Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 16:00
Full Time
2:1
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

22'
R. Riski
Penalty
30'
R. Riski🟨
Yellow Card
32'
K. Wallius🟨
Yellow Card
58'
J. Tuominen🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Yli-Kokko
58'
J. Botue🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Conteh
58'
V. Ulundu🔄
Substitution 3 → H. Salomaa
60'
J. Yli-Kokko🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Y. Raap🔄
Substitution 1 → O. Tiitinen
64'
R. Riski🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Baranov
72'
E. Kiiskila🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Laine
73'
A. Conteh
Normal Goal → L. Essomba
90'
L. Essomba🔄
Substitution 5 → V. Huovila
90'
S. Vaisanen🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Miettunen
90+6'
I. Kangasniemi
Normal Goal → J. Laine
90+6'
I. Kangasniemi🟨
Yellow Card

Starting Lineups

Inter TurkuInter Turku1:1

Starting XI

1Eetu HuuhtanenG
2Jussi NiskaD
4Prosper AhiabuM
27Vincent UlunduM
21Ilari KangasniemiD
35Eeli KiiskilaM
9Jasse TuominenF
22Luka KuittinenD
23Antoin Loic EssombaF
5Albin GranlundD
11Jean Fiacre Kouamé BotuéF

IlvesIlves1:1

Starting XI

12Faris KrkalićG
3Matias RaleD
6Yiandro RaapD
30Jardell KangaF
9Teemu HytönenF
4Oliver PetterssonD
8Maksim StjopinM
10Roope RiskiF
5Sauli VäisänenD
14Anton PopovitchM
13Kalle WalliusM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Inter Turku
Inter Turku
Form: D-W-W-W-W
Ilves
Ilves
Form: L-D-L-D-W
Record
7 W
1 D
2 L
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
1.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.1
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:0.0
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1661
Good
1658
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1726
↑ Momentum (+65)
1724
↑ Momentum (+66)
Expected Outcome
33%
Home Win
35%
Draw
32%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1591
Attack
1647
1649
Defence
1588
Recent Form
1576
Attack
1700
1693
Defence
1580
Post-Match Changes
+10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Inter Turku vs Ilves Betting Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+12.8%
Confidence:7

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. So says the wise one. For this fixture, Inter Turku versus Ilves, the path is clear, yet the odds must be watched. Strong is the home team, the H2H record shows. Seven times they have won against Ilves in ten meetings. At home, four times they have triumphed. Dominance, Inter Turku has shown. Yet, in the league opener, a draw, 0-0 against VPS. Caution is needed. Ilves, the away team, they struggle. One loss in the league, 1-3 to KuPS. Their away form, mixed it is. Goals, many goals, the data suggests. Expectancy says 1.32 for home, 1.27 for away. Combined, 2.59 goals. Over 2.5, the odds 1.70 imply 58.8% chance. But the math says 55% is more likely. No value there, the edge is not present. Home Win, the opportunity lies. Odds 2.05, implied 48.8%. If true chance is 55%, edge is 6.2%. This meets the threshold. Confidence, 7/10 it is. H2H dominance at home, 80% win rate. Recent form, Inter Turku has 70% win rate last 10 games. Ilves, 50% win rate. Beware of the draw, 3.40 odds. But H2H draws are rare. No draws in last 10 H2H meetings. Home win, the path is open. So, the wise choice is the Home Win. Do not gamble blindly. The data speaks, listen you must. Key Points: - Inter Turku dominates H2H (7 wins in 10). - Home win rate vs Ilves is 80%. - Goal expectancy suggests ~2.6 goals. - Over 2.5 odds lack value (negative edge). - Home Win offers 6%+ edge. The recommended bet is Home Win.

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