Sun, 29 Mar 2026, 04:00
Full Time (Penalties)

Match Timeline

5'
T. Shimakawa
Normal Goal → A. Tanahashi
42'
F. Unoki
Penalty
46'
R. Takano🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Watahiki
67'
R. Nakayama🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Maeda
68'
S. Nakano🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Takao
77'
D. Inazumi🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Kurisawa
77'
K. Nagata🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Kaburaki
78'
R. Sugimoto
Normal Goal
82'
F. Unoki🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Origbaajo
87'
R. Sawakami
Normal Goal → M. Kaburaki
88'
K. Sasaki🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Ando
88'
A. Tanahashi🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Okita
90+2'
T. Shimakawa🔄
Substitution 5 → Y. Tokunaga
120+1'
I. Origbaajo
Penalty
120+1'
T. Ando
Penalty
120+2'
R. Takao
Penalty
120+2'
T. Maeda
Penalty
120+3'
W. Hiramatsu
Missed Penalty
120+3'
R. Yamauchi
Penalty
120+4'
H. Shirai
Penalty
120+4'
Y. Tokunaga
Penalty
120+5'
S. Otoizumi
Penalty
120+5'
S. Okita
Missed Penalty
120+6'
S. Takayoshi
Missed Penalty
120+6'
R. Sugimoto
Penalty

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Vanraure Hachinohe
Vanraure Hachinohe
Form: L-L-D-D-L
Sagamihara
Sagamihara
Form: L-L-W-W-W
Record
1 W
5 D
4 L
4 W
0 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
0.4
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
0.7
Conceded
vs
2.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
30%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.3
Away:0.4
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:0.6
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:0.7
Conceded
Home:1.9
Away:3.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1490
Average
1461
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1475
↓ Momentum (-16)
1445
↓ Momentum (-16)
Expected Outcome
36%
Home Win
33%
Draw
31%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1482
Attack
1486
1534
Defence
1478
Recent Form
1459
Attack
1512
1557
Defence
1438
Post-Match Changes
-2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Vanraure Hachinohe vs Sagamihara Preview: Low-Scoring Clash Expected
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.74
Expected Value:+13.1%
Confidence:50

Goeienaand, bra! Welcome to another proper football preview. I'm Pajimon, and today we're looking at a J2/J3 League clash between Vanraure Hachinohe and Sagamihara. Let me tell you, this one smells like a low-scoring affair, and I'm going to explain why. First off, let's talk about Vanraure Hachinohe. This team is struggling mightily in front of goal. In their last 10 games, they've scored a mere 4 goals—that's 0.40 per game. At home, it's even worse, with just 0.33 goals per game. Their recent results tell a grim story: losses to Blaublitz Akita (1-0) and Tochigi City (0-1), plus draws against Yokohama FC (1-1) and Vegalta Sendai (0-0). They haven't won a home game in their last three attempts, with a 0% home win rate. Now, Sagamihara is a different beast at home, scoring 2.57 goals per game on their turf. But away from home? They're a disaster. Their away form shows 0% wins, 0% draws, and 100% losses in their last 3 away games. They're scoring just 0.67 goals per game away, while conceding 3.00. Their last two away games ended in 1-3 and 2-4 defeats. This is a team that cannot perform on the road. The head-to-head record shows Vanraure Hachinohe dominates with 5 wins from 8 meetings, including a 2-1-1 record at home against Sagamihara. The last meeting ended 1-0 to Vanraure Hachinohe. The goal expectancy numbers are telling: 1.67 for the home side and 0.83 for the away side, totaling 2.50. This screams Under 2.5 Goals. Looking at the odds, Under 2.5 is priced at 1.74, which implies a 57.47% probability. I estimate this at around 65%, giving us a nice edge. The fair probability from the market is 56.93%, but my analysis suggests the true probability is higher given Vanraure Hachinohe's 0.33 home goals scored per game and Sagamihara's 0.67 away goals scored per game. The BTTS market is also worth noting. Vanraure Hachinohe has only 30% BTTS rate in their last 10, while Sagamihara's away games have been goal fests but their offense is struggling on the road. So, what's the verdict? This match has all the hallmarks of a low-scoring, tactical affair. Both teams are in poor form, the goal expectancy is low, and the odds offer value on the Under. I'm backing Under 2.5 Goals. No meat in this one, bra—just a tight, defensive battle. **Recommended Bet: Under 2.5 Goals**

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