Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 10:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

32'
Hiromu Mitsumaru🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Yuma Suzuki
Normal Goal → Kimito Nono
46'
Hiromu Mitsumaru🔄
Substitution 1 → Daiki Sugioka
49'
Koki Anzai🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Tomoaki Okubo🔄
Substitution 2 → Yota Komi
65'
Koya Yuruki
Goal cancelled
67'
Ryotaro Araki🔄
Substitution 1 → Shu Morooka
68'
Kimito Nono🟨
Yellow Card
69'
Yoshio Koizumi🟨
Yellow Card
79'
Yoshio Koizumi🔄
Substitution 3 → Yusuke Segawa
79'
Koki Anzai🔄
Substitution 2 → Ryoya Ogawa
79'
Yuta Matsumura🔄
Substitution 3 → Haruki Hayashi
79'
Yuta Higuchi🔄
Substitution 4 → Kei Chinen
84'
Léo Ceará🔄
Substitution 5 → Keisuke Tsukui
89'
Keisuke Tsukui🟥
Red Card
90'
Koya Yuruki🔄
Substitution 4 → Hinata Yamauchi
90'
Mao Hosoya🔄
Substitution 5 → Yuki Kakita

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots12
7Blocked Shots6
7Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox6
11Fouls15
8Corner Kicks2
3Offsides1
52Ball Possession48
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
496Total passes462
419Passes accurate382
84Passes %83

Starting Lineups

Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa ReysolUnknown

Starting XI

29Kengo NagaiG
42Wataru HaradaD
4Taiyo KogaD
2Hiromu MitsumaruD
32Yosei YamauchiM
21Yudai KonishiM
39Nobuteru NakagawaM
14Tomoaki OkuboM
8Yoshio KoizumiF
16Koya YurukiF
9Mao HosoyaF

KashimaKashimaUnknown

Starting XI

1Tomoki HayakawaG
22Kimito NonoD
55Naomichi UedaD
3Tae-hyeon KimD
2Koki AnzaiD
71Ryotaro ArakiM
14Yuta HiguchiM
6Kento MisaoM
27Yuta MatsumuraM
9Léo CearáF
40Yuma SuzukiF

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol
Form: L-L-W-W-D
Kashima
Kashima
Form: W-W-D-W-W
Record
3 W
1 D
6 L
9 W
1 D
0 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
0.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
70%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.7
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.3
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:0.2
Away:0.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1585
Average
1726
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1658
↑ Momentum (+73)
1801
↑ Momentum (+76)
Expected Outcome
22%
Home Win
28%
Draw
50%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1506
Attack
1557
1601
Defence
1695
Recent Form
1548
Attack
1562
1604
Defence
1743
Post-Match Changes
-11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima - J1 League Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.20
Expected Value:+108.0%
Confidence:8

Howzit, bettors! Pajimon here, ready to dissect this J1 League clash. We're looking at Kashiwa Reysol hosting Kashima on 2026-04-24. The table tells a clear story: Kashima sits pretty at the top with 29 points from 11 games, while Kashiwa Reysol is languishing in 8th with just 11 points. That's a massive gap in form and standing. Kashima's recent form is absolutely flying. In their last 10 games, they've won 9 and drawn 1, conceding only 0.4 goals per game. Their away performance is particularly strong, with a 75% win rate on the road. Kashiwa Reysol, on the other hand, has lost 6 of their last 10 games. At home, they average 1.75 goals scored, but they are conceding 0.75. However, Kashima's defensive record is elite, keeping clean sheets in 70% of their last 10 matches. Head-to-head history heavily favors Kashima. In the last 10 meetings, Kashima has won 6 times compared to Kashiwa's single win. The last time they met on 2026-02-21, Kashima won 2-0. Given Kashima's dominance in the standings and their away form, the odds for an Away Win sit at 3.20. This implies a 31% chance, but based on the 75% away win rate and H2H dominance, the true probability is significantly higher. That's where the value lies, my friends. We also see goal expectancy data suggesting around 2.75 total goals, which might tempt some to look at Over 2.5, but the Away Win signal is much stronger. Kashima's defense is too tight for a high-scoring affair, but their attack is potent enough to secure the three points. Key Points: - Kashima leads the table (29 pts) vs Kashiwa Reysol (11 pts). - Kashima has a 75% win rate in their last 4 away games. - H2H record shows Kashima wins 60% of matches. - Kashima has conceded only 4 goals in their last 10 games. In summary, the data screams value on the visitors. We're going with the Away Win. Baie goed choice, let's get those winnings!

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📝 Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.20
Expected Value:+60.0%
Confidence:7

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. In this J1 League fixture, the path is clear, though the odds may tempt you to gamble. Look closely at the form, you must. Kashima, the league leaders with 29 points, are flying high. Nine wins in ten games, they are. Their away form is strong—75% win rate in last four away games. Goals, they score many. 2.25 goals per game on the road, they manage. Defense, solid it is. Only 0.75 goals conceded away from home. Kashiwa Reysol, struggling they are. Eighth in the table, 11 points only. Three wins in ten games, that is their record. At home, they win half the time, but recently they have lost twice in a row. Mito Hollyhock beat them 2-0, Machida Zelvia beat them 1-0. Form is declining, yes. Head-to-head, the history books tell the tale. Kashima has won six of the last ten meetings. At Kashiwa's home ground, Kashima has won three times, drawn once, lost once. Dominance, it is. Last meeting, Kashima won 2-0. Kashiwa has not beaten them recently. Goal expectancy suggests 2.75 total goals. Over 2.5 is tempting, but the edge is small. The value lies elsewhere. Kashima's strength is greater. Their attack is potent, their defense is tight. Kashiwa's defense is leaky, conceding 1.10 goals per game. Kashima scores 1.80 per game. Hedge your bets, you should. But if you must choose, the away win offers value. The odds of 3.20 imply a 31% chance. The reality is higher. Kashima's form, H2H dominance, and table position all point to victory. Confidence is high. Do not bet blindly, but bet with wisdom. Key Points: - Kashima is 1st with 29 points; Kashiwa is 8th with 11 points. - Kashima has won 9 of last 10 games; Kashiwa has won 3. - H2H: Kashima has won 6 of last 10 meetings. - Kashima scores 2.25 goals per game away; Kashiwa concedes 1.10 goals per game. - Goal expectancy is 2.75 total goals. Summary: Kashima Away Win is the recommended bet.

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📝 Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima: J1 League Preview & Betting Tip
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.20
Expected Value:+28.0%
Confidence:8

Right, let's crack open the J1 League fixture between Kashiwa Reysol and Kashima. This one's got some serious form disparity, and the odds look like they've missed a trick. First off, look at the stats. Kashima are absolutely flying. In their last 10 games, they've won 9, drawn 1, and not lost a single match. That's a 90% win rate. Kashiwa Reysol, on the other hand, are in a right mess. They've only won 3 of their last 10, with 6 losses. That's a 30% win rate. The gap is massive. Then there's the head-to-head. In their last 10 meetings, Kashima has won 6 times, while Kashiwa has only managed 1 win. The last time they met in February, Kashima walked away with a 2-0 victory. History is on the visitors' side. Now, let's talk goals. The data suggests an expected goal tally of around 2.75 combined. Kashiwa at home averages 1.75 goals scored, while Kashima away averages 2.25. That points to a game with plenty of action, but the winner is the real story here. The bookies have priced Kashima to win at 3.20. That implies a 31% chance. But looking at their 90% win rate and the H2H record, the real chance feels much higher—closer to 40% or more. That's a solid value edge. Kashiwa are at home, but they've only won half of their home games recently. Kashima are winning 75% of their away games. So, where's the value? The Away Win looks like the play. The odds are generous for a team in this kind of red-hot form. Don't get distracted by the home advantage when the stats scream away victory. **Key Points:** - Kashima: 9 wins in last 10 games (90% win rate). - Kashiwa: 3 wins in last 10 games (30% win rate). - H2H: Kashima dominates with 6 wins in last 10 meetings. - Goal Expectancy: Combined 2.75 goals expected. - Value: Away Win odds of 3.20 offer significant edge. **The Verdict:** With Kashima's form and the head-to-head record, the Away Win is the clear pick. The odds of 3.20 suggest the bookies are underestimating the visitors. Go with the Away Win. **Recommended Bet:** Away Win

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