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Match analysis

WalesPremier League

Penybont vs Caernarfon Town

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

23'
R. Sears🟨
Yellow Card
27'
C. Green🟨
Yellow Card
37'
J. Lock🟨
Yellow Card
46'
C. Green🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Baker
46'
R. Sears🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Owen
62'
J. Lock🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Owen
67'
B. Young🟨
Yellow Card
67'
B. Young🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Lewis
73'
K. Owen🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Warlow
75'
O. Warlow🟨
Yellow Card
79'
A. Davies🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Evans
88'
I. Phillips🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Jones

Tipster previews (6)

The Big "O"Lost

Welsh Premier League Clash Promises Goals Galore

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

The battle for top-four positioning heats up as third-placed Penybont host fourth-placed Caernarfon Town in what promises to be a thrilling Welsh Premier League encounter. With just four points separating the sides, the stakes are high, but for us fans of excitement, the real…

Umery UnderdogLost

Can the Canaries Cause an Upset at Penybont?

The pickCaernarfon Town win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.30
Model EV
+15.5%

The race for European places heats up in the Welsh Premier League as third-placed Penybont host fourth-placed Caernarfon Town. On paper, this is a tight encounter between two sides separated by just four points. The bookmakers have installed the home side as slight favourites…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Penybont

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Caernarfon Town

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Penybont at home vs Caernarfon Town away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+55Penybont
Venue edge
+37Penybont
Rating period
Match snapshot
Penybont versus Caernarfon Town: long term Elo, before the match
PenybontHomeRatingCaernarfon TownAway
Strength
1,699Overall1,644
1,643Match venue1,606
1,643At home1,572
1,657Away1,606
Attack & defence
1,565Attack1,611
1,643Defence1,556
1,518Home attack1,614
1,595Away attack1,576
1,658Home defence1,515
1,599Away defence1,551
Match profile
1,673Goal environment2,070
1,555Home goals1,797
1,618Away goals1,773
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,636Close games1,558
1,719Winning margin1,675

Match venue compares Penybont at home with Caernarfon Town away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.