Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 16:15
Full Time

Match Timeline

3'
D. Hawkins⚽
Normal Goal
12'
B. Ahmun⚽
Normal Goal
24'
D. Rees🟨
Yellow Card
25'
D. Williams🟨
Yellow Card
27'
A. Pennock🟨
Yellow Card
28'
B. Ahmun
Missed Penalty β†’ B. Ahmun
30'
R. WattsπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ I. Humphreys
39'
D. Hawkins⚽
Normal Goal
50'
D. Hawkins⚽
Normal Goal
53'
R. Abbruzzese⚽
Normal Goal
54'
G. WaltersπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ P. Makwiramiti
54'
D. ReesπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ J. Wilson
54'
R. BoothπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Hopkins
64'
K. KennifordπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ A. Watkins
64'
D. HawkinsπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ W. Hughes
73'
A. PennockπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ O. Williams
73'
B. GibbingsπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ K. Hussein
73'
J. LesterπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ J. Goddard
78'
M. EvansπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ S. Parkhouse
81'
P. Makwiramiti⚽
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

llanelli AFC
llanelli AFC
Form: L-W-L-L-D
Record
7 W
0 D
3 L
β€’
1 W
2 D
7 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
0.6
Scored
0.7
Conceded
vs
2.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
20%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:0.2
Scored
Home:0.2
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:2.4
Away:2.0

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1625
Good
1341
Developing
Short Term Elo Rating
1684
↑ Momentum (+58)
1267
↓ Momentum (-74)
Expected Outcome
66%
Home Win
21%
Draw
13%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1560
Attack
1363
1654
Defence
1403
Recent Form
1591
Attack
1303
1674
Defence
1430
Post-Match Changes
+5
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Haverfordwest County AFC vs llanelli AFC - Match Preview
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+19.0%
Confidence:7

G'day fans! Pajimon here, ready to fire up the BBQ and pour a cold one. We're looking at the Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County AFC and llanelli AFC. This is a massive day for Haverfordwest, and the data screams a clear story. Haverfordwest is in absolute flying form. In their last 10 games, they've secured 7 wins, averaging 2.10 points per game. Their defense is rock solid, boasting a 70% clean sheet rate overall. At home, they've won 60% of their games, scoring 1.60 goals per match. They are the team to beat. On the other side, llanelli AFC is struggling. Their last 10 games show just 1 win and 7 losses. They are conceding goals at an alarming rateβ€”2.20 goals per game on average. Their clean sheet rate is a dismal 10%. Away from home, they win only 20% of their games and score just 1.00 goal per game. The head-to-head record is the real kicker here. In the last 5 meetings between these two, neither team has managed to score in a single match. Every single game ended with a clean sheet for one side or the other. The scores were 1-0, 3-0, 0-3, 0-1, and 0-2. That is five straight games with NO Both Teams to Score. Looking at the goal expectancy, we see Haverfordwest expected to score 1.80 goals and llanelli 1.10 goals. While the total goals might suggest Over 2.5, the H2H trend is undeniable. Haverfordwest's 70% clean sheet rate combined with llanelli's 10% clean sheet rate strongly points to a clean sheet for the home side. The bookies have set the odds for Both Teams to Score - No at 1.70. This implies a 58.8% probability. Given the H2H streak and Haverfordwest's defensive form, I'm confident the true probability is closer to 70%. That's a solid edge. So, grab your beer, keep the politics out of it, and let's focus on the meat of the bet. The data supports a clean sheet for Haverfordwest. Key Points: - Haverfordwest: 7 wins in last 10, 70% clean sheet rate. - llanelli: 1 win in last 10, 10% clean sheet rate. - H2H: Last 5 matches all ended with NO BTTS. - Value Bet: Both Teams to Score - No @ 1.70. I'm going with Both Teams to Score - No.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Haverfordwest County AFC vs llanelli AFC
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+36.0%
Confidence:8

Haverfordwest County AFC vs llanelli AFC, this match we analyze. Careful you must be, with the odds. Strong is the home team, Haverfordwest. Weak is the visitor, llanelli. Look at the form, you must. Last 10 games, seven wins for Haverfordwest. Two points per game, they earn. Goals, fourteen they score. Conceded, seven only. Clean sheets, seventy percent they keep. A fortress, their home is. llanelli, they struggle. One win in ten games. Points, half a point per game. Goals, six they score. Conceded, twenty-two. Clean sheets, ten percent only. A sieve, their defense is. History, it tells a story. Seven matches, they have played. Four wins, Haverfordwest has. Three wins, llanelli has. But at home, Haverfordwest wins two, draws none, loses one. Sixty-six percent, their home win rate is. Last meeting, one-nil victory for Haverfordwest. Clean sheet, they kept. Goals, how many? Haverfordwest scores 1.60 at home. llanelli scores 1.00 away. Together, 2.60 goals expected. Over 2.5, the odds say 1.53. But history says otherwise. In head-to-head, three of seven matches had over 2.5 goals. But recent form suggests fewer goals. Haverfordwest concedes 1.20 at home. llanelli scores 1.00 away. Both Teams to Score, we consider. Haverfordwest clean sheets, seventy percent. llanelli clean sheets, ten percent. In head-to-head, four of five recent matches, no goals from llanelli. BTTS No, the value lies there. Odds, 1.70. Implied probability, 58.8 percent. True probability, eighty percent. Edge, twenty-one percent. Good value, this is. Do or do not bet, there is no try. But hedge your bets, you should. Haverfordwest, strong they are. llanelli, weak they are. The bet, BTTS No, is the choice. Confidence, high it is. Summary: Haverfordwest County AFC vs llanelli AFC. The wise choice is Both Teams to Score - No.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Haverfordwest County vs Llanelli AFC - Match Preview & Tip
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+10.5%
Confidence:7

Right, let's have a proper chat about this one. Haverfordwest County AFC are in a right good patch right now, and Llanelli AFC are having a tough time of it. If you're looking for value, this match has a clear story: Haverfordwest's defense is the star of the show. Haverfordwest have been solid as a rock at home. In their last 10 games, they've kept 7 clean sheets. That's a 70% clean sheet rate, which is exceptional. They're scoring 1.60 goals per game at home, but more importantly, they're only conceding 0.70 goals per game in their recent run. Their last five home games show a 60% win rate, and they've won 4 of their last 7 meetings against Llanelli. On the other side, Llanelli AFC are struggling mightily. They've only won 1 of their last 10 games, with a win rate of just 10%. Their attack is barely firing, averaging just 0.60 goals per game. Meanwhile, their defense is leaking like a sieve, conceding 2.20 goals per game. In their last 10 away games, they've only won 20% of them. Looking at the head-to-head, Haverfordwest have won the last meeting 1-0. At home, Haverfordwest have a 66.67% win rate against Llanelli. The odds reflect this, with Haverfordwest heavy favorites. However, the real value isn't in the match winner, but in the goal market. Here's the thing: Haverfordwest's defense is so tight, and Llanelli's attack is so poor, that Llanelli scoring is the unlikely event. With Haverfordwest keeping clean sheets 70% of the time and Llanelli averaging just 0.60 goals scored per game, the probability of both teams scoring is low. The odds for 'Both Teams to Score - No' are 1.70. This offers a nice edge over the implied probability. Key Points: - Haverfordwest have a 70% clean sheet rate in their last 10 games. - Llanelli are averaging just 0.60 goals scored per game. - Haverfordwest have won 4 of 7 head-to-head meetings. - Llanelli have lost 7 of their last 10 games. - Haverfordwest home defense is strong (0.70 goals conceded per game). The tip is clear: Haverfordwest will likely keep a clean sheet. Llanelli's attack is too weak to break through Haverfordwest's defense. I'm backing 'Both Teams to Score - No' at 1.70 odds. It's a solid value play based on the stats.

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