zurich are at home – defensive disaster meets attacking intent. Now Lausanne roll into town with their own problems. They've only won one of their last ten (a cracking 3-1 away at Young Boys to be fair), but they've drawn four, so they're a tough nut to crack even if they don't win. That said, they took an absolute hiding at Thun recently (5-1), and they've got zero clean sheets in their last ten matches – not one, nil, nada. They've also been busy boys with four games in the last fortnight including that European trip to Sigma Olomouc, so fatigue might be a factor against a Zurich side who's had a lighter schedule. The head-to-head makes for interesting reading too. Lausanne nicked the last meeting 2-1, and historically these two can't help but score against each other – over 2.5 goals has landed in six of the last nine meetings. With both teams averaging over 3.4 goals per game in their recent fixtures combined, and the goal expectancies pointing towards over four goals in this match, the unders look about as safe as a chocolate teapot. **Key Points:** β€’ Zurich's home games average exactly 5.0 goals per game (2.33 scored, 2.67 conceded) β€’ Lausanne have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last 10 matches β€’ Both teams have conceded 20+ goals in their last 10 games combined β€’ Lausanne showing fatigue signs with 4 games in 14 days including European travel β€’ Over 2.5 goals has landed in 6 of the last 9 H2H meetings β€’ Goal expectancies suggest 4.3 total goals expected in this fixture **Summary:** Two teams who can't defend, both desperate for points, and a history of goal-filled encounters. The 1.64 on over 2.5 goals looks the business here – with these defensive records and attacking intent, we should see at least three goals without breaking a sweat. Back the overs.

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