Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 05:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

23'
Y. Toshida
Normal Goal → M. Ano
45'
Bae Jeong-Min🟨
Yellow Card
49'
Y. Toshida
Normal Goal → K. Okumura
55'
Bae Jeong-Min🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Handai
55'
A. Iihoshi🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Ishihara
67'
S. Sato
Own Goal
69'
K. Okumura🟨
Yellow Card
72'
K. Kuroki🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Katori
72'
Y. Omoto🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Matsuda
74'
M. Ano🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Sato
74'
R. Inoue🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Ando
74'
Y. Toshida🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Matsumoto
78'
K. Fujii🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Nasu
79'
K. Matsumoto
Normal Goal → R. Sato
84'
Y. Shimokawa🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Okuma
84'
K. Okumura🔄
Substitution 5 → H. Take
88'
R. Sato
Normal Goal

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Roasso Kumamoto
Roasso Kumamoto
Form: W-L-L-L-L
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Form: W-L-W-W-W
Record
5 W
1 D
4 L
9 W
0 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
1.3
Scored
vs
2.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
vs
0.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
40%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:0.6
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:0.4
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1419
Average
1545
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1402
↓ Momentum (-17)
1587
↑ Momentum (+42)
Expected Outcome
23%
Home Win
29%
Draw
48%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1439
Attack
1521
1510
Defence
1529
Recent Form
1422
Attack
1536
1526
Defence
1545
Post-Match Changes
-9
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Roasso Kumamoto vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Oracle's Insight
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.63
Expected Value:+57.8%
Confidence:7

In the vast tapestry of football, patterns emerge from the chaos of the pitch. I have watched many seasons pass, and the data speaks clearly regarding the upcoming clash between Roasso Kumamoto and Tegevajaro Miyazaki. The numbers do not lie, and they point toward a distinct advantage for the visitors. Tegevajaro Miyazaki are currently operating on a different plane of existence. Their recent form is nothing short of exceptional. In their last ten games, they have secured nine victories. This is a 90% win rate, a rarity in the J2/J3 League. They sit at the summit of the table with 24 points, while Roasso Kumamoto trails with 13 points. The gap in consistency is profound. The history between these two sides is equally telling. In the last three meetings, Tegevajaro has won every single encounter. The most recent fixture ended 1-0 to the visitors. Roasso has not managed to secure a single point against them. This psychological edge is significant. When you combine this head-to-head dominance with Tegevajaro's elite away form, the bookmakers' pricing appears soft. The odds for an Away Win are sitting at 2.63. This price implies a probability of roughly 38%. However, given Tegevajaro's 90% win rate and perfect head-to-head record, the true probability of an away victory is closer to 60%. This discrepancy represents a significant edge for the wise bettor. While goal expectancy suggests a total of 3.10 goals, the trends suggest caution on the goal markets. The value lies firmly in the match outcome. Key Points: - Tegevajaro Miyazaki: 9 wins in last 10 games. - Head-to-Head: Tegevajaro won all 3 previous meetings. - Roasso Kumamoto: 5 wins in last 10 games, recent losses. - Goal Expectancy: 3.10 total goals expected. - Value found on Away Win at 2.63 odds. In short, the numbers point to a Tegevajaro Miyazaki victory. The path is clear, and the value is undeniable. I recommend the Away Win.

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

Roasso Kumamoto vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Betting Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.63
Expected Value:+57.8%
Confidence:7

Welcome back to Value Vinny’s corner. Today we’re dissecting Roasso Kumamoto vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the J2/J3 League. The numbers tell a story of dominance, and the bookies seem to have missed the mark on the pricing. Tegevajaro Miyazaki are flying. In their last 10 games, they’ve secured 9 wins and only 1 loss, racking up a staggering 2.70 points per game. Roasso Kumamoto, meanwhile, sits at 1.60 points per game with a 50% win rate. The gap is clear: Tegevajaro is simply operating on a different level this season. The head-to-head record is even more telling. In their last three meetings, Tegevajaro has won all three. The most recent clash ended 1-0 to the visitors. Roasso hasn’t managed to secure a single point against them. When you combine this H2H dominance with Tegevajaro’s 90% win rate, the bookmakers’ pricing looks soft. The odds for an Away Win are sitting at 2.63. This implies a 38% probability. However, given Tegevajaro’s form and H2H record, I estimate their true win probability is closer to 60%. That’s a significant edge of over 20%. For those who think in maths, this is the kind of value we hunt for. Goal expectancy suggests a total of 3.10 goals (1.40 for Roasso, 1.70 for Tegevajaro). While this points towards Over 2.5 Goals, recent trends show both teams are in a declining goal-scoring phase. H2H history also features two Under 2.5 matches. So, while the goal expectancy looks high, the trends suggest caution on the markets. Stick to the match outcome where the value is most obvious. Tegevajaro’s away form is elite (80% win rate in last 5 away games), and they’ve kept 50% of their games clean. Roasso’s home defense is decent (1.00 conceded per game), but they’ve struggled to score against this specific opponent. The math supports the visitors. **Key Points:** - Tegevajaro: 90% win rate in last 10 games. - Roasso: 50% win rate in last 10 games. - H2H: Tegevajaro won all 3 previous meetings. - Implied probability of Away Win (38%) is significantly lower than estimated true probability (60%). - Goal trends are declining for both sides, making Over 2.5 riskier than the expectancy suggests. The value is clear. Tegevajaro’s dominance on paper and in history is not fully reflected in the price. I’m backing the visitors to continue their winning streak. **Recommended Bet:** Away Win @ 2.63

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

Roasso Kumamoto vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki Prediction
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.63
Expected Value:+18.4%
Confidence:7

Hey guys, Pajimon here! What do you mean no meat? Let's get straight to the football because I love winning and I love football. Today we are looking at the J2/J3 League clash between Roasso Kumamoto and Tegevajaro Miyazaki. This is a fascinating fixture. Tegevajaro Miyazaki is currently sitting top of the table with 24 points, while Roasso Kumamoto is struggling a bit lower with 13 points. The form book heavily favors the visitors. Tegevajaro has won 9 of their last 10 games, whereas Roasso has managed 5 wins in their last 10. That is a massive difference in consistency. The head-to-head record is the most telling signal here. Tegevajaro has won all three previous meetings against Roasso. The last time they met on 2026-03-21, Tegevajaki won 1-0. Roasso has never beaten them. This psychological edge is huge. Looking at the goal stats, Tegevajaki scores 2.40 goals per game away from home and concedes just 1.00. Roasso scores 1.80 at home but concedes 1.00. The goal expectancy suggests a combined 3.10 goals, but the odds for Over 2.5 (2.23) don't offer enough value compared to the fair probability. However, the Away Win market looks interesting. The bookmakers have the Away Win at 2.63. Given Tegevajaki's 80% away win rate and 100% H2H record, the true probability feels higher than the implied 38%. If you look at the standings and recent results, Tegevajaki is the clear favorite despite being the away side. I see value here. I'm not touching the goal markets as the edge isn't clear enough. I love my BBQ and beer, but I don't touch politics or racism. Just pure football analysis. Tegevajaki's defensive record (50% clean sheets) and attacking output (2.20 goals/game) is superior. Roasso's defense has been leaky (20% clean sheets). The signals point to an Away Win. Key Points: - Tegevajaro Miyazaki has won all 3 H2H meetings. - Tegevajaro has a 90% win rate in their last 10 games. - Roasso Kumamoto has a 50% win rate in their last 10 games. - Tegevajaro sits top of the table with 24 points. - Value exists on the Away Win at 2.63 odds. My final call is the Away Win. Tegevajaro has the form, the H2H dominance, and the league position to take all three points.

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

Roasso Kumamoto vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki Betting Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.23
Expected Value:+33.8%
Confidence:7

Welcome back, goal-hunters! It's The Big O here, and I'm ready to dive into this J2/J3 League clash between Roasso Kumamoto and Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Life’s too short for nil-nil, and this fixture screams potential for some serious goal action. Let's look at the numbers. Tegevajaro Miyazaki is absolutely firing on all cylinders. In their last 10 games, they've racked up 22 goals, averaging 2.2 goals per game. Their away performance is particularly potent, with an away goals scored average of 2.40 per game. They've won 9 out of their last 10 matches, showing a win rate of 90.00%. On the other side, Roasso Kumamoto has been decent at home, scoring 1.80 goals per game in their last 5 home fixtures. Their overall goals scored average sits at 1.30 per game. When we combine these attacking metrics, the picture becomes clear. The goal expectancy inputs suggest a total of 3.10 expected goals (1.40 for home, 1.70 for away). This mathematical projection strongly points towards a high-scoring affair. While the head-to-head record shows Tegevajaro winning all three previous meetings, the recent form suggests both teams have the firepower to contribute to the scoreline. The betting market has Over 2.5 Goals priced at 2.23. Given the expected goal total of 3.10, the probability of seeing three or more goals is significantly higher than the odds imply. We are looking for value where the market underestimates the goal fest. Tegevajaro's away scoring rate of 2.40 combined with Roasso's home scoring rate of 1.80 suggests a combined average well above the 2.5 threshold. Don't let the clean sheet stats fool you; Tegevajaro has 50% clean sheets, but their attack is too strong to ignore. Roasso concedes 1.00 goals per game at home, which opens the door for goals on both ends. With the Poisson inputs favoring a 3.10 goal environment, the Over 2.5 Goals market offers a solid edge. So, forget the boring 0-0s. The data backs a goal-fest. I'm confident in this pick based on the goal expectancy and the attacking form of the visitors. Let's get some action on the Over. Key Points: - Tegevajaro averages 2.2 goals per game overall, 2.40 away. - Roasso averages 1.80 goals per game at home. - Goal Expectancy totals 3.10 (Home 1.40 + Away 1.70). - H2H shows Tegevajaro dominance (3 wins). - Market odds for Over 2.5 Goals are 2.23. My pick is clear: Over 2.5 Goals.

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

Roasso Kumamoto vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.63
Expected Value:+71.0%
Confidence:7

Right, listen up. We've got a proper scrap brewing up in the J2/J3 League. Roasso Kumamoto are hosting Tegevajaro Miyazaki, and if you look at the stats, one team is pulling the other's leg. Tegevajaro Miyazaki are absolutely flying. They've won 9 out of their last 10 games. That's a 90% win rate, which is rare. They've also won all three previous meetings against Roasso, including a 1-0 victory back in March. They're scoring 2.4 goals per game on the road and keeping clean sheets half the time. Roasso Kumamoto, on the other hand, are a bit more patchy. They've won 5 of their last 10, which is okay, but they've lost three straight league games before their most recent win. Their home form is decent at 60%, but Tegevajaro's away form is 80%. The goal expectancy suggests about 3.10 goals in total, which hints at goals, but the standout signal is Tegevajaro's dominance. The bookies have the Away Win at 2.63. Given Tegevajaro's 90% win rate and perfect H2H record, that price looks like a steal. We're looking for a win for the visitors. Key Points: - Tegevajaro Miyazaki: 9 wins in last 10 games. - Head-to-Head: Tegevajaro won all 3 previous meetings. - Roasso Kumamoto: 5 wins in last 10 games, recent losses. - Goal Expectancy: 3.10 total goals expected. - Value found on Away Win at 2.63 odds. In short, the numbers point to a Tegevajaro Miyazaki victory.

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

Roasso Kumamoto vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.63
Expected Value:+31.5%
Confidence:8

Listen closely, you must. The force is strong with Tegevajaro Miyazaki, but the odds, they are tricky. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. In the J2/J3 League, Tegevajaro Miyazaki stand tall. Top of the table, they sit. 24 points, 8 wins, only 1 loss. Their form, it is magnificent. Nine wins in ten games, they have achieved. Away from home, 80% win rate, they boast. The force is with them, indeed. Roasso Kumamoto, they struggle. 13 points, they have. 4 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses. At home, 60% win rate, they claim. But against Tegevajaro, the history is not kind. Three meetings, three losses. The last meeting, 0-1, it was. The head-to-head record, it speaks volumes. Zero wins for Kumamoto, three for Miyazaki. The bookmakers, they offer 2.63 for an Away Win. This implies a 38% chance. But look at the form. Tegevajaro wins 90% of their games. They have not lost to Kumamoto once. The value, it is there, if you look closely. 6% edge, you need. With 80% away win rate and perfect H2H, the true chance is higher than 38%. Perhaps 50% or more. The odds, they are generous. Goals, they are plentiful. Tegevajaro scores 2.20 per game. Kumamoto scores 1.30. The expectancy is 3.10 total goals. Over 2.5 is priced at 2.23. The fair probability is 43.54%. The market, it is tight. No edge there. The Away Win, it is the path of the wise. Hedge your bets, you should. Do not risk it all on one outcome. But the value, it is in the Away Win. The force is strong with Tegevajaro. Choose wisely, you must.

Read Full Preview →