Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 05:00
Full Time (Penalties)

Match Timeline

2'
Y. Mori🟨
Yellow Card
11'
S. Matsuki⚽
Normal Goal
14'
K. Okazawa⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Y. Nakamura
34'
K. Shimizu🟨
Yellow Card
36'
J. Miki⚽
Normal Goal β†’ R. Hisadomi
46'
R. HisadomiπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ R. Asakura
46'
J. MikiπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ M. Sugita
46'
T. ChibaπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Fujita
53'
Y. Okada⚽
Normal Goal β†’ K. Shimizu
57'
K. Shimizu⚽
Normal Goal
68'
Y. KikuiπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ K. Yamura
77'
Y. Nakamura🟨
Yellow Card
82'
K. AshibeπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ T. Nakamura
85'
D. Kurisu🟨
Yellow Card
86'
H. ManabeπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ H. Kanda
87'
T. Fujitani⚽
Normal Goal β†’ T. Harigaya
88'
S. Matsuki🟨
Yellow Card
89'
U. UehataπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ T. Einaga
90+4'
Y. MoriπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ S. Nakagawa
90+4'
T. Einaga🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
T. AnzaiπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ H. Toma
120+1'
H. Kanda
Penalty
120+1'
T. Harigaya
Penalty
120+2'
S. Matsuki
Penalty
120+2'
T. Nakamura
Missed Penalty
120+3'
K. Okazawa
Penalty
120+3'
Y. Okada
Penalty
120+4'
M. Sugita
Penalty
120+4'
J. Fujita
Penalty
120+5'
K. Yamura
Penalty

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Fukushima United
Fukushima United
Form: L-W-D-L-L
Fujieda MYFC
Fujieda MYFC
Form: W-D-W-D-W
Record
5 W
1 D
4 L
β€’
3 W
4 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.6
Scored
vs
1.3
Scored
2.1
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.7
Away:1.1
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:2.4
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:2.2

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1512
Average
1470
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1527
↑ Momentum (+15)
1456
↓ Momentum (-14)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
32%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1515
Attack
1445
1459
Defence
1519
Recent Form
1534
Attack
1406
1423
Defence
1542
Post-Match Changes
-3
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Fukushima United vs Fujieda MYFC: Over 2.5 Goals Analysis
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.78
Expected Value:+35.3%
Confidence:75

Hallo bra, it's Pajimon here! Welcome to the preview. No vegetables today, only meat and beer. We are looking at Fukushima United hosting Fujieda MYFC in the J2/J3 League. The standings paint a clear picture: Fujieda MYFC sits comfortably with 12 points from 6 games, while Fukushima United is struggling with just 4 points. That is a big gap in the table. Let's look at the form. Fukushima United has a 100% win rate in their last 3 home games, scoring an average of 2.67 goals per game at home. That is solid meat on the bone. However, Fujieda MYFC has a 40% win rate away from home, conceding 2.20 goals per game on the road. The recent results show Fukushima lost 2-1 to Gifu on 2026-03-15, but won 4-2 against Nagano on 2026-03-08. Fujieda won 2-1 away at Iwaki on 2026-03-01. The history is where it gets spicy. In 8 head-to-head meetings, Fujieda MYFC has won 5 times, while Fukushima United has only won once. Recent scorelines include a 1-3 defeat and a 0-6 thrashing for Fukushima against Fujieda. The goal expectancy model predicts a combined 4.00 goals (Home 2.43, Away 1.57). The market odds for Over 2.5 Goals are 1.78. Based on the goal expectancy of 4.00, the probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals is roughly 76%. The odds imply only 56% chance. That is massive value. My confidence is high because the stats align: high scoring home form meeting a leaky away defense. Look at the Both Teams to Score stats. Fukushima United has an 80% BTTS rate in their last 10 games, while Fujieda MYFC has a 70% BTTS rate. This suggests goals at both ends. Asseblief, nie te veel groente, only the main course. The numbers scream goals. So, let's eat meat. The recommendation is Over 2.5 Goals.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Fukushima United vs Fujieda MYFC - The Big O's Over 2.5 Tip
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.78
Expected Value:+35.3%
Confidence:75

Welcome back to the pitch, goal-gazers! I'm The Big O, and let's be honest: life's too short for nil-nil. Today's clash between Fukushima United and Fujieda MYFC looks primed for fireworks. Looking at the stats, Fukushima United are scoring 2.67 goals per game at home, while conceding 1.33. That's a combined 4.0 goal expectancy on their turf. Fujieda MYFC, on the other hand, are averaging 1.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in away fixtures. The math doesn't lieβ€”these teams love to put the ball in the net. Recent form screams goals. Fukushima United recently thrashed Parceiro Nagano 4-2 at home, and suffered a 0-6 defeat to Omiya Ardija. That's six goals in a single game. Fujieda MYFC's away form includes wins like 2-1 against Omiya Ardija and Iwaki. Their head-to-head history is equally spicy: in their last eight meetings, they've combined for 19 goals. That's an average of 2.375 goals per game, but specific results like 1-3 and 0-6 show the potential for high scores. The Goal Expectancy inputs for this match are Home 2.43 and Away 1.57, totaling 4.0 expected goals. Based on a Poisson distribution with a lambda of 4.0, the probability of seeing Over 2.5 Goals is roughly 76%. The market odds are sitting at 1.78, implying a probability of about 56%. That's a massive edge for the Over. With both teams showing high goal averages and a history of open play, this isn't a defensive grind. It's a goal fest in the making. The Big O is betting on the action. Key Points: - Fukushima United Home Goals: 2.67 per game. - Fujieda MYFC Away Goals Conceded: 2.20 per game. - Head-to-Head: 19 goals in 8 matches (Avg 2.375). - Goal Expectancy: 4.0 total goals. - Market Odds: 1.78 for Over 2.5. Verdict: The numbers point to a high-scoring affair. Over 2.5 Goals is the pick.

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