Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 15:00
Full Time
2:2
HT: 1 - 1

Match Timeline

12'
Simen Hestnes
Normal Goal → Jonas Lange Hjorth
16'
Henrik Melland
Normal Goal → Uba Charles
34'
Robin Rasch🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Jonas Lange Hjorth🔄
Substitution 1 → Hakon Helland Hoseth
58'
Magnus Wolff Eikrem🔄
Substitution 2 → Rasmus Eggen Vinge
62'
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Hakon Helland Hoseth
Normal Goal
75'
Uba Charles🔄
Substitution 1 → Kristoffer Nessø
75'
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson🔄
Substitution 2 → Elias Heggland Myrlid
76'
Mathias Christensen🔄
Substitution 3 → Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
76'
Robin Rasch🔄
Substitution 3 → Bjorn Martin Kristensen
81'
Philip Sandvik Aukland🔄
Substitution 4 → Ivan Djantou
83'
Martin Tangen Vinjor🟨
Yellow Card
85'
Teodor Haltvik🔄
Substitution 4 → Magnus Grødem
85'
Martin Tangen Vinjor🔄
Substitution 5 → Amin Nouri
88'
Ivan Djantou
Normal Goal → Jakob Nyland Örsahl
90'
Henrik Melland🔄
Substitution 5 → Hakon Butli Hammer
90+5'
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal7
14Total Shots16
8Blocked Shots2
11Shots insidebox11
3Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls10
8Corner Kicks3
4Offsides1
53Ball Possession47
2Yellow Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves2
510Total passes451
399Passes accurate333
78Passes %74
1.63expected_goals1.67
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

AalesundAalesund1:1

Starting XI

1Kristoffer KlaessonG
16Jakob Nyland ÖrsahlD
8Henrik MellandM
39Kristian LonebuF
3Ólafur GuðmundssonD
18Elias Kristoffersen HagenM
5Aleksander KjelsenD
21Mathias ChristensenM
45Philip Sandvik AuklandD
11Davíð Snær JóhannssonM
14Uba CharlesD

KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo1:1

Starting XI

25Havar JensenG
16Jonas Lange HjorthD
23Magnus Wolff EikremM
17Teodor HaltvikF
19Eirik Franke SaunesD
7Robin RaschM
5Fredrik Tobias BerglieD
8Simen HestnesM
2Daniel SchneiderD
9Martin Tangen VinjorM
21Sander Hansen SjøkvistD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Aalesund
Aalesund
Form: L-D-W-L-W
KFUM Oslo
KFUM Oslo
Form: L-L-W-W-W
Record
3 W
2 D
5 L
3 W
2 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
2.0
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
2.1
Conceded
vs
2.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
90%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.8
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:2.5
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:2.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1401
Average
1475
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1340
↓ Momentum (-61)
1477
↑ Momentum (+3)
Expected Outcome
27%
Home Win
31%
Draw
42%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1392
Attack
1481
1403
Defence
1545
Recent Form
1362
Attack
1494
1375
Defence
1527
Post-Match Changes
+4
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Aalesund vs KFUM Oslo - Eliteserien Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+35.3%
Confidence:8

Listen to the numbers, you must. In the world of football betting, there is no try, only do or do not bet. For this fixture between Aalesund and KFUM Oslo, the data speaks clearly. Aalesund at home is a force to be reckoned with, scoring 2.75 goals per game on their own turf. Their defense, however, is porous, conceding 2.50 goals per game at home. KFUM Oslo, when traveling, struggles significantly. They manage only 0.80 goals scored per game away, but their defense concedes a heavy 2.80 goals per game. When you combine Aalesund's attacking prowess with KFUM Oslo's defensive frailties, the path to goals is clear. Head-to-head history is also a powerful signal. In the last four meetings, Aalesund has won every single match. The last encounter ended 4-2, and historically, Aalesund dominates this rivalry. While recent form shows Aalesund has been inconsistent in the Eliteserien (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses in 3 games), the goal expectancy tells a different story. The mathematical analysis suggests a total goal expectancy of 4.42 for this match. The odds market offers Over 2.5 Goals at 1.67. This implies a probability of roughly 60%. However, with an expected goal total of 4.42, the true probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals is significantly higher, creating value. KFUM Oslo's away record shows a 0% win rate, and Aalesund's home scoring rate is high. Both teams have shown a tendency for goals; Aalesund has seen both teams score in 90% of their recent games, and KFUM Oslo in 70%. Do not be swayed by the recent losses alone. Look at the underlying metrics. The goal environment is high. Hedge your bets, you should, but in this case, the signal is strong. The edge is present, and the confidence is high. Over 2.5 Goals is the choice, for the numbers do not lie. Key Points: - Aalesund home goals scored: 2.75 per game. - KFUM Oslo away goals conceded: 2.80 per game. - Head-to-Head: Aalesund won all 4 previous meetings. - Goal Expectancy: 4.42 total expected goals. - Odds for Over 2.5: 1.67 (Value detected). Recommendation: Over 2.5 Goals.

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📝 Match Preview

Aalesund vs KFUM Oslo - Over 2.5 Goals Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+36.9%
Confidence:8

Welcome to the goal fest, folks! I'm The Big O, and life is too short for nil-nils. Today we're looking at Aalesund hosting KFUM Oslo in the Eliteserien, and the data screams goals. Aalesund at home is a chaotic mix of offense and defense. They average 2.75 goals scored per home game and 2.50 goals conceded. That's over 5 goals involved in their home fixtures on average. Their recent form shows they're leaking goals, with a 10% clean sheet rate over the last 10 games. KFUM Oslo away from home is equally leaky. They concede 2.80 goals per away game, even though they only manage 0.80 goals scored. This defensive fragility combined with Aalesund's attacking output sets the stage for a high-scoring affair. The Head-to-Head record is also telling. In their last 4 meetings, 3 of them finished Over 2.5 Goals. The most recent clash ended 4-2 to Aalesund. That's 6 goals in one game! Our Goal Expectancy analysis puts the total expected goals at 4.42. That's a massive number for this league. When you add Aalesund's home scoring (2.77) and KFUM Oslo's away scoring (1.65), the math points squarely to a goal party. The odds for Over 2.5 Goals are sitting at 1.67. Given the expected goal total and the H2H history, this offers significant value. I'm confident this match will exceed the 2.5 goal threshold. Key Points: - Aalesund Home Goals: 2.75 scored, 2.50 conceded. - KFUM Oslo Away Goals: 0.80 scored, 2.80 conceded. - H2H: 3 of last 4 matches went Over 2.5. - Goal Expectancy: 4.42 total goals expected. - Recommendation: Over 2.5 Goals.

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