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Match analysis

JapanJ2 League

Sagan Tosu vs Kagoshima United

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this J2 League fixture.

Match Timeline

46'
Y. Aoki🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Muramatsu
51'
K. Yoshio⚽
Normal Goal → K. Kawamura
60'
K. Kamiyama🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Y. Tanaka🔄
Substitution 1 → V. Slivka
61'
D. Suzuki🔄
Substitution 2 → Jo
61'
K. Kamiyama🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Imazu
75'
N. Matsumoto🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Sakurai
75'
K. Nishizawa🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Yuba
77'
K. Kawamura🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Arita
77'
K. Yoshio🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Kawashima
85'
M. Fukuda🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Endo
89'
K. Nakayama🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Yonezawa

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Tosu to Braai Kagoshima's Away Day Blues

The pickSagan Tosu win

Chance
52%
Odds
2.18
Model EV
+13.4%

Howzit my bru! Early one this Saturday morning - 05:00 kickoff - so set that alarm or just don't go to bed after Friday night's braai. We've got J2 League action from Japan as Sagan Tosu host Kagoshima United, and I'm smelling a lekker home win here like boerewors on the grill…

Mr SimpleLost

Tosu to Tame Travel-Sick Kagoshima at Home

The pickSagan Tosu win

Chance
50%
Odds
2.18
Model EV
+9.0%

Alright, listen up! We've got an early kick-off in the J2 League as Sagan Tosu host Kagoshima United. Now, Tosu have been about as consistent as a dodgy Wi-Fi signal lately – just one win in their last ten matches, with four draws and four defeats. Their form graph is pointing…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Sagan Tosu

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Kagoshima United

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Sagan Tosu at home vs Kagoshima United away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within J2 League

Overall edge
+106Sagan Tosu
Venue edge
+217Sagan Tosu
Rating period
Match snapshot
Sagan Tosu versus Kagoshima United: long term Elo, before the match
Sagan TosuHomeRatingKagoshima UnitedAway
Strength
1,494Overall1,388
1,538Match venue1,321
1,538At home1,486
1,476Away1,321
Attack & defence
1,471Attack1,418
1,515Defence1,493
1,481Home attack1,468
1,473Away attack1,369
1,537Home defence1,519
1,507Away defence1,439
Match profile
1,485Goal environment1,528
1,493Home goals1,502
1,492Away goals1,527
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,508Close games1,387
1,490Winning margin1,399

Match venue compares Sagan Tosu at home with Kagoshima United away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Sagan TosuSagan TosuUnknown

Starting XI

1R. IzumoriUnknown
20A. ToyodaUnknown
3K. KamiyamaUnknown
33S. OgawaUnknown
26T. AndoUnknown
2N. MatsumotoUnknown
29Y. TanakaUnknown
16K. NishizawaUnknown
88R. ShiohamaUnknown
19D. SuzukiUnknown
7K. SakamotoUnknown

Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima UnitedUnknown

Starting XI

21K. KawakamiUnknown
44Y. AokiUnknown
4K. HiroseUnknown
5Y. YamadaUnknown
3H. SugiiUnknown
2R. SagaUnknown
19S. InabaUnknown
14K. YoshioUnknown
11M. FukudaUnknown
55K. NakayamaUnknown
18K. KawamuraUnknown