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Match analysis

WalesPremier League

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

26'
A. Cieslewicz🟨
Yellow Card
26'
C. Roberts🟨
Yellow Card
26'
N. Edwards🟨
Yellow Card
31'
B. Nash🟨
Yellow Card
43'
R. Hughes
Penalty
56'
B. Young🟨
Yellow Card
69'
B. Young🔄
Substitution 1 → Z. Clarke
69'
P. Mooney🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Jones
81'
R. Hughes🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Bratley
86'
M. Woodcock🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Oswell
87'
D. Gosset🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Davies
87'
A. Cieslewicz🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Owen
90+3'
S. Bradley⚽
Normal Goal

Tipster previews (6)

Umery UnderdogWon

Can the Canaries Snatch a Point at the Quay?

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.60
Model EV
+26.0%

The Cymru Premier serves up a fascinating clash this Friday as second-placed GAP Connah S Quay FC host fourth-placed Caernarfon Town. On paper, this looks like a home banker. Connah's Quay are flying high with 48 points, boast a perfect 100% win rate from their last five home…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

GAP Connah S Quay FC

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Caernarfon Town

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

GAP Connah S Quay FC at home vs Caernarfon Town away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+78GAP Connah S Quay FC
Venue edge
+78GAP Connah S Quay FC
Rating period
Match snapshot
GAP Connah S Quay FC versus Caernarfon Town: long term Elo, before the match
GAP Connah S Quay FCHomeRatingCaernarfon TownAway
Strength
1,725Overall1,647
1,686Match venue1,607
1,686At home1,572
1,647Away1,607
Attack & defence
1,663Attack1,597
1,637Defence1,571
1,624Home attack1,614
1,584Away attack1,565
1,632Home defence1,515
1,653Away defence1,564
Match profile
1,932Goal environment2,062
1,737Home goals1,797
1,695Away goals1,765
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,544Close games1,561
1,785Winning margin1,677

Match venue compares GAP Connah S Quay FC at home with Caernarfon Town away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting lineups

Lineups are not available yet. They are usually confirmed about an hour before kick-off.