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Match analysis

JapanJ2 League

Tochigi City vs Sagamihara

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this J2 League fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0 · Pens 4–2

Match Timeline

7'
R. Nakayama
Missed Penalty → R. Nakayama
49'
R. Sugimoto🟨
Yellow Card
65'
T. Takeuchi🟨
Yellow Card
70'
Pedro Augusto🟨
Yellow Card
72'
P. Tanaka🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Karlsson
73'
R. Nakayama🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Maeda
79'
M. Suzuki🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Yamashita
79'
M. Kato🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Mori
82'
T. Shimakawa🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Takusari
82'
K. Sasaki🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Takano
89'
A. Tanahashi🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Ando
89'
D. Kato🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Pytlik
120+1'
D. Karlsson
Penalty
120+1'
T. Ando
Missed Penalty
120+2'
K. Yamashita
Penalty
120+2'
T. Maeda
Penalty
120+3'
A. Yoshida
Penalty
120+3'
R. Yamauchi
Penalty
120+4'
S. Kotake
Penalty
120+4'
T. Takeuchi
Missed Penalty

Tipster previews (5)

OracleLost

Tochigi City vs Sagamihara - J2/J3 League Preview

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.93
Model EV
+25.4%

In the quiet observation of the pitch, wisdom is found in the numbers. For the upcoming J2/J3 League fixture between Tochigi City and Sagamihara, the path to profit is illuminated by the data. Tochigi City, when hosting, display a mixed bag of form. In their last five home…

Mr SimpleLost

Tochigi City vs Sagamihara - Match Preview

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
66%
Odds
1.93
Model EV
+27.4%

Right then, let's have a proper chinwag about this J2/J3 League clash between Tochigi City and Sagamihara. Kickoff is set for April 4th, and there's some interesting angles to consider before you place your chips. Tochigi City have been a bit of a mixed bag lately. At home…

Value VinnyLost

Tochigi City vs Sagamihara: Value Analysis

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.93
Model EV
+11.9%

Odds don't lie — but bookies do. That's the mantra I live by. When I look at this J2/J3 League clash between Tochigi City and Sagamihara, the math points to a specific angle where the bookmakers have left money on the table. We aren't guessing; we're calculating Expected Value…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Tochigi City

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Sagamihara

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Tochigi City at home vs Sagamihara away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within J2 League

Overall edge
+44Tochigi City
Venue edge
+37Tochigi City
Rating period
Match snapshot
Tochigi City versus Sagamihara: long term Elo, before the match
Tochigi CityHomeRatingSagamiharaAway
Strength
1,464Overall1,420
1,465Match venue1,428
1,465At home1,461
1,504Away1,428
Attack & defence
1,490Attack1,457
1,464Defence1,472
1,477Home attack1,486
1,509Away attack1,408
1,475Home defence1,505
1,489Away defence1,480
Match profile
1,523Goal environment1,477
1,507Home goals1,510
1,517Away goals1,467
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,493Close games1,456
1,451Winning margin1,416

Match venue compares Tochigi City at home with Sagamihara away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Tochigi CityTochigi CityUnknown

Starting XI

31P. AizawaUnknown
14S. KotakeUnknown
42M. JonjicUnknown
17T. ChinenUnknown
32Y. KoikeUnknown
20Pedro AugustoUnknown
18M. KatoUnknown
24K. NishiyaUnknown
77P. TanakaUnknown
9M. SuzukiUnknown
23A. YoshidaUnknown

SagamiharaSagamiharaUnknown

Starting XI

21Kim Min-hoUnknown
5D. KatoUnknown
37R. YamauchiUnknown
13M. TokidaUnknown
2K. WatahikiUnknown
4T. ShimakawaUnknown
17T. TakeuchiUnknown
10R. NakayamaUnknown
7A. TanahashiUnknown
24R. SugimotoUnknown
9K. SasakiUnknown