Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 05:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

24'
Yuma Tsujioka🟨
Yellow Card
27'
Kosuke Shirai
Normal Goal
45+1'
Keiya Shiihashi🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Kaoru Yamawaki🔄
Substitution 1 → Tomoya Miki
61'
Towa Yamane
Normal Goal → Kosuke Shirai
62'
Shosei Usui🔄
Substitution 2 → Yutaka Michiwaki
62'
Keiya Shiihashi🔄
Substitution 3 → Yuji Kitajima
66'
Kosuke Shirai🔄
Substitution 1 → Haruka Motoyama
66'
Ataru Esaka🔄
Substitution 2 → Kota Kawano
74'
Kosei Ogura🔄
Substitution 3 → Yoshitake Suzuki
74'
Werik Popó🔄
Substitution 4 → Lucão
75'
Teppei Oka🔄
Substitution 4 → Yu Hashimoto
75'
Shintaro Nago🔄
Substitution 5 → Hanan Saniburaun
82'
Takaya Kimura🔄
Substitution 5 → Léo Gaúcho

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal5
6Total Shots9
2Blocked Shots2
4Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox3
11Fouls13
3Corner Kicks7
3Offsides3
39Ball Possession61
0Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves0
289Total passes453
195Passes accurate340
67Passes %75

Starting Lineups

Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1:1

Starting XI

1L. MoserG
6H. OmoriD
88T. YamaneM
8A. EsakaF
98Werik PopoF
18D. TagamiD
5K. OguraM
27T. KimuraF
48Y. TatsutaD
41E. MiyamotoM
51K. ShiraiM

Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1:1

Starting XI

41K. FujitaG
15Y. TsujiokaD
29Y. MaejimaM
22K. FujimotoF
7S. UsuiF
37M. TashiroD
34K. ShiihashiM
14S. NagoF
16T. OkaD
6M. ShigemiM
33K. YamawakiM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Form: D-L-L-L-W
Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka
Form: W-D-W-W-D
Record
2 W
4 D
4 L
3 W
3 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
1.1
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:1.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1466
Average
1519
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1413
↓ Momentum (-53)
1520
↑ Momentum (+1)
Expected Outcome
29%
Home Win
32%
Draw
39%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1422
Attack
1417
1524
Defence
1577
Recent Form
1371
Attack
1416
1486
Defence
1564
Post-Match Changes
+14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka
Recommendation:DRAW
Odds:3.20
Expected Value:+44.0%
Confidence:7

Listen up, bra! Fagiano Okayama host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League. It's a tough one, like a braai without the meat. But we love a good challenge. Looking at the history, these two have met 10 times. Seven of those ended in a draw. That's a lot of draws, like waiting for the beer to arrive. The head-to-head record shows Fagiano Okayama with 1 win, 7 draws, and 2 losses. The last meeting on 2026-02-08 ended 1-1. Fagiano Okayama at home have a 20% win rate and concede 1.60 goals per game. Their recent home results include a 1-0 win against Kyoto Sanga, but also heavy defeats like 1-4 to Vissel Kobe. Avispa Fukuoka away have a 16.67% win rate and concede 1.17 goals per game. Their recent away results include a 1-0 win against V-varen Nagasaki, but also losses like 0-1 to Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0-2 to Kyoto Sanga. Goal expectancy is low, around 2.11 total goals. This suggests a low-scoring affair, likely a 1-1 or 0-0 draw. Both teams have a 20% win rate in their last 10 games. Fagiano's home defense is leaky (1.60 conceded/game), while Avispa's away attack is modest (0.67 scored/game). The odds for a Draw are 3.20. The implied probability is 31.25%. Given the H2H draw rate of 70% and the low goal expectancy, the true probability is likely higher, around 45%. This gives us a solid edge. So the smart money is on a Draw. Let's go for the Draw. Baie goed!

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