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Match analysis

JapanJ2 League

Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this J2 League fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

5'
T. Sakurai🟨
Yellow Card
45'
D. Suzuki⚽
Normal Goal β†’ K. Sakamoto
60'
K. Sakamoto⚽
Normal Goal β†’ R. Hyon
69'
K. NasuπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ A. Iihoshi
69'
K. FujiiπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Y. Katori
69'
Bae Jeong-MinπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ O. Ishihara
72'
T. SakuraiπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ A. Toyoda
72'
D. SuzukiπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ N. Sakai
78'
K. NegishiπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ S. Mishima
80'
R. HyonπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Y. Tanaka
83'
Y. OmotoπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ M. Handai
87'
K. SakamotoπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ K. Yoshino
88'
N. MatsumotoπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ F. Kitajima

Tipster previews (3)

Value VinnyLost

Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu - Value Analysis

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
52%
Odds
2.40
Model EV
+24.8%

Roasso Kumamoto host Sagan Tosu in a J2/J3 League clash that screams goal potential. As Value Vinny, I don't care about the hypeβ€”I care about the math. The odds are often wrong, and today the market is underestimating the goal expectancy. Roasso Kumamoto's home form is volatile…

PajimonWon

Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu Preview

The pickSagan Tosu win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.55
Model EV
+14.8%

Baie lekker, friends! Welcome to the J2/J3 League preview. What do you mean no meat? I need my BBQ and beer to celebrate a win! Today we look at Roasso Kumamoto hosting Sagan Tosu. Dis goeie match analysis for you. Roasso Kumamoto comes into this fixture on the back of a heavy…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Roasso Kumamoto

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Sagan Tosu

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Roasso Kumamoto at home vs Sagan Tosu away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within J2 League

Overall edge
+83Sagan Tosu
Venue edge
+89Sagan Tosu
Rating period
Match snapshot
Roasso Kumamoto versus Sagan Tosu: long term Elo, before the match
Roasso KumamotoHomeRatingSagan TosuAway
Strength
1,397Overall1,480
1,410Match venue1,499
1,410At home1,509
1,438Away1,499
Attack & defence
1,408Attack1,435
1,497Defence1,542
1,427Home attack1,444
1,445Away attack1,470
1,489Home defence1,543
1,503Away defence1,534
Match profile
1,437Goal environment1,460
1,488Home goals1,478
1,448Away goals1,482
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,500
1,500Set-piece defence1,500
1,399Close games1,495
1,392Winning margin1,475

Match venue compares Roasso Kumamoto at home with Sagan Tosu away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Roasso KumamotoRoasso KumamotoUnknown

Starting XI

1S. SatoUnknown
5K. KobayashiUnknown
24T. RiUnknown
6W. IwashitaUnknown
8S. KamimuraUnknown
41Y. OmotoUnknown
25K. NasuUnknown
27K. NegishiUnknown
39S. AokiUnknown
11Bae Jeong-MinUnknown
7K. FujiiUnknown

Sagan TosuSagan TosuUnknown

Starting XI

12S. MatsubaraUnknown
5S. NagasawaUnknown
4Y. ImazuUnknown
33S. OgawaUnknown
22K. YubaUnknown
2N. MatsumotoUnknown
6T. SakuraiUnknown
7K. SakamotoUnknown
18R. HyonUnknown
16K. NishizawaUnknown
19D. SuzukiUnknown